Categories for Data and Modelling

15/12/21

Danish Study Confirms That Natural Immunity Protects Better Against Infection Than the Vaccines

Yet another study has found that natural immunity provides better protection against infection than the vaccines, and that vaccine effectiveness against infection wanes rapidly, beginning a few weeks after vaccination.

14/12/21

There’s No Hint of a Negative Association Between Stringency Index and Excess Mortality in Europe

There's no hint of a negative association between stringency index and excess mortality in Europe. The length and stringency of countries' lockdowns is unrelated to the number of excess deaths they've had.

19/11/21

Has Vaccine Effectiveness Against Death Been Overestimated?

A recent CDC study found that non-Covid death rates were higher among the unvaccinated, indicating that people who get vaccinated are less likely to die for any reason. This could be bad news for vaccine effectiveness.

16/11/21

Dutch Cost-Benefit Analysis Done During Lockdown Concluded, “The Costs Are Disproportionately High”

Documents obtained via an FOI request show that, in March/April of 2020, the Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs did a cost-benefit analysis of lockdown. It concluded that the costs far outweighed the benefits.

15/11/21

Neil Ferguson Makes the Case for Focused Protection

In an interview last week, Neil Ferguson said that Britain's high infection rate had had the "upside of boosting population immunity". Whether he realised it or not, Ferguson was making the case for focused protection.

29/10/21

Lockdown and the Pretence of Knowledge

In his Nobel Prize acceptance speech, F.A. Hayek noted: "the erroneous belief that the exercise of some power would have beneficial consequences is likely to lead to a new power to coerce". This remains true today.

27/10/21

Experts Are Worse Than Non-experts at Forecasting Cases and Deaths, Study Finds

The epiforecast group at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine recently held a competition to forecast cases and deaths. They found that self-declared experts performed slightly worse than non-experts.

16/9/21

The Ethical Bankruptcy of Vaccinating 12-15 Year-Olds Against SARS-CoV-2

by George Santayana The Declaration of Geneva of the World Medical Association binds the physician with the words, “The health...

31/8/21

Why it’s a Mistake to Ask Academics For Advice on How to Manage the Pandemic

by Dr. Sinead Murphy On August 26th, Professor Devi Sridhar, Chair of Global Public Health at University of Edinburgh and...

3/8/21

An Interview With Philippe Lemoine

Philippe Lemoine’s articles on the pandemic are required reading. We asked him about the case against lockdowns, why epidemiological models have fared so poorly, and what Emmanuel Macron should have done last year.

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