UK Electricity Grid Rescued by Gas as Massive Winter Wind Droughts Disrupt Supply

Sunning himself in some Spanish spring sunshine, the British Prime Minister is no doubt relieved that the Supreme Court back home has given him some much needed guidance on the biology of a woman. But we must hope his holiday good humour is being disturbed by news that the breezes that will power his new socialist economic miracle went on strike during significant parts of the first quarter. In a colder-than-usual winter, windmill output fell by 11%, pushing up demand for gas and imports and causing a number of unstable and highly expensive price spikes. What dick is in charge at the Department of Energy, he might be asking himself.

Step forward Ed Miliband, whose entire political career now seems to rest on his ability to keep a straight face while stating that the unreliable breezes and sunbeams are cheaper than regular-as-clockwork gas. According to Montel Analytics, low levels of renewable generation and high demand drove gas-fired power production to its highest level since 2021 for the first three months of 2025. But this gas rescue act came at a large cost since Britain’s increasingly unstable electricity supply, which provides some of the highest prices in the world, showed wild cost swings in windless days in January. On at least two freezing winter days, wind production was more-or-less zero. Not untypical winter weather conditions also saw the sun fail to shine for a number of consecutive days. Some periods saw the wholesale peak-time electricity price top £160 per megawatt hour ((MWh). On January 8th, when winter high pressure stopped the wind blowing across the UK, the wholesale price soared to £300 MWh, while the sophisticated clearing price needed to balance the non-storable supply with instant demand soared to £2,900 MWh.

Gas-generated electricity rose to 26.8 TWh during the first quarter, a rise of 13% from Q4 2024 and the highest Q1 level for four years. This despite considerable new wind capacity coming online. Wind generation fell to its lowest first quarter output since 2020. Britain sits on huge reserves of onshore gas and offshore hydrocarbons but over the winter the Mad One ordered two remaining gas fracking wells near Blackpool to be destroyed. Despite an official admission that gas will be needed for renewable electricity back-up into the foreseeable future, new oil and gas exploration has been stopped. And continuing with the de-industrialising, job-destroying, national security harming themes, a new coking mine in Cumbria was recently knocked on the head and this may have contributed to the economic woes of steel-making at Britain’s last blast furnaces in Scunthorpe.

A modern electricity system fit to power an advanced industrial society is highly complex and must take account of large swings in demand throughout a 24-hour period. Power has to be instantly supplied whatever the time of day, weather conditions and the industrial or social activities a population of nearly 70 million people choose to undertake. Last winter saw long periods of wind drought causing chaos to this delicate operation and the UK was lucky to avoid serious blackouts. The German word for such a drought is dunkelflaute which might roughly be translated as ‘no frigging wind’. It might also be noted that the eco-zealots led by the Mad Miliband who are destroying a once reliable cheap electricity system and causing mass de-industrialisation have no frigging idea what they are doing.

The big lie of course is that renewable power is cheaper than gas. Many commentators including David Turver in the Daily Sceptic have shown this is deluded poppycock. The lie travels around the TV and radio studios because £15 billion of annual renewable subsidies are ignored. Without these subsidies, which add hundreds of pounds to the electricity bills of rich and poor alike, nobody would instal a windmill or solar farm. Add in the extra costs of grid balancing, backup and necessary expansion of the network and it is not difficult to see why some of the highest prices for electricity in the world are driving industry away from the UK. Turver notes that “if something needs a subsidy, it’s more expensive”. But few want to acknowledge the huge elephant in the room since Net Zero is not subject to rational mathematics and science. The obvious reason for this is that it is a political agenda. A fake climate crisis, accepted for 20 years by media outlets such as the BBC without a scintilla of convincing proof, is mobilised to achieve long sought after hard Left collectivist ambitions.

Another reliable commentator is Paul Homewood and he has been working on the true electricity figures for many years. “These subsidies have to be paid because renewables are intrinsically much dearer than gas power, not the reverse,” he observes. But the house of cards is undoubtedly starting to sway in the sceptical breezes. Journalist legend Andrew Neil recently posted on X his frustration with those interviewing Miliband by suggesting they “need to be better briefed so they can call him out when he spouts nonsense”. Miliband often claims the UK is in the grip of petro-state dictators, yet in the absence of job-creating fracking, Britain obtains most of it foreign gas from Norway and the USA. On the other hand, Miliband was noted to have recently travelled to China to plead for stakes in green UK infrastructure. Not so much a petro-state dictatorship, points out Neil, just a dictatorship.

Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.

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Solentviews
Solentviews
11 months ago

The Mad One is going to have to go sooner or later. The pending question is, what size of a disaster will it take before The Spineless One acts and sacks him? The longer TSO waits, the bigger the disaster will surely be..

Marcus Aurelius knew
11 months ago
Reply to  Solentviews

Who would take Mad One’s place? Are there any Labours who have at least one scintilla of knowledge about the UK’s energy infrastructure, or at least the humility to take advice from those who do?

Most MPs are graduates of the school of #TellUsYourFeelings

Keencook
Keencook
11 months ago
Reply to  Solentviews

Yes but then what? I was hoping for an unplanned or better – a planning rollout of blackouts in that critical time in January – but for good or bad or didn’t happen – but it was touch & go I believe.
Unless or until we take the climate change legislation apart signed out by PM May & unopposed by almost everyone – then we’ve got no framework for a future energy policy – which should work hand in hand with an industrial & transport policy – but I might as well be wishing for a miracle.
We live in strange times – never mind interesting ones.

RTSC
RTSC
11 months ago
Reply to  Solentviews

Getting rid of one Eco Nutter will achieve nothing when there is another (potential) 645 to take his place.

Because the Not-a-Conservative-Party, LibDims, SNP etc are just as wedded to the economy-wrecking ideology as Labour.

Art Simtotic
11 months ago

Predictable outcome when a modern civilisation regresses to medieval windmill technology, first superseded three centuries ago by high density, high gradient, 24/7/365 hydrocarbon power. Once a windmill, always a windmill.

Expect no less from a political class pig-ignorant of physical sciences and engineering, devoid of any vestige of common sense and in thrall to climate claptrap.

And lest we forget, plenty of ackers to be made on the side from pandering to green voodoo science – look to further than former CEO of the Climate Claptrap Committee, Lord of the Realm Deben, formerly known in turn as the Right Dishonourable John Selwyn-Gummer MP.

We might as well be governed by Druids.

John Edwards
John Edwards
11 months ago

Milibrain is just like any other politician, ready to take any portfolio at the drop of a hat.
And then, miraculously, be an “Expert” in his new role, just a verbal salesman.

JXB
JXB
11 months ago

Price is the free market rationing mechanism by which supply is balanced with demand. Oversupply – price falls, demand increases and producers reduce supply until supply/demand match.

Under supply – price rises, demand decreases and producers increase supply until supply/demand match.

For the mechanism to work, producers must be able to control supply in response to change in price.

Intermittency. Wind and solar are not controllable so there is no energy market, no matter how much Mad Minibrain plays with subsidies and pricing schemes, producers cannot match supply in response to price signals as and when required. Nor can supply be planned to meet anticipated demand at future times on future days.

Simply building more uncontrollable redundancy into the system by adding thousands more windmills and solar panel cannot resolve the intermittency problem, just exacerbate it by magnifying the mis-match… it’s either famine or feast.

Batteries, flywheels, hydrogen projects will still fall foul of intermittency as recharging them, discharging them cannot be planned and controlled to match anticipated supply and demand.

It’s just physics plus economics.

Hardliner
11 months ago

Mad Miliband only went to China to buy solar panels, or at least that’s all he achieved.

Lockdown Sceptic
11 months ago

Gas Works Wind Doesn’t Solar Doesn’t  

Jabby Mcstiff
Jabby Mcstiff
11 months ago

So sick we are moving into weather times that will destroy solar panels and all the rest Look at how they implement all of this and then spealk in the passive voice as if to say ‘oh goodness, we never thought of that’. It is sicker than you can imagine because you have to be at a certain level of sickness to join the club.

