Trump is Going to Win Election, Says America’s Top Analyst
Donald Trump is going to win the election, America’s top analyst Nate Silver has said. The Telegraph has more.
Nate Silver, the prominent statistician and writer, has said that his “gut” tells him the Republican candidate will be returned to the White House on November 5th.
“My gut says Donald Trump. And my guess is that it is true for many anxious Democrats,” he wrote in the New York Times.
His prediction comes amid growing fears among Democrats that the race is slipping away from Kamala Harris. One strategist said the party should not be feeling even “slightly optimistic” about the Vice-President’s prospects.
Mr. Silver, 46, has forecast the outcome of most U.S. elections over the past decade and a half and is one of the only polling experts to have predicted Trump’s victory in 2016. …
The polling guru dismissed the notion that “shy” Trump voters, those that don’t vocally support him but do privately, will swing the election for the former Republican President.
Instead he said pollsters were failing to reach Trump voters, therefore underestimating the true scale of his support.
“The likely problem is what pollsters call nonresponse bias. It’s not that Trump voters are lying to pollsters; it’s that in 2016 and 2020, pollsters weren’t reaching enough of them,” he said.
Democrat campaign strategists are now privately admitting that Ms Harris is losing ground to Trump in the polls, particularly in Wisconsin and Michigan, as election day looms.
Worth reading in full.
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That’s the first good news I have heard for weeks.
Since July 4, to be precise
The real question is whether the Don is going to win by a margin sufficient to overcome any cheating, postal vote, ballot stuffing, ‘miscounts’ in the electronic counting machines etc. If he does then I would see this as a potential turning point for the West. I sure hope so, because on present trajectory, we’re being taken down the pan, by fools singing happy songs as we go.
30 mn vote fraud in 2020 – one of the reasons for the Corona scamdemic was to LD the entire country, 160 mn ‘voted’ vs 125 mn in 2016…that is 100% of all registered voters – safest election evah!
….but the vote fraud continues – one example:
You have heard all about this on the Fake News, the BBC and the other propaganda outlets. Of course you have.
Michigan Voter Rolls Claim 8.4M Voters, When There Are Less Than 8M Eligible Residents
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/michigan-voter-rolls-claim-84m-voters-when-there-are-less-8m-eligible-residents
DOJ Wrong: Federal Law Doesn’t Prevent States From Removing Aliens From Voter Rolls
https://www.dailysignal.com/2024/10/23/doj-wrong-federal-law-doesnt-prevent-states-from-removing-illegal-aliens-from-voter-rolls/
BOMBSHELL: Iranian Hackers Broke Into State’s Voter Roll Database – Used Names, SS and Driver’s License #’s to Fill Out UOCAVA Registrations – Shared Video of Their Actions Online!
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/10/bombshell-iranian-hackers-broke-states-voter-roll-database/
What this means – massive fraud + massive VOTE COUNTING DELAYS
The US election results won’t be known for days, probably weeks.
This is to allow the CIA-UniParty complex to sort out the necessary fraud and cue up the propaganda, that in the ‘hottest year evah…’, there was the ‘safest and most effective election evah….’
All the ‘swing states’ will be swinging alright
As the American joke goes:- “My father was a staunch Rebuplican all his life, now he votes Democrat”.
KIds of the ’80s will get the movie reference of this classic here. *Sound on*
Anyone? Anyone? Anyone?
No, it’s not Ferris Bueller;
https://x.com/drefanzor/status/1849227856796385373
Goonies 🤔😉
Bleak prediction: Trump will win by a mile but we’ll never know because the entire election will be rigged by electoral role fraud, postal voting fraud and clandestine groups of pre-programmed ‘progressive’ activist stooges working at the polling stations across the US with the tacit approval of Dem governors and some Republicans too. And when the ‘results’ come in, the Democrats (or Uniparty) will just stand there with their middle finger in the air going “what are you going to do?”. The bought & paid for MSM will present this as a clear & decisive victory and we’ll be subjected to endless commentary on how voters rejected Trump’s ‘disinformation’ and ‘division’ and The Truth won out. They’ll immediately be armed fury leading to riots but this time actually serious and deadly – once again fuelled, egged on and manipulated by FBI & CIA spooks in the crowd. The police & National Guard will once again be misdirected or stood down and many people will be killed and this will allow the Democrats to riff on this ‘darkest day for America’ for the rest of time as proof that Trump voters are unhinged violent Nazis intent on usurping and destroying democracy.… Read more »
I suppose it depends on how many fake extra ballot papers the Democrats can print in the next two weeks, and how many dead people can be persuaded to vote for Kamal-uh.
The only downside I see to a Trump victory would be that I suspect there may be a significant number of honest hard working people in this country looking to flee to America as soon as he wins, I’d find it very tempting
If honest hard working people fled a country every time somebody was elected they did not want, then most countries would be empty! From my experience, US Americans are either fanatical Democrats or fanatical Republicans. Some colleagues and I were picked up from a US office car once and we were discussing the latest film with Robert Redford and asked the driver’s opinion. She said she never watched his films because he was a Democrat! The US choice is, however, sad just as was the recent UK choice: nobody wanted the Conservatives to win but nobody relished Starmer either. Harris is clearly deficient and Trump is 78. Trump once said he would rather enjoy the evening of his life playing golf but felt it his duty to ‘rescue’ the USA. I wish him the best of luck in his efforts but he has to ban the globalists from his team (he unfortunately appears not to recognize who works for him and who works against him) and he will doubtless continue to unconditionally support Israel in their endeavour to rid the Arab world of Arabs, which may end in all of us going down. How anyone can support the empty-headed Harris… Read more »
I said flee TO America, from the UK where I am
America should just go back to mapper voting forms. Less chance of fraud and takes much more work for the filthy left to forge.