Climate Emergency is Not Based on Science, ‘Climate Guru’ Tells Congress

Michael Shellenberger, a Time Magazine “Hero of the Environment” and Green Book Award winner, was at the U.S. Congress today to testify for the seventh time in two years that climate alarmism is not based on science and there is no climate emergency that warrants destroying our energy security and prosperity. The bestselling author, who has been called an “environmental guru“, “climate guru”, “North America’s leading public intellectual on clean energy” and “high priest” of the pro-human environmental movement, made oral remarks which are reproduced in full below. References can be found in his full testimony, which draws on what he has published on his Substack over the last 18 months.

Good morning Chairwoman Maloney, Environment Subcommittee Chairman Khanna, and Ranking Member Comer, and members of the Committee. I am grateful to you for inviting my testimony.  

I share this committee’s concern with climate change and misinformation. It is for that reason that I have, for more than 20 years, conducted energy analysis, worked as a journalist, and advocated for renewables, coal-to-natural gas switching, and nuclear power to reduce carbon emissions. 

At the same time, I am deeply troubled by the way concern over climate change is being used to repress domestic energy production. The U.S. is failing to produce sufficient quantities of natural gas and oil for ourselves and our allies. The result is the worst energy crisis in 50 years, continuing inflation, and harm to workers and consumers in the U.S. and the Western world. Energy shortages are already resulting in rising social disorder and the toppling of governments, and they are about to get much worse.

We should do more to address climate change but in a framework that prioritises energy abundance, reliability, and security. Climate change is real and we should seek to reduce carbon emissions. But it’s also the case that U.S. carbon emissions declined 22% between 2005 and 2020, global emissions were flat over the last decade, and weather-related disasters have declined since the beginning of this century. There is no scientific scenario for mass death from climate change. A far more immediate and dangerous threat is insufficient energy supplies due to U.S. Government policies and actions aimed at reducing oil and gas production.

The Biden administration claims to be doing all it can to increase oil and natural gas production but it’s not. It has issued fewer leases for oil and gas production on federal lands than any other administration since World War II. It blocked the expansion of oil refining. It is using environmental regulations to reduce liquified natural gas production and exports. It has encouraged greater production by Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC nations, rather than in the U.S. And its representatives continue to emphasise that their goal is to end the use of fossil fuels, including the cleanest one, natural gas, thereby undermining private sector investment.

If this committee is truly concerned about corporate profits and misinformation, then it must approach the issue fairly. The big tech companies make larger profits than big oil but have for some reason not been called to account. Nor has there been any acknowledgement that the U.S. oil and gas industry effectively subsidised American consumers to the tune of $100 billion per year for most of the last 12 years, resulting in many bankruptcies and financial losses. As for misinformation about climate change and energy, it is rife on all sides, and I question whether the demands for censorship by big tech firms are being made in good faith, or are consistent with the rights protected by the First Amendment. 

Efforts by the Biden administration and Congress to increase reliance on weather dependent renewable energies and electric vehicles (EVs) risk undermining American industries and helping China. China has more global market share of the production of renewables, EVs, and their material components than OPEC has over global oil production. It would be a grave error for the U.S. to sacrifice its hard-won energy security for dependence on China for energy. While I support the repatriation of those industries to the U.S., doing so will take decades, not years. Increased costs tied to higher U.S. labor and environmental standards could further impede their development. There are also significant underlying physical problems with renewables, stemming from their energy-dilute, material-intensive nature, that may not be surmountable. Already we have seen that their weather-dependence, large land requirements, and large material throughput result in renewables making electricity significantly more expensive everywhere they are deployed at scale.

The right path forward would increase oil and natural gas production in the short and medium terms, and increase nuclear production in the medium to long terms. The U.S. government is, by extending and expanding heavy subsidies for renewables, expanding control over energy markets, but without a clear vision for the role of oil, gas, and nuclear. 

We should seek a significant expansion of natural gas and oil production, pipelines, and refineries to provide greater energy security for ourselves, and to produce in sufficient quantities for our allies. We should seek a significant expansion of nuclear power to increase energy abundance and security, produce hydrogen, and one day phase out the use of all fossil fuels. While the latter shouldn’t be our main focus, particularly now, radical decarbonisation can and should be a medium- to long-term objective within the context of creating abundant, secure, and low-cost energy supplies to power our remarkable nation and civilization.

You can subscribe to Michael Shellenberger’s Substack here and read his full testimony here.

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JohnK
3 years ago

Good to see that they’re actually listening to someone intelligent. Let’s hope others will as well. In effect, transitions from one energy source to another should be reasonable, proportionate, and not driven by panic.