Hardliner
11 months ago

How did stupidity and disenlightenmemt come so quickly and comprehensively? There are thousands of us who fully understand the physics of energy and what it can create, but we are being over-run by Dark Age forces and bad actors. It’s an incredible achievement on their part, especially in an age of mass communication. This is the enemy

DontPanic
DontPanic
11 months ago

Follow the bribes and vested interests. From the Tories Gummering up the climate change committee to Labours donation income from wind and solar owners it is corrupt from top to toe

Hardliner
11 months ago
Reply to  DontPanic

I understand that, ‘follow the money’, but how did the educated class fall so thoroughly for the manifest nonsense of it all? Climate claptrap has become part of a new religion, along with identity politics and gender ideology. Was the old proven route too boring for them all after WW2, were they not grateful to be free from fighting wars and being ordered what to do? Why did humanity enjoy this honeymoon period (1950 to say 1990) only to dash back into authoritarianism of thought, rejection of freedom, and a new religion of shallow stupidity. Most of the grifter types (Gummer, Vince et al) followed, not led

Bloss
Bloss
11 months ago
Reply to  Hardliner

I would be interested to know the answer to your question as well. So many times my contemporaries, born early 50s, and I have said, we were living through such good times, what happened? Was it lack of discipline, through loss of religion and science? Maybe it was from the time the Labour party ceased to represent the working man, and by the time they realised it, there weren’t any. Is immigration the symptom or the cause? Maybe it was EU influence, making us dependents, as it morphed from the trade alliance we remember from the 1970s. My own opinion is that it is all a sign that society has too much time on its hands. If it was an existential crisis we’d be too busy trying to keep warm and finding food with no time for the nonsense.

Trevor Shurmer
Trevor Shurmer
11 months ago

 To me, a non-expert who has been following this since 2008, the arguments put to the public by, dare I say it, writers, activists, presenters and others that oppose the rush to renewables, themselves don’t really give a compelling appraisal of the arguments against renewables. Still we hear ‘when the sun doesn’t shine and the wind doesn’t blow’, which still leads those not really understanding or interested in the technical aspects but ‘favour’ renewables, to believe that ‘the wind blows somewhere’, and ‘solar doesn’t need the sun, only light’ both of which are largely true but, of course, misguided. I personally have been disappointed over the years that these simple statements have misled so many who still believe this ‘argument’ as a reason to pursue renewables. ‘Dunkelflautes’ – another term that, to me, gives a poor impression, indicating that only during windless conditions does wind energy ‘not work’. Surely, it is not the ‘Dunkelflaute’ conditions we should keep referring to, but emphasise that it is the variability that is key, as regardless of the wind and light conditions, we need, to maintain a stable grid and ensure 100% coverage 24/7/365. I am so disappointed that the Kathryn Porters and David… Read more »

adamcollyer
adamcollyer
11 months ago

And while the mad fools try to replace combined cycle gas turbines with wind and solar, look what they are doing. They are building old fashioned and less efficient open cycle gas turbines to fill in the gaps when the wind drops.

https://www.metlengroup.com/projects/open-cycle-gas-turbine-299mw-immingham/

You really couldn’t make up the idiocy that is being inflicted on our country.

rafe.champion
rafe.champion
11 months ago

It is disappointing to see so much analysis of the cost and the fragility of the wind and solar system without mentioning the fundamental problem that needs to be recognised to get out of the bog instead of just analysing it. Wind droughts are at last being talked about, but only as a problem to live with, not to trigger an investigation into the failure of the meteorologists to issue wind drought warnings and the failure of the responsible authorities to check the reliability of the wind supply. Failure on those two fronts has enabled the waste of trillions of dollars worldwide to get more expensive and less reliable power with massive damage to forests and farmlands, not to mention tragic human rights abuses. Recognition of wind droughts, wind lulls, or Dunkelflautes, could have averted one of the worst public policy blunders on record, maybe even the worst ever. Mariners and millers would have known about them for centuries, at least at the local level.  https://www.flickerpower.com/images/The_endless_wind_drought_crippling_renewables___The_Spectator_Australia.pdf Independent Australian investigators documented the impact of wind droughts on the electricity supply over a decade ago but nobody in officialdom took any notice, at home or abroad. https://rafechampion.substack.com/p/the-late-discovery-of-wind-droughts Prudent farmers are alert to the… Read more »