Categories for Data and Modelling

The WHO’s Erroneous Risk Assessment

by Mikko Paunio, MD (University of Helsinki), MHS (Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health), adjunct professor (general epidemiology) at...

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The Real Fault with Epidemiological Models

by Hector Drummond Imperial College’s Professor Neil Ferguson has drawn a lot of criticism recently for the poor state of...

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Climbing out of the Lobster Pot

by Guy de la Bédoyère “Let’s work the problem people. Let’s not make things worse by guessing.” So says Eugene...

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How at Risk Are Your Children From Coronavirus?

by Christine Brett Christine Brett is a freelance market access consultant and holds a Master’s degree in Economic Evaluation of...

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Second Analysis of Ferguson’s Model

by Sue Denim I’d like to provide a followup to my first analysis. Firstly because new information has come to...

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How Convincing is Imperial College’s COVID-19 Model?

A reader who describes himself as a “normal person” has tried to make sense of Imperial College’s notorious March 16th...

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Code Review of Ferguson’s Model

by Sue Denim [Please note: a follow-up analysis is now available here.] Imperial finally released a derivative of Ferguson’s code....

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‘Carnage by Computer’: The Blackboard Economics of the 2001 Foot and Mouth Epidemic

This is an early version of a paper that was published in an academic journal in 2003, but it’s behind...

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Has SARS-CoV-2 Fooled the Whole World?

This is a paper by Mikko Paunio M.D., M.H.S., an adjunct professor in general epidemiology at the University of Helsinki,...

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How Reliable is the Modelling?

One of the paradoxes of the coronavirus crisis is that the need for public scrutiny of government policy has never...

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