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Lockdown Sceptic
1 year ago

Thursday Afternoon Eastern by Pass Rd 
Heyford Hill Roundabout, Littlemore Oxford 
War on Free Speech Continues

601
Monro
1 year ago

Ukraine fought hard, but there is now no chance of them taking back their country

‘Europe must admit to itself that it was too weak to come to Ukraine’s aid alone’

“When you ask those (NATO) guys, why can’t you spend more on national security, their argument is because it would require us to make cuts to welfare programs, to unemployment benefits, to being able to retire at 59 and all these other things,” Rubio told former right-wing Fox News host, Megyn Kelly on her radio show. “That’s a choice they made,” Rubio said. “But we are subsidizing that?”

Guns or butter?

As Sir Ben Wallace points out, Churchill put it better in 1938:

You were given the choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour, and you will have war.’

For a fist full of roubles
Reply to  Monro

That is completely irrelevant to the Ukrainian conflict. Trump is trying to end a conflict, not stop one from starting.

Monro
1 year ago
Reply to  Monro

Putin’s view is that ‘Ukraine is not a country or a society, but a project of the United States and its allies to weaken Russia. There is no room for Ukrainians themselves to have agency. This is about Great Power rivalry. And it’s specifically about the resentment of Putin and the people around him about how the Cold War ended.’ “For Putin sovereignty is the core value. Only Great Powers have full sovereignty, meaning full control of their destiny. Russia, the US and China are Great Powers. Lesser powers have limited or compromised sovereignty. The UK, France and Germany are essentially satellites of US power. Second, Russia is a lonely power. It does not do alliances; it does spheres of interest. Russia believes the US thinks the same way.’ ‘To return to what Putin’s war is about. It’s an imperialist project; it’s about winding back the post-Cold War security order in Europe; and resetting the terms of Great Power rivalry with the US. At heart it is about Russia itself. That is why we should have realistic expectations about the prospects for a negotiated settlement of the conflict. There is no evidence that any of Putin’s fundamental objectives have changed… Read more »

Monro
1 year ago

https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/12/trump-ukraine-rare-earth-critical-mineral-deal-bessent/ ‘On Feb. 10, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump claimed that he aimed to secure “$500 billion worth of rare earth” minerals as part of negotiations over continued U.S. support for Ukraine amid its war with Russia. When history repeats itself, it’s time to reflect. At the beginning of 1918, amid World War I, Germany and Austria-Hungary were in dire need of natural resources. Simply put, they needed grain, lard, meat, and oil to sustain their war efforts and economies. Ukraine, having recently declared independence from the Russian Empire and fighting to secure its sovereignty, possessed all of these resources. Seeing an opportunity, Germany intervened. As U.S. President Donald Trump might have said if he had lived 100 years ago, it was a great deal. Under the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk, German troops entered Ukraine, ostensibly to protect its independence from the Bolsheviks in exchange for food supplies. The Ukrainian People’s Republic (UPR) regained the power it had lost to the Bolshevik offensive but quickly found that German support came with strings attached. German authorities decided that Ukraine was unviable without their presence, ousting the UPR leadership and installing Hetman Pavlo Skoropadskyi. For a brief period, this uneasy arrangement held. But when Germany lost World… Read more »

For a fist full of roubles
Reply to  Monro

Have you any evidence of your final statement? Russia certainly knows its goal. I would suggest that you don’t.

Monro
1 year ago
Reply to  Monro

Russia’s long term intentions regarding Ukraine have not changed since the mid 19th century. The FSB Outline of Operational Aims and Means document of 21 November 2021 makes it clear that the 9th Directorate of the FSB’s Fifth Service Department for Operational Information, responsible for Ukraine, was preparing for the occupation of Ukraine from at least as early as July 2021. There is a further strategy document available from within the Kremlin, drafted by the Presidential Directorate for Cross-Border Cooperation, a subdivision of Putin’s Presidential Administration. This directorate’s actual task and strategic plan is to exert control over neighbouring countries that Russia sees as within its sphere of influence: Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Belarus, Ukraine and Moldova. ‘The duration of denazification can in no way be less than one generation, which must be born, grow up and reach maturity under the conditions of denazification.’ ‘The collective West itself is the designer, source and sponsor of Ukrainian Nazism’ ‘Ukraine, as history has shown, is impossible as a nation state, and attempts to “build” one naturally lead to Nazism. Ukraine is an artificial anti-Russian construction that does not have its own civilizational content, a subordinate element of an alien and alien civilization……therefore the denazification of Ukraine is also… Read more »

For a fist full of roubles
Reply to  Monro

Just to emphasize ‘Russia will go its own way…..relying on another part of its heritage – leadership in the global process of decolonization.’

