BREAKING: ‘Superflu’ Wave Goes into Decline Early

The ‘surging’ wave of ‘superflu’ that is supposedly threatening the NHS with collapse this winter has gone into decline early, with prevalence (as measured by the proportion of tests coming back positive for influenza) dropping in the most recent week.

This is earlier than in many previous years, where the peak and drop-off coincided with Christmas.

While there may yet be a further uptick in cases, it means the worries of a runaway epidemic accelerating out of control and bringing health services to their knees (a supposedly “worst case scenario“) have turned out to be misplaced – to the surprise of no Daily Sceptic readers or anyone who follows the data and not just the hysterical media froth.

Here are the charts from the UKHSA surveillance reports (remember those?) that show the drop-off, with a corresponding sharp slowdown in hospital admissions.

Nothing ‘super’ or out of the ordinary there. Turns out the ‘record-breaking’ levels were just a result of a) short records (only starting in 2021) and b) the outbreak arriving a bit earlier, so levels were relatively high for the time of year (at least, compared with the last four years). But early to rise, early to bed, presumably because there are only so many people prone to catch this particular strain of flu. Which is not a lesson that our public health ‘experts’ ever seem to learn.

Stop Press: Carl Heneghan and Tom Jefferson have covered the drop-off, also noting that (to quote the UKHSA report): “Emergency department (ED) attendances for influenza-like-illness (ILI) decreased.”