Categories for Data and Modelling

Another Computer Simulation, Another Alarmist Prediction

by Sue Denim There’s a new paper out in the Lancet called “Determining the optimal strategy for re-opening schools” by...

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Canaries in the Mine: Mañana Waves

Dr Rudolph Kalveks FT 29/7/2020: “Europe battles to contain surge in Covid-19 cases. Experts surprised at how fast the lifting...

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Dead Souls

by Zugzwang The anti-hero of Gogol’s Dead Souls, Pavel Ivanovich Chichikov, had his reasons for cultivating the nobility of a...

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Canaries in the Mine: A Second Update

by Rudolph Kalveks For several weeks now, I have been tracking the fate of the “Canaries in the Mine” to...

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Leicester’s Unnecessary Second Lockdown

I’m a doctor at University Hospitals Leicester NHS Trust. We have about 2000 inpatient beds across three main sites and...

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Canaries in the Mine: An Update

by Rudolph Kalveks This was the snapshot of the parameters that describe the shape of the Coronavirus epidemic in terms...

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Deaths registered week ending June 5th 2020

Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional: week ending June 5th 2020 You can see ONS date of death...

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New UCL Paper on Contact Tracing Gulls Credulous Journalist

by Sue Denim A source of frustration for many of us is how journalists don’t seem to be learning lessons...

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Canaries in The Mine

by Rudolph Kalveks Scarcely a day goes by without a new and apparently contradictory announcement by some epidemiologist regarding the...

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How Replicable is the Imperial College Model?

By Sue Denim After Toby published my first and second pieces, Imperial College London (ICL) produced two responses. In this...

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