Monro
1 year ago
Reply to  Monro

‘Although China’s and Russia’s bilateral trade has increased over the past twenty years, their economic partnership is highly lopsided. Russia depends far more on China than vice versa; China is currently Russia’s number-one trade partner, but Russia was only China’s sixth-largest as of 2023.

As Western sanctions increasingly isolate Russia, it has become highly dependent on China for trade and economic support, particularly in energy exports sold at discounted prices.

China has capitalized on Russia’s isolation by expanding its investments and economic influence within Russia, with Chinese companies increasing their share of Russian market participation. This economic relationship shows an imbalance, with China benefiting from favorable trade terms.

Western sanctions and the war in Ukraine have deeply impacted Russia’s economy, as seen in the weakening ruble, increasing reliance on China, and signs of Russia potentially becoming a subordinate economic partner to China rather than an equal.’

Tonka Rigger
1 year ago
Reply to  Monro

How is China’s relationship with Russia any different from its relationship with the West then?

Look around your house, or around any shop. 75% of just about everything is made in China. The entire West is in a lopsided trade relationship with China, largely because we have industrially eviscerated ourselves through Marxist dogma and harebrained energy policy.

Heretic
Heretic
1 year ago
Reply to  Tonka Rigger

Spot on!

Monro
1 year ago
Reply to  Monro

The boot is still on the other foot. ‘Since the US-China trade war in 2018 and the pandemic, China has introduced policies to encourage export-oriented companies to shift to the domestic market. This has led to continuously falling prices or deflation within China,” Moreover, lower prices also mean reduced profits for companies. “This, in turn, could lead to higher unemployment,” he added, which would potentially create a vicious cycle that makes boosting domestic consumption even more difficult.’ During his first term, Donald Trump imposed 7.5-25% tariffs on China. This time, the Chinese economy is in a much more vulnerable position. In 2018, the property market was strong – driving about a quarter of China’s economic activity. Today, the real estate sector is in a severe downturn. The finances of local governments are in bad shape – revenues have plunged and many are saddled with huge debts. Plus, an oversupply of empty homes means the property sector might never return to the driving seat of Chinese economic growth. There are also low wages and pensions, while high youth unemployment has hit demand for goods and people just aren’t spending enough money. That’s driving prices down – hurting business and growth. Tariffs will impact… Read more »

Mogwai
1 year ago

Yesterday, outside the Turkish Embassy in London, a man burnt a Koran then a man attacked him with a knife. I don’t think burning any religion’s holy book is very bright and you’re obviously being antagonistic, but what I don’t understand is how ‘specific types’ of men are just wandering around with knives, as if they’re some sort of accessory they never leave the house without. Do they just walk around waiting for their moment to strike? I saw a close up of the attacker and he’s got grey hair, so not your obvious gangster type. How messed up psychologically do you have to be to do this and think it’s justified? https://x.com/DaveAtherton20/status/1890094603514298436 This is why I think much of Europe is screwed. Not to be pessimistic but it’s not just about the amount of culturally inappropriate migrants that hate us that our leaders have let in, then all the offspring they’ve subsequently had who cannot be deported because they’re ‘native’, but it’s the amount of traitors in our midst. Unfortunately many being in positions of authority and influence. Imagine being German but wanting more terrorist attacks and murders of innocent civilians, which is what these lunatics are after; ”Far-left… Read more »

Mogwai
1 year ago
Reply to  Mogwai

A clearer vid of the psycho attacking the Koran-burner. I think he didn’t actually stab the guy, but threatened him with it and kicked him. No idea if he was arrested. But did he just so happen to be walking past with a large knife down his trousers?

https://x.com/Matthardy_BR/status/1890197878695686343

huxleypiggles
1 year ago
Reply to  Mogwai

Has this ROPer even been arrested?

