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NeilParkin
9 months ago

Reform welfare or become a failed state: that is Britain’s only remaining choice” 

The Tories will have the ’14 year’ albatross around their necks for a generation, despite some pretty heavy lifting from Dan Hannan.

The welfare problem is that there aren’t enough well-paid jobs to be able to force people off benefit. And with millions unemployed and unemployable, a thriving black market in a growing oversupply of illegal labour, and business confidence crushed under massive tax hikes, jobs are not going to magically appear.

If those jobs appear, they will only be of interest to the migrants, those who have come here to forge something better for themselves, rather than those who come here with with criminal intent. In fact I’d rather have immigrants who want to work here, than third generation career benefit claimants. We should be sending our own shirkers to Rwanda instead. Its quite the conundrum.

transmissionofflame
9 months ago
Reply to  NeilParkin

I’m not a fan of shirkers but sending them to Rwanda is not a very practical or realistic suggestion, as I am sure you are aware. There is surely no magic formula and everything is a trade off, but less welfare and lower taxes, less regulation and a shrinking of the public sector, and absolute zero immigration, would surely all help in combination. We’ve created a culture of third generation benefit claimants – we need to chip away at that, but it will take generations to make much impact.

NeilParkin
9 months ago

Its tongue in cheek, but it does bring forward the nature of the challenge and how simple solutions and short term thinking are going to be of no-use to us going forward. There are things we can do to slow our descent into fiscal hell, but there are others that we have to come to terms with and accept as they are, and others that will take a generation to resolve, as you say.

transmissionofflame
9 months ago
Reply to  NeilParkin

Indeed, and it would take generations and an iron will. Not going to happen. We are finished as a civilisation.

pjar
9 months ago
Reply to  NeilParkin

I’d look at it from the other angle: the welfare problem is that there aren’t enough well-paid jobs to fund keeping the ever increasing numbers on welfare.

A situation that is only likely to get worse as the wealthy apparently continue to flee the country and the tax burden falls on the next level down.

The problem will be compounded by the rise of AI which is targeting the highly paid jobs of white collar workers in the middle class whose wages increasingly pay the taxes the welfare system relies on.

A recent report suggested they will, for the most part, be gone by 2050 as those responsible blithely continue in the assumption that they, somehow, will be spared the consequences. Including, for instance, the striking doctors who are already, by some accounts, being outperformed by diagnostic programmes.

NeilParkin
9 months ago
Reply to  pjar

Going back to the Luddites, every new technology is supposed to render us obsolete. It doesn’t, it just provides a fulcrum for economic growth. I am of the opinion that AI will be the same. I think predictions of how much of our world will be given over to it, and what it is capable of, and in what time frame, will disappoint many.

pjar
9 months ago
Reply to  NeilParkin

You’re welcome to your view and I hope you’re right, though I suspect the disappointment will be with those who believe it will herald a shining new future… I can’t help but think of the old adage that the Devil makes work for idle hands.

For a fist full of roubles

“the pronounced Left-wing bias among scientists” is inevitable when so many of today’s scientists fall into the “social scientist” grouping, or as I think of it, the qualitative sciences rather than the quantitative ones.

EppingBlogger
9 months ago

Simon Heffer writes about Liverpool Street Statrion and the abuse the planners want to allow. It is said more capacity is needd because of the burgeoning population growtrh in the Eastern Counties. If so, the existing building could handle a significantly larger throughput if only the cheap and nasty retail outlets were removed from the concouyrse, information desks put into vacant shops around the edge and vagrants were moved on.

Old Arellian
Old Arellian
9 months ago

Treasury Minister Darren Jones can’t say what a”modest income” is. Mandarins can now earn up to £174,000 without Ministers having to be consulted. Is £174,000 a “modest income”? Do MPs have a ” modest income”? Prepare to be shafted is the succinct way of putting it.