Who Really Died Last Summer?

The UK Health Security Agency, UKHSA, have announced there were an estimated 1,504 heat-associated deaths in England last summer, apparently lower than they had originally forecast.

What are “heat-associated deaths”, you might well ask. I doubt whether any death certificates had heat recorded as the cause of death! How can they be so certain that the number is 1,504, and not 1,503 or 1,505?


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24 Comments
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soundofreason
soundofreason
6 days ago

Where do UKHSA get their dates of declared ‘heat episodes’? I’ve previously looked for this from the Met Office to produce similar analyses.

ComradeSvelte
ComradeSvelte
6 days ago

Without Heat being cited on the death certificate, this is just more utter Bull spewing from the ONS, no doubt backed up by the morons on ‘More or Less’, like the MET office these organisations are corrupt.

soundofreason
soundofreason
6 days ago
Reply to  ComradeSvelte

It would be about as accurate as ‘Covid’ being mentioned on the death certificate. The rules about who could provide the death diagnosis and what they could diagnose changed significantly in 2020.

Jack the dog
Jack the dog
6 days ago

Looks to me like model tweaking to get the result you wanted.

RTSC
RTSC
6 days ago

If they were really concerned that heat kills so many people, our hospitals wouldn’t be heated like greenhouses.

Just another scare story …..

soundofreason
soundofreason
6 days ago
Reply to  RTSC

Ah. That will be The Greenhouse Effect. Which is why they open the windows to let the heat out.

Solentviews
Solentviews
5 days ago
Reply to  RTSC

Surely the death rate would be higher in the southern Mediterranean countries where it is hotter for longer? Except it isn’t….. Awkward.

varmint
6 days ago

Life thrives when it is warmer, and struggles when it is colder. —–If you torture data long enough it will confess to anything, and that “anything” right now is that heat is bad and we must tackle global warming, so the data will be tortured till it aligns with that agenda.

Marcus Aurelius knew

My daughter’s two baby tortoises came fully out of hibernation for the second time in their lives a week ago. Yesterday they were moved from their hibernation box into a lovely outdoor enclosure, which is a 1.5m2 space under a palm tree surrounded by rocks and various overhangs so they can’t climb out and have lots of hiding places and sources of warmth through the night. After five long months, motionless, Suzuki and Kawasaki are now racing around, living up to their names, enjoying the warmth. And lettuce. 😎

soundofreason
soundofreason
6 days ago

That final chart:

Excess winter deaths and five-year central moving average…

(my emphasis)

That means the 2018/19 season average figure is based on the five seasons 2016/17 to 2020/21. Didn’t something a bit unusual happen in 2020? No. Not heatwaves.

Marcus Aurelius knew
Reply to  soundofreason

tHe PanDEMiC yOU idiOT!

😉

EppingBlogger
6 days ago

If hotter weather is a killer why is it our rates of death are not markedly lower than in similarly poor warmer places.

transmissionofflame
6 days ago

And yet we see articles in DS telling us that we need “public health”, it just needs to be done better. Good luck with that. While “saving lives” (whatever that means) might seem to be a worthy objective for the state, it seems to me it always ends badly.

Marcus Aurelius knew

What even does “public health” mean? If I am healthy, and my neighbour is not, is the public healthy?

transmissionofflame
6 days ago

Ah well you’d produce an AVERAGE you see – the Met Office can help with Meaningless Averages if you’re struggling 🙂

LadbrokeGrove
LadbrokeGrove
6 days ago

According to the met office, it all depends on the current health of the couple who lived 30 miles from you and who died in the 1990s.

psychedelia smith
6 days ago

So tragic. All the foreign holidays they bravely survived throughout their lifetimes then they’re brutally killed by North Atlantic British weather. It’s a genocide.

JXB
JXB
6 days ago

“1,504 …………..* – associated deaths in England”

*Insert as best supports the current thing : CoVid; Climate Change; Trump; poverty; inequality; LGBQWERTY- phobia; Reform UK Councils; White Privilege; racism; Islamophobia; Far Right.

JXB
JXB
6 days ago

Testing.

Marcus Aurelius knew
Reply to  JXB

Testing.

Struth
Struth
5 days ago

The August blip makes no mention of the FY1 changeover day…(correlation doesn’t equal causation of course)

marebobowl
marebobowl
5 days ago

How about the excess mortality due to the experimental biologicals they all took. There are so many. Never knew anyone dying from the heat. Is this a joke?

Robert Liddell
Robert Liddell
5 days ago

Note the steady fall in winter deaths as the country became wealthier and could afford heating. What will happen from now on?

coviture2020
coviture2020
5 days ago

What about deaths due to cold?