Categories for Data and Modelling

A Feeling of Deja Vu

by Dr Janie Axelrad Thirty years ago the U.K. was gripped by another terrifying health crisis – BSE (Mad Cow...

Read more

Might Most Positive Tests be Wrong?

by David Mackie A lot of people are bad with numbers, and especially so in the area of probability. Earlier...

Read more

What SAGE Has Got Wrong

by Mike Yeadon “It’s Easier to Fool People Than It Is to Convince Them That They Have Been Fooled.” –...

Read more

False Positives in Care Homes

by Dr Clare Craig FRCPath Outbreaks of Covid in care homes appear to have spiked in September in the UK....

Read more

Counting COVID-19 ‘Cases’ is Misleading Everybody

by Professor Norman Fenton, Dr. Scott McLachlan, Professor Martin Neil and Dr. Magda Osman The focus of almost all current...

Read more

Is the Increase in Cases Just an Artefact of Increased Testing?

by Dr Clare Craig FRCPath The story of how false positive test results can create the illusion of actual infections...

Read more

Canaries in The Mine: Ripples

by Rudolph Kalveks We should always keep in mind the rationale for focusing on reported deaths, a.k.a. “the Canaries in...

Read more

Testing – Muddle and Myth

by Gordon Hughes In BBC Radio 4’s More or Less programme broadcast on September 23rd Sir David Spiegelhalter tried to...

Read more

Flu-Like Illnesses

by Dr Clare Craig FRCPath How many people with ‘flu-like’ illnesses are being mislabelled as Covid? Cases of Covid appear...

Read more

COVID-19: Parliamentary Brief

By James Ferguson They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor...

Read more