Major Poll Finds Nigel Farage on Track for No 10 With 311 MPs
A major poll has put Nigel Farage on track to be Britain’s next Prime Minister with 311 MPs as Labour is set to lose more than 250 seats and the Tories are pushed into fourth. The Mail has more.
The scale of Labour’s crisis was laid bare today as a megapoll found Nigel Farage on track for Downing Street.
Reform would make the biggest surge in British political history if an election was held now, according to the YouGov research.
Although the party would be slightly short of an overall majority with 311 MPs, that would almost certainly see Mr Farage become PM.
Meanwhile, Labour would lose more than 250 seats on its current tally – and the Tories would slump into fourth behind the Lib Dems, with just 45 MPs.
The huge survey used a technique known as MRP to project results for all constituencies, based on the characteristics of their voters.
It found Yvette Cooper, Wes Streeting, Angela Rayner, Ed Miliband, Bridget Phillipson and Lisa Nandy face being among the big-name casualties.
For the Conservatives it would be their worst result ever, stretching back to the formation of the predecessor Tory Party in the 1670s.
Robert Jenrick, Priti Patel, James Cleverly and Mel Stride are seen as losing their seats in the meltdown.
Reform’s net gain of 306 seats would be easily the biggest increase for a party between two General Elections.
Technically 326 MPs are needed for an overall majority – but with the Speaker and Sinn Fein MPs not participating in votes the real bar is lower.
The YouGov findings are based on national vote shares of 27% for Reform, 21% for Labour, 17% for the Tories and 15% for the Lib Dems.
The Greens were on 11%, the SNP on 3% and Plaid 1%.
However, some other polls have shown an even bigger advantage for Reform.
Indeed, in keeping with YouGov’s infamous ‘pro-social’ (or Left-wing) bias, 27% is on the low side for Reform: the party’s current polling average is 31%.
Worth reading in full.
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It would suit both Tories and Labour if Reform is in charge when the economy finally collapses.
Do you think the economy will last that long?
In any case if it collapses that’s the end of “Our” NHS and people will have to pay their own hospital bills instead of me having to do it, and the end of the welfare-state, so no more poncing off me.
Then all the skilled, cultural enrichers will have to go home or elsewhere as there will be nothing for them here.
History note: the economy was in a state of collapse in 1979 thanks to Labour, when the Conservatives and Mrs Thatcher were voted in.
I will be more than happy to wave goodbye to the skilled cultural enrichers, but sadly I don’t think they will leave. If you look at the planned Lebanonisation of Western Europe, you will know that societal collapse is the plan and certain types relish living in failed states. While you will enjoy not paying for the spongers and the NHS, as you phrase it, will you be happy to witness 80+ year old pensioners starving in the street because they were led to believe that they would be looked after. Even the most libertarian, capitalist state needs a safety net for certain people (and despite what many claim, Margaret Thatcher believed in that) and a collapse of the type would see the net disappear. Are you also confident your job or wealth would survive the failed state era? As a Thatcherite of the eighties, I have no desire to see a collapse that would result in the failure of the NHS, but want a successful economy with a much reduced, streamlined healthcare system.
If collapse is large then the state won’t be able to enforce its rules, and native peoples could then enforce their own, which might include say, forcible removal of unwanted people? Trial and punishment of traitors? That kind of thing.
Much of the damage that Labour, and the left who have dominated our institutions for years will never be reversed. Some of the damage to our culture, our society our institutions cannot be unbroken. But wresting power from the left, in the main by making them more accountable to the public they serve will bring some sanity back to our nation.
Too many unpopular and deeply unjust decisions are taken behind closed doors where there is no one there to challenge them. From the sacking of a group of horticultural volunteers who have maintained our beautiful public spaces for decades, for the crime of being too white, to deeply unjust arrests of ordinary people expressing their distress at the unfairness of our two-tier justice system. All those decisions were taken by people who appear to have little interest or regard as to their core functions and what they are paid to do.
These individuals need to be bought out into the light of public scrutiny and made to justify their decisions. In the context of what they are being paid, handsomely in most cases, they couldn’t do it.
We can give Nigel a chance, I don’t think he has the coconuts to do what needs to be done, but let’s see.
How do the Labourtards win over 100 seats when they poll at 20% or less in popularity? The party will go the way of the Demonparty in the US – oblivion.
System is utterly defective if a party as defective as the Labour-Globalists win 100 seats.
Who actually votes for the Tory Totalitarians of the Rona Plandemic or the Ill-Liberals Undems? Good christ.
