White British People Will be a Minority in 40 Years, Report Predicts
White British people will become a minority in the UK population within the next 40 years, a report from Buckingham University’s Professor Matt Goodwin has predicted. The Telegraph has the story.
An analysis of migration, birth and death rates up to the end of the 21st century predicts that white British people will decline from their current position as 73% of the population to 57% by 2050 before slipping into a minority by 2063.
The research, by Prof Matt Goodwin of Buckingham University, suggests that by the end of the century, the white British share of the population – defined as people who do not have an immigrant parent – could have fallen to around a third (33.7%).
It projects a big rise in the proportion of the UK population comprising foreign-born and second-generation immigrants, from below 20% to 33.5% within the next 25 years.
By 2100, it predicts six in 10 people in the UK will either not have been born in the UK, or will have at least one immigrant parent.
The Muslim population, which currently stands at 7%, is estimated to increase to more than one in 10 (11.2%) within the next 25 years and account for one in five (19.2%) of all people in the UK by the end of the century.
Prof Goodwin, an honorary professor at Kent University, said the research, based on Office for National Statistics (ONS) and census data, raised “profound questions about the capacity of the UK state to both absorb and manage this scale of demographic change”.
In his report, he said the findings were certain to spark a “considerable degree of anxiety, concern and political opposition” among many voters who favoured lowering immigration and slowing the pace of change in order to maintain “the symbols, traditions, culture and ways of life of the traditional majority group”.
Prof Goodwin said: “Their concerns will need to be recognised, respected and addressed if the UK is to avoid considerable political turbulence and polarisation in the years and decades ahead.”
His report follows a period of unprecedented legal and illegal migration – hitting a record high of 906,000 under the Tories in 2023 – and subsequent crackdowns, including Labour’s white paper this month proposing restrictions on the rights of migrants to live, work and study in the UK.
He said: “By the end of the current century, most of the people on these islands will not be able to trace their roots in this country back more than one or two generations.
“By the year 2100, based on our projections, six in 10 people in the UK will not have been born in the UK or born to two UK-born parents.
“This raises enormous questions about the capacity of our country and leaders to unify people around a shared sense of identity, values, ways of life, and culture, and avoid the very real risk of us becoming what Sir Keir Starmer referred to in May as ‘an island of strangers’.”
In 2022, the census revealed London and Birmingham had become minority white British.
More research confirming the Great Replacement isn’t a conspiracy theory, just a demographic fact. Yet the borders remains open.
Worth reading in full.
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The English people is now confronted with the greatest danger it’s ever faced.
This must surely be exceptional because has there been another example of people throughout history who have ethnically cleansed themselves? Because none of this would have been possible were it not for self-loathing, traitorous white people who are the architects and enablers of this agenda across Europe.
Yes, and traitors like Barbara Lerner Spectre, according to her own words.
American activist Barbara Lerner Spectre calls for destruction of European ethnic societies – YouTube
Not necessarily “ethnic cleansed themselves”, just died out.
Every culture has its golden age after which it starts declining. Like an old man, it becomes slow, tired, risk-averse, with a weakened immune system. Then invariably some crisis comes and the whole thing collapses.
Look at Europe since World War I – two major wars when predominantly white Europeans fought other white Europeans; now Russia and Ukraine, two white Christian cultures. Dropping birth rates, weak and corrupt leaders (Starmer? really…?), intellectual decline (have you watched any TV recently…?), spiritual emptiness.
So, all in all, whilst there are external factors, I think we are doing it to ourselves, or at least we are too weak to resist.
That’s interesting about culture, and reminds me of that quote by somebody I can’t remember, saying that civilizations go through distinct stages:
From Bondage to Spiritual Faith,
leading to Great Courage,
then to Liberty,
then to Abundance,
then to Complacency,
then to Apathy,
then to Dependence,
then back to Bondage.
Oswald Spengler, amongst others.
Also Rene Guenon.
It was fairly clear to a few thinkers that something went catastrophically wrong at the beginning of the First World War.
Hard times create strong people,
Strong people create good times,
Good times create weak people,
Weak people create hard times.
Yes, it’s civilisation. Political boundaries on the twee things we call maps are but insignificant sketches on the canvas of time and inevitability.
Look at Europe since World War I – two major wars when predominantly white Europeans fought other white Europeans;
Oh my. The first world war was to a significant degree black/ brown people armed and commanded by France, Britain and the USA fighting against white people from Germany. That’s just not how it looks like in movies created long afterwards.
And birth rates aren’t dropping, as if by some natural phenomenon, childbirths are being actively suppressed, paid for by the health system, so that women are ‘free’ to work in the economy instead. People from other cultures don’t do that. And hence, their numbers increase while ours decrease. Not exactly surprising.
This But I want to hit my thumb with a hammer, I just want it to stop hurting! attitude keeps amazing me.
Supporters of increased ethnic diversity refer to non-white people as “the global majority”. They’ll be really encouraged to know that the UK’s internal demographics will soon have been adjusted to match the wider world.
More on this from Paul Weston, who wrote this right the way back in 2010; ”To become an ethnic minority in your own country over just a few decades suggests that government policy, as has recently been revealed, was indeed to ethnically cleanse the English from their homeland, although the multiculturalists who committed this wicked act of treason and betrayal never couched it in quite such plain language, preferring instead to frame mass immigration as a means of achieving social objectives. But England of course is just a microcosm of what is a global phenomenon. The third world is booming and exporting its youth bulge to the first world, bringing with it a religion and a culture unsuited to democracy and peaceful co-existence. This can only lead to catastrophe for the indigenous populations. We have seen what happened after the Islamic takeover of majority Christian Lebanon; a 15 year religious civil war that took the lives of close to 10% of the population and wounded 33% — half of whom suffered from lifetime disabilities. So what exactly is the rationale behind importing Islam to the West? Liberals tell us colonialism was evil, so why is the colonisation of white countries… Read more »
Leave the big cities. Go to the mountains and the forests, there you find strong people. Sorry to say it, but cities breed dependence and slavery.
