Categories for Data and Modelling
A Feeling of Deja Vu
by Dr Janie Axelrad Thirty years ago the U.K. was gripped by another terrifying health crisis – BSE (Mad Cow...
Read moreMight Most Positive Tests be Wrong?
by David Mackie A lot of people are bad with numbers, and especially so in the area of probability. Earlier...
Read moreWhat SAGE Has Got Wrong
by Mike Yeadon “It’s Easier to Fool People Than It Is to Convince Them That They Have Been Fooled.” –...
Read moreFalse Positives in Care Homes
by Dr Clare Craig FRCPath Outbreaks of Covid in care homes appear to have spiked in September in the UK....
Read moreCounting COVID-19 ‘Cases’ is Misleading Everybody
by Professor Norman Fenton, Dr. Scott McLachlan, Professor Martin Neil and Dr. Magda Osman The focus of almost all current...
Read moreIs the Increase in Cases Just an Artefact of Increased Testing?
by Dr Clare Craig FRCPath The story of how false positive test results can create the illusion of actual infections...
Read moreCanaries in The Mine: Ripples
by Rudolph Kalveks We should always keep in mind the rationale for focusing on reported deaths, a.k.a. “the Canaries in...
Read moreTesting – Muddle and Myth
by Gordon Hughes In BBC Radio 4’s More or Less programme broadcast on September 23rd Sir David Spiegelhalter tried to...
Read moreFlu-Like Illnesses
by Dr Clare Craig FRCPath How many people with ‘flu-like’ illnesses are being mislabelled as Covid? Cases of Covid appear...
Read moreCOVID-19: Parliamentary Brief
By James Ferguson They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor...
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