Mogwai
1 year ago
Reply to  huxleypiggles

I did see a pic of him being arrested, but it was probably one of them where the police put you in a van, take you down the road and ‘de-arrest’ you and off you go. Apparently he’s an employee of the Turkish Embassy. They must have a decent stash of knives in there, I should think.

Here it is. He’s even denying having a knife;

https://x.com/AzatAlsalim/status/1890454209826353494

Mogwai
1 year ago

Not religious myself, but this here is another example of how the writing’s on the wall for the UK. Although it’s no skin off many people’s noses it’s what this would symbolize, more than anything else. Maybe some non-Christian politicians from another religion find it offensive and have made a complaint or something;

”Yesterday, the Daily Mirror reported that the newly elected Labour MP for Poole Neil Duncan-Jordan, with cross-party support from the usual suspects (2 further Labour MPs, 3 Lib Dems, 2 Greens and 1 SNP), have called for the abolition of prayers in Parliament.”

https://x.com/PhilHs10/status/1890174995395191279

Art Simtotic
1 year ago

Sticks and stones: the idea that words cause harm and the implications of this for higher education

Orwell saw this coming (and our ship of strutting parliamentary fools didn’t). As Syme once upon a time explained to Winston:

“In the end we shall make thoughtcrime literally impossible, because there will be no words in which to express it.”

Myra
1 year ago

I have finished my dissertation on data collection in human avian influenza.
https://open.substack.com/pub/myrauk/p/avian-influenza-in-humans?r=ylgqf&utm_medium=ios
It is long, but just reading the introduction and discussion will give you a flavour of the current state of affairs.

Art Simtotic
1 year ago
Reply to  Myra

Thank you for that link, and congratulations on completing your thesis. As you say on your Substack: “Would it be more effective to allocate resources toward improving public health through better nutrition and sanitation rather than extensive data collection?” To follow up with a historical perspective, zoonotic transmission of viruses has likely been going on since time immemorial. Witness “Annals of Ulster”, compiled in the year 1893 as translation from the original Irish language version, and referring (on page 443) to events in the year 1327… chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://ia601303.us.archive.org/29/items/annalauladhannal02royauoft/annalauladhannal02royauoft.pdf “…A plague of general disease throughout all Ireland, which was called a Cold*: for the space of three days or four it continued on each person, so that he was nigh unto death. *Cold – Namely the Influenza” Quite plausibly a pandemic, given the primitive living conditions of 14th century Ireland. Cold and damp in winter (as today), sole source of indoor heating open peat fires (particulates!), limited diet and likely vitamin deficiencies. Life expectancy less than half what we’re blessed with now. Which leads onto… Is a deadly respiratory virus “pandemic” plausible (or even possible) nowadays? 2025 is not 1327 (nor 1918). Improved living conditions – sanitation, piped water, mains electricity, domestic… Read more »

EppingBlogger
1 year ago
Reply to  Art Simtotic

Data collection should be a low cost by product of general administration. It seems the public sector cannot answer any question without a survey or desk estimates.

Financial, immigration, birth and death, illness, population are all mysteries to the government so ever less accurate estimates are made.

Myra
1 year ago
Reply to  EppingBlogger

Data collection should be done with a clear focus and aim and the level of detail should be such that it is useful.
Else it is a waste of time and money

Myra
1 year ago
Reply to  Art Simtotic

The reason for choosing this topic was the unscientific SARS-CoV2 shambles.
So I decided I wanted to be on the front foot and look at what was actually known about avian influenza in human cases…..

Art Simtotic
1 year ago
Reply to  Myra

Understood. Suspecting we’re broadly on the same page as regards the shambles, but from different backgrounds (mine’s physical sciences applied to life sciences).

The events of five years ago a grotesque over-reaction – am increasingly inclining to Denis Rancourt’s iatrogenic hypothesis:

https://www.globalresearch.ca/video-denis-rancourt-there-was-no-pandemic-it-was-the-state-that-killed-granny/5876206:

“As a scientist, what I decided to do was to look at all-cause mortality data. Our nations collect very good data about the number of deaths. That is something you cannot be biased about.
 My research group, we were the first to say, back in an article that was published in June 2020, that when we look at all-cause mortality data, there is no pandemic.
There was a peak of deaths at the beginning in certain hotspots that was directly due to how people were treated in hospitals and care homes.”

