Categories for Data and Modelling
Another Computer Simulation, Another Alarmist Prediction
by Sue Denim There’s a new paper out in the Lancet called “Determining the optimal strategy for re-opening schools” by...
Read moreCanaries in the Mine: Mañana Waves
Dr Rudolph Kalveks FT 29/7/2020: “Europe battles to contain surge in Covid-19 cases. Experts surprised at how fast the lifting...
Read moreDead Souls
by Zugzwang The anti-hero of Gogol’s Dead Souls, Pavel Ivanovich Chichikov, had his reasons for cultivating the nobility of a...
Read moreCanaries in the Mine: A Second Update
by Rudolph Kalveks For several weeks now, I have been tracking the fate of the “Canaries in the Mine” to...
Read moreLeicester’s Unnecessary Second Lockdown
I’m a doctor at University Hospitals Leicester NHS Trust. We have about 2000 inpatient beds across three main sites and...
Read moreCanaries in the Mine: An Update
by Rudolph Kalveks This was the snapshot of the parameters that describe the shape of the Coronavirus epidemic in terms...
Read moreDeaths registered week ending June 5th 2020
Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional: week ending June 5th 2020 You can see ONS date of death...
Read moreNew UCL Paper on Contact Tracing Gulls Credulous Journalist
by Sue Denim A source of frustration for many of us is how journalists don’t seem to be learning lessons...
Read moreCanaries in The Mine
by Rudolph Kalveks Scarcely a day goes by without a new and apparently contradictory announcement by some epidemiologist regarding the...
Read moreHow Replicable is the Imperial College Model?
By Sue Denim After Toby published my first and second pieces, Imperial College London (ICL) produced two responses. In this...
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