The theosophical position claims that the next 25,000 years will be a period of race mixing. This is the view of our elites. I don’t pay attention to mainstream media but I have heard that for example many advertisements these days have mixed race couples in them (black male and white female never the other way around). There is no business incentive to do this it is suicide from a business point of view. They see racial consciousness as belonging to the Atlantean and post-Atlantean period and they believe that we are moving towards something else now. They tend to keep their own genes in the family though.
Well there goes the neighbourhood.
A nation can survive its fools, and even the ambitious. But it cannot survive treason from within. An enemy at the gates is less formidable, for he is known and carries his banner openly. But the traitor moves amongst those within the gate freely, his sly whispers rustling through all the alleys, heard in the very halls of government itself.
Great quote! Who said that?
Cicero.
And look what happened to the roman empire.
Thanks! You’re right about the Romans. I remember reading a historical account of letters written by a high-ranking Roman official in the province of Gaul, still full of hope that his son would become a Roman senator, even as the Gates of Rome were being smashed by the Goths. Maybe we are like him.
An exodus to Wyoming seems to be on the cards.
But Wyoming only has South Dakota between it and Minnesota, now overrun by Somalian Muslims.
The time to flee has long gone, because unlike 93% of humanity, white people in the countries of the West they built have nowhere else to go. Just like any endangered species lamented by David Attenborough types, Ethnic Europeans need “SAFE HAVENS” to avoid extinction.
The Badlands of Montana may deter colonisers without the necessary grit.
Good point! It will also help the survival of white people if the Canadian West decide to join the USA.
Come to think of it, The English Channel would deter invaders easily, if they weren’t “rescued” within 10 feet of French beaches, escorted by French warships, then by treasonous British RNLI boats to help them invade the United Kingdom.
Remind me why pale-skinned people became the majority at high latitudes. Something to do with vitamin D synthesis being possible in lower sunlight perhaps?
We see increased illness rates in dark-skinned people who live in the UK. Eventually evolution will reverse an increased percentage of such people by natural selection.
Their preferred religion may lead to internecine strife especially if the historically low incidence of technically sophisticated and engineering oriented people reduces the ability to master their environment.
Excellent graph illustrating Professor Matt Goodwin’s sobering research.
Leaving aside race there will be certain areas of the world that will not be habitable by normal people. It will require certain resiliences. I think we are being prepared in terms of matching resiliences with the coming tumult. Think of the ever strengthening flavour of the last few years. In England it will be year on year an intensification of that flavour. At some point you will grip the sides of your head and say I can’t take it anymore.
We are in a time when more happens in a month than in the last ten years. In a month’s time it will be in a week. And then days of constant mayhem. 24 hour news won’t struggle for stories anymore. In the end you will have minutes that contain the riddle of life and we will be as nothing as we thrash with spastic intensity all reduced to a level way below animals.
Straight line projections into the future based on current trends and – everybody’s favourites – computer models are ALWAYS wrong,
This nonsense is why we were told there would be a global population explosion and widespread famines by year 2000.
It also the basis for the straight line predictions to Armageddon in the climate change religion.
We live in a dynamic, chaotic, non-linear, coupled World.
Get a headscarf and tent at a fair ground: Tell your fortune dear? Cross my palm with silver. You’ll meet a tall, dark handsome stranger and live near water.
The DS can do better than this dross.
One only has to look at the article about illegal Channel crossings and government policy to see that immigration is non-linear, and therefore demographic change is non-linear too. The general trend may be correct, but only a fool would set out dates.
Most programs on the BBC are biased propaganda however it’s worth watching the 3rd episode of Scandinavia with Simon Reeves especially the part about Denmark’s approach to integration and how even political parties that would be considered “left wing” reject multiculturalism and accept that immigrants need to integrate and adopt the values of their host countries. Our politicians and other liberals could learn a lot from Denmark.
Erm. No. How can it be an analysis of stuff which hasn’t happened (yet)? It could be a projection based on certain assumptions – which should be stated clearly.
Assume = Make an Ass of U and Me
Dammit JXB beat me to it.
This is the outcome of a UN document from 2003 called Replacement Migration with 1M a year planned for the UK to replace ageing population. All happening. Based on the Coudenhove Kalergi plan to make Europe anything but European. The Committee of 300 (see John Coleman) of which Kalergi was a member will be pleased. Tragic.
Post WW2, the Globalists decided to eradicate Western nations: in the UK the process started very quickly, with the docking of the Empire Windrush. The process to eradicate the English had to start very quickly because they were identified as the nation most likely to resist.
The aim was to avoid another world war by destroying the nations who, at the time, were perceived to be most likely to both instigate one and fight back. ie the West.
They have deliberately created fractured societies, which they know are more likely to result in internal sectarian and ethnic conflicts (like Lebanon, the Balkans and NI), but will never be capable of starting a global conflict.
They aim to control the internal conflicts they will create (as predicted by David Betz) with surveillance, Digital ID, CBDCs and a Social Credit System.
The native, genetic, English are to be eradicated.
Can I say as a non nationalist Scot, that whatever affects England and the indigenous English people, will be mirrored here too. We are slowly but surely being usurped, and diluted. Thankfully I’ll probably be dead by 2050, or a doddery centenarian.