Categories for Data and Modelling

Effects of False Positive Results

Graphical Illustrations of the Effects of False Positive Results from Covid19 RT-PCR (Swab) Tests at Low Measured Prevalence There’s no...

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Lies, Damned Lies and Health Statistics – the Deadly Danger of False Positives

by Dr Michael Yeadon I never expected to be writing something like this. I am an ordinary person, recently semi-retired...

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Covid Deaths and Taxes

by Louis-Vincent Gave In March, when COVID-19 began to rear its ugly head across the western world, national policy responses...

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Government Innumeracy

by James Ferguson Are you positive you are ‘positive’? “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you...

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When is COVID-19 not COVID-19?

Dr Clare Craig FRCPath On 7th September Public Health England announced a change to testing criteria. The change is designed...

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How Likely is a Second wave?

Paul Kirkham, Professor of cell Biology and Head of Respiratory Disease Research Group at Wolverhampton University Dr Mike Yeadon, former...

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Do Medical Complications and Lingering Effects Make COVID-19 an Unusually Dangerous Diseases?

This is a review of the evidence concerning the medical complications and lingering effects of COVID-19 by an epidemiologist and...

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How to Live With Risk in the COVID-19 World

by Brian Gedalla We assess risks every day of our lives. We learn to do this as very small children...

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False Positives

The data continues to unfold exactly in line with a 0.17% false positive rate for the PCR test. Here’s the...

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Fewer Dead Souls?

By Zugzwang In a previous essay,  I speculated that somewhere in the bowels of Public Health England (PHE) there was...

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