JOpenmind
JOpenmind
1 year ago
Reply to  Myra

Did you review any details from Dr Peter McCullough from the Wellness Institute?
It seems the whole thing is another vaccine sell game and not a serious human risk issue.
i think your thesis would benefit from a summary of findings and recommendations.

Myra
1 year ago
Reply to  JOpenmind

I do see some of Peter McCullough’s and John Leake’s comments on human Avian Influenza. They are making some sweeping statements without nuance.
You are right, it is currently not a human disease and human to human transmission is not a problem. The virus would need to mutate and reassort a lot to become more transmissible and pathogenic in humans. And if the virus has these changes, it could very well be at the expense of reduced viral fitness.
Do you know the UKHSA has purchased 5 million doses of Avian Influenza vaccines? So for a disease that is non-existent in humans and actually for a strain (H5N8) which is currently not the strain that is circulating in birds (H5N1).
The dissertation is long, but if you just read the introduction and discussion it will give you a good insight in where we currently stand.
Forewarned is Forearmed!

Jon Garvey
1 year ago

Trump’s Ukraine peace talks have echoes of Nazi appeasement

The Establishment has been rejecting negotiation as “appeasement” since the start, and it’s led to the destruction of Ukraine as a nation, and the disarming and impoverishment of Europe.

It’s worn very thin as a mantra: Chamberlain’s “appeasement” policy was designed to prevent war starting. The goal now is to negotiate an end to a war that’s lasted too long.

Monro
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon Garvey

The Ukraine whose borders were assured by Britain, the U.S. and Russia in 1994 was destroyed in 2014.

That was a parallel with the subjugation of Czechoslovakia in 1938.

This latest initiative is rather more reminiscent, in some ways, of 1939 and the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact.

Had Chamberlain stood firm at Munich in 1938, the Czech army would have given a decent account of itself, emboldening the Oster conspirators to make their move against the German dictator.

Had Europe reacted by recreating its conventional deterrent on continental Europe in 2014, as many of us urged at the time, it is unlikely that we would all be in this pickle.

Feeble minded vacillation is an expensive luxury in government, one that has been indulged in this country and in Europe for far too long.

We are now finding out just how expensive it really is…..and, if war breaks out, as it very well might……you know the rest……

For a fist full of roubles
Reply to  Monro

There are some pretty massive flights of fantasy in your narrative about the start of WW2, notably about the performance of the Czech army and the overthrow of the German leadership.

Monro
1 year ago
Reply to  Monro

‘In 1938, the 1,500,000-strong Czechoslovak Army was among the largest in Europe, and fairly well-equipped with modern weapons, including locally produced tanks and aircraft.’

‘Czech Army tanks were superior to the Panzer I and II, the first of which was only ever built as a training vehicle and the second as an interim solution: and those two tanks in 1 September 1939 comprised a whooping 78 percent of all German tanks in field units’

Monro
1 year ago
Reply to  Monro

Oster and Beck’s chances of a successful coup are not relevant.

‘The coup plotters had sent emissaries to Paris and London and briefed the French and British about their plans before the Munich conference.

Chamberlain and Daladier may not have given them much chance of success, but that is entirely irrelevant.

If you have an enemy whose military is staging a coup in the very moment that enemy starts an invasion of one of your allies, this will be to your advantage whichever way it turns out.

If the coup succeeds, the invasion will be called off.

If the coup fails, there will be absolute chaos within the ranks of the invading military forces and a purge is going to happen, very significantly weakening your enemy.

So, the correct thing to have done was to take a very bullish stance at the Munich conference.’

klf
klf
1 year ago
Reply to  Jon Garvey

The Establishment has been rejecting negotiation as “appeasement” since the start

Exactly so.

For a fist full of roubles

The mindset of those like Ben Wallace is what has been responsible for prolonging the Ukrainian conflict.
It could have been ended shortly after it began if it was not for the active participation of Western hawks.
Putin had clear aims, none of which involved any other part of Europe than those places which oppressed natural Russian speakers.
At the time Ukraine demonstrably treated the Russian speaking parts of Ukraine as second class and took brutal actions to suppress them.
The Baltic states were not at risk as Russian speakers were treated as equals. The last few years have changed that and the Russian language and those who use it have been progressively marginalised. Baltic leaders’ actions have now put those states at risk too. Trump, quite rightly in my opinion, has decided not to keep underwriting the European belligerance which is so clearly demonstrated by Wallace’s stance,

klf
klf
1 year ago

The mindset of those like Ben Wallace is what has been responsible for prolonging the Ukrainian conflict.

