Ed Miliband Set to Lose Seat to Reform at Next Election in Labour Wipeout
Ed Miliband is set to lose his seat to Reform at the next election in a Labour wipeout, the most comprehensive analysis of this month’s local election results has found. The Telegraph has the story.
A ward-level breakdown of the results from the May 1st elections shows that Labour would lose all but three of the seats it holds in the areas that voted [in the local election], while Reform would win 81 [of those] seats in Parliament at a General Election. The Conservatives would lose two of their shadow cabinet ministers.
Electoral Calculus, the polling firm, analysed the results from each of the hundreds of wards in this round of local elections and used the results to predict what would happen in each of the 145 Westminster constituencies where a vote was held.
The constituencies are spread across the country but concentrated in the Midlands, where the former Tory MP Dame Andrea Jenkyns also won the Lincolnshire Mayoral election for Reform.
The results show the stark rise in popularity of Nigel Farage’s party, which would hold its two seats in the areas that voted and win an additional 79 constituencies from Labour, the Conservatives and the Lib Dems.
Fifty-nine of the predicted new Reform seats are currently held by Labour, 19 are held by the Conservatives and one is held by the Lib Dems.
Labour would also lose four seats to the Green Party, while the Conservatives would lose six seats to the Lib Dems, in a crushing of the two major political parties.
Among the casualties would be Mr Miliband, the Energy Secretary, who has held his Doncaster North constituency for two decades but is facing a collapse in local support for Labour.
If Doncaster residents were to vote for the same party at a General Election as in the local elections, Reform would win 46% of the vote to Mr Miliband’s 29%, the results show.
Local Labour campaigners say the party is facing an “extinction” event after the winter fuel cut for pensioners and a tightening of unemployment benefit rules by Rachel Reeves in her last two fiscal statements.
Labour (and the Tories) will be praying it was a local election protest vote that won’t be reproduced in a national election. But then, the polls are currently indicating otherwise…
Worth reading in full.
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Good riddance to bad treason.
Yes, please!
Four more wretched years!
Seriously, I cannot see this mob lasting four years. Not a cat in hell’s chance. Something big will happen before 2029 which will alter the political landscape of this country. Crikey, it might happen before Christmas but the level of degradation being inflicted cannot last beyond twelve months max.
Lots of damage can be inflicted by Mr. Miliband until then.
I think even Thieves will realise the she can’t borrow to fund this Green nonsense. Increasingly the markets won’t let her, making it unaffordable. Ttk and Thieves will also start to realise that ‘green’ isn’t a vote winner outside Islington.
Yes and no, AR4 hasn’t been implemented yet and we’re already on AR7
Who’s still voting Green and LD?!?
Lots of people round my way. My area used to be solid Fake Conservative – I think a lot of the actually conservative people now vote Reform, and all the closet socialist Conservatives who could not possibly vote Labour have gone to the Illiberal Undemocrats and the Fake Greens, without realising what they are doing.
Roll on next year’s May local elections and Welsh elections. Bloodbath – The Sequel.
Love it! Hopefully ‘Bloodbath – the Final Reckoning’!
Oh dear, how sad, never mind
It will be many years too late. And let’s face it, he’ll just be shuffled off into the House of Frauds where he can continue to do everything he can to wreck the country.
I’m not at all certain but can’t the Commons overrule the Lords?
Doncaster North is my area. A straw poll of acquaintances would confirm this analysis, everyone thinks he’s a tit.