I had the same thought when I saw the SNP yellow across most of Scotland. Absolutely beyond help.
Reform really need to have a good go im Scotland; to make sure we attract the “get Labour out” votes instead of them going to the SNP.
Regular airing of Yusaf hating white people and Sturgeon being unable to say what a woman is could help.
More and more people might look at Reform and say ‘well, they can hardly be any worse than the Uniparty’. The Farage doubters, like myself, might hope that somebody competent might come through once they are in power. The next big test will come in May.
Reform need to get some good specialists on board to hammer out solid policies in critical areas. For example get Kathryn Porter and David Turver in to undo Net Zero.
The question is, if Farage fails as well, what options do we have left?
Yeah. In 4 years time. I really don’t get the purpose of this obsessive polling of party popularity.
Is it to entertain us?
Is it to have an actual effect and impact by creating some sort of feedback loop?
Both, I think.
Previously they have been pushed by the establishment parties to make it seem pointless to vote for other parties (“why waste your vote?”), but that could seriously backfire as it looks like Reform have a serious chance of forming the next government.
The introduction of the Personal Interactive State Surveillance System (PISSS) otherwise known as an ID card should increase Labour’s unpopularity.
Just after noon today the parliament petition is over 1.75 million and I reckon it will reach 2 million by the end of the day.
Phenomenal! Paradoxically, without the lockdowns people would be far less wary.
Henry Bolton was on GB News a short time ago and said that just this morning he was talking to people, including family members, who believe it is a physical ID card like a library or travel card.
That misconception will fade like a morning mist once the details are widely known.
Who is Henry Bolton- should I know?
13.56 it was 1,814,681 and about 30 seconds ago it was at 1,815,030. The numbers are rising so fast it’s hard to keep up
Sunday, 2025/09/28 at 0939: 2,138,114 signatures
Coalitions aren’t good, they don’t last.
They have become the norm in Europe – look at the mess.
11% support Green – we need to re-open the lunatic asylums.
Also – time to cut Scotland adrift. It really is another planet.
Many people STILL seem to think it’s an independence party… 🤦♂️
The political system in most of continental Europe is different from the political system in Britain. In the UK, people vote for constituency MPs which belong to parties most of the time. In continental Europe, they vote for parties who are then awarded parliamentary seats according to their vote share. Coalition governments are the norm for the latter system.
That map makes depressing reading as from what I can make out my area will remain Tory with the bimbo Coutinho as MP. I would have to apologise if that remains so as we will have failed the country. But….last year there were a lot of votes for Labour in an area where there are very few and had half of them voted Reform we would be rid of Coutinho. Going further back to 2015 when we were lumbered with the socialist Tory Sam Gyimah because he was a mate of Call Me Dave and last seen scuttling away having stood somewhere as a more honest LimpDumb and got beaten. While he won a bigger majority the top voting swing was to UKIP, as it was in other South East constituencies – there is hope here.
Well said fellow constituent!
Looking at how red London is, I’m guessing Khant is not going anywhere?
Yep. Going nowhere.
I hope Reform will win.
It’s not that I have that much faith in Reform, but I loathe all the other parties.
There’s a saying that a society is only three or nine meals away from anarchy, implying that food scarcity can lead to social unrest and instability.
Do we believe that Labour can keep the food supply going and the lights on until Wednesday 15 August 2029?
I’d say it’s less than 3 now… especially if the social media goes down at the same time as the grid….
But. The greens, Lib Dumbs, Plaid, SNP are all communist faction parties and could collaborate with what’s left of Labour communism to undermine Reform. They will cooperate to prevent the will of the people. And I am surprised that Reform’s polling is so low. Sad that there are millions of Britions who are stupid enough to continue to think that the left gives a monkey’s about them except at election time. The stupidification of our people has been underway since the industrial revolution (according to Ed Dutton’s theory) and has been accelerated by lazy communist education policies since the 1965 education Act.
Civil war lies in our future.
The most worrying thing for me in the attached graph is the number who would still vote Labour. Despite the most catastrophic period in political and economic history since WWII, there are still huge numbers of people who would vote for more of the same!
I wouldn’t vote Conservative again at gunpoint, after their disastrous swing to the left. But just looking at the results with a calm head, even they weren’t unfailingly incompetent as the entire Labour cabinet.
If there is ever a time when we have to stop voting for one branch or another of 5he Uniparty and try something else, it’s now.
I think most of us knew that Labour would turn out to be a disaster, but not as quickly and completely as they have been.