Very true.

Monro
1 year ago
Reply to  klf

It is not true. It is, in fact, complete nonsense.

‘It is important to understand the nature of the war unleashed by Vladimir Putin almost three years ago.

This is not a conventional war for land that can be resolved by offering limited territorial concessions.

Putin’s goals are far more ambitious. He is waging the current war in order to undermine the existing international security architecture and replace it with a new world order where a handful of great powers are able to dominate their neighbors.’

That is Putin’s mindset. He will not change it.

It is that mindset that is entirely responsible for the two invasions of Ukraine, the deaths of hundreds of thousands, the evidenced kidnapping of Ukrainian children for which he has been indicted, the torture and execution of Ukrainian prisoners, the displacement of millions, the assassination of political opponents, journalists, the murder of a British citizen on British soil by means of enough Novichok to kill thousands and so much else.

Anyone incapable of understanding the sheer mindless brain dead barbaric brutalism of this simpleton is either mad themselves or so grotesquely immoral as to be beneath contempt.

For a fist full of roubles
Reply to  Monro

You clearly do not understand Putin and you are in absolutely in no position to tell us what is in his mind.

Monro
1 year ago
Reply to  Monro

‘You might think he (Peter the Great) was fighting with Sweden, seizing their lands but he seized nothing; he reclaimed it…..It seems it has fallen to us, too, to reclaim and strengthen’

Putin 09 June 2022

EppingBlogger
1 year ago

Why must I repeatedly log in. This didn’t used to be required. Who changed what and can they please put it right.

Tonka Rigger
1 year ago
Reply to  EppingBlogger

Echoed.

huxleypiggles
1 year ago
Reply to  EppingBlogger

Ian Rons (DS IT specialist) is aware of the problems and is working on them.

Mogwai
1 year ago
Reply to  huxleypiggles

Yes he emailed me too. I’m writing my comment then find I can’t post it because the system’s logged me out. Happened loads now, but Ian said it should be good now, hopefully. Fingers crossed…

Heretic
Heretic
1 year ago
Reply to  Heretic

Islam: The Politically Incorrect Truth
Worldwide Jihad Report for Feb 01, 2025 -Feb 07, 2025
Attacks 47
Killed 301
Injured 363
Suicide Blasts 0
Countries 9

Heretic
Heretic
1 year ago
Reply to  Heretic

Islam: The Politically Incorrect Truth
Jihad Report for January, 2025
Attacks 110
Killed 711
Injured 536
Suicide Blasts 4
Countries 21

List of Attacks

huxleypiggles
1 year ago

https://www.cityam.com/net-zero-is-making-britain-colder-poorer-and-less-productive/7

James Price of the Adam Smith Institute. Good grief, absolutely clueless.

We also still need hydrocarbons from multiple sources to guard against geopolitical shocks. We were wise not to use Russian energy, a choice that means our economy isn’t as hopelessly floundering as, say, Germany’s. But we should be strategic and take energy from all over, spreading the benefits that brings. We could boost our allegiances in the Kurdistan region of Iraq, bolstering the fledgling democracy there. We could encourage Cyprus and the Turkish Republic of North Cyprus to work together to supply energy (potentially solving a chronic territory dispute along the way). And we should get more from our core allies in the US and Canada.”

Oh yes, that’s the idea. Let’s import energy.

We sit on 400 years of coal, we have gas for at least fifty, ditto oil and fracking reserves until god knows when but let’s import our energy and forget nuclear.

I despair. No wonder the country is in such a mess.

Heretic
Heretic
1 year ago

Ghanaian wins right to stay in Britain after staging marriage she did not attend

Well done to the Telegraph for keeping the public informed about all these outrageous decisions by Biased Political Activist Judges, which are a disgrace to their profession!

JohnK
1 year ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zQfYDm-3STQ Latest report from Dr. Dhand re state action against mRNA products.