No doubt quite a few manufacturers in America will disagree with some of his testimony, though. After all, many items are made in China – like the one under my hand now. I suspect a certain amount of coal and oil were used for that.

BurlingtonBertie
3 years ago
Reply to  JohnK

But he’s still pushing the myth that carbon emissions need to be reduced…

Hugh
Hugh
3 years ago

And indeed that this is plausible. What has happened to, for example, the aluminium production that formerly took place in the UK? They’ll never convince poor people to be even poorer. (Of course if they pull off this global genocide…).

JohnK
3 years ago
Reply to  Hugh

There is still a wee bit of Al production in Scotland, apparently, by this French firm: https://www.lochaberchamber.co.uk/2020/02/liberty-british-aluminium-renamed-alvance-british-aluminium-as-part-of-new-structure/ Spot the propaganda re climate change etc. However, in the past a fair bit of the industry did invest in hydroelectric up there, no doubt to make a profit by using their own local source c.f. the alternative in those days – mainly coal fired power stations.

At least the old surplus output is available via the national grid.

NeilParkin
3 years ago

I suppose there are two ways of getting the message through.

  1. We can confront it head-on in a ‘believers vs deniers’ death match. or
  2. Tell climate doomsayers that they are right, of course, but the latest evidence says its not quite as bad as we think and although carbon is the enemy we don’t need to take as much action, at quite such a pace.

Maybe we should take a different tack. There is no evidence of Climate Emergency so we can invent our own, surely. Maybe we should just agree with the fools who have been suckered, but just gradually slow it down to nothing. I wonder if that’s what Shellenburger is trying to do.?

BurlingtonBertie
3 years ago
Reply to  NeilParkin

Fair point Neil. An insider demolition of the narrative…

NeilParkin
3 years ago

To be honest Bertie, not even I believe that. I think about it as a possibility because I am an optimistic person by nature, and I’m still coming to terms with the outright malfeasance that we are seeing in our government and others around the World. There is a part of me that still thinks they are just ‘making mistakes’ despite every mistake being predictable and in the same direction of travel. I sometimes wonder if people in the 1930’s were in this position. Its that thing where you can see what the next step is, but can’t believe that they are doing it, and then they do, and the next and the next. Surely someone will step up and stop this nonsense, but they don’t. I’m waiting and hoping for the saviour of our society to ride in on the white charger and drive our enemies asunder, yet I know he’s not coming. I’m old now, but my kids aren’t. I try to talk to them but without frightening them about what will probably come next. Just trying to give them the thoughts and the courage to think them. Its heartbreaking that a few people, plus bus loads of… Read more »

JohnK
3 years ago
Reply to  NeilParkin

Given the level of compliance by the general public with many of the wild ideas that were promoted in the last two years, it occurred to me that it was almost a demonstration of certain events in the 1930s.

RW
RW
3 years ago
Reply to  JohnK

Events in the 1930s were by-and-large just one European country after the other rejecting the politcal system the USA had forced onto all of them after it had produced nothing but a series of increasingly devastating economic and political crisises. As this meant Europe had to be conquered for a second time, European states were pulverized and depopulated even more thoroughly afterwards and the continent remained militarily occupied for the next odd seventy years. To this date, there’s a strong faction in the USA which really wants to restore the Warsaw pact situation in a joint-venture with Russia.

huxleypiggles
3 years ago
Reply to  JohnK

Ooh, I say!

Lancer
Lancer
3 years ago
Reply to  JohnK

Well precisely. I’m still shocked this fact of exactly where our “renewables” are predominantly coming from is seemingly illusive even to the most tepid alarmist zealot. If it weren’t for the Chinese ‘factory-of-the-world’ (with the use of hydrocarbons as a power source) none of this grift would be remotely possible. If solar, wind etc were / are so good and therefore a credible alternative, surely China’s grid and factories would be using it (they’ve a few token installations but only to virtue signal). As we know it’s simply incapable of providing anything close to what’s required – shock horror. To say this has become absurdly frustrating to explain is an understatement.

wokeman
wokeman
3 years ago

Four legs good, Co2 bad. Full animal farm, that’s where we are with all this. Co2 is a miracle molecule, acts as plant food and demonising it is on a par with saying H2O is poison. Bonkers. I don’t agree we need to phase out fossil fuels, they are just darn useful.

BurlingtonBertie
3 years ago
Reply to  wokeman

Hemp used to be grown widely for fuel & for paper & fibre manufacturing, then it was banned. Fossil fuel & wood pulp profits wouldn’t be so high if they had a rival which grew more quickly & was cheaper to process….
Follow the money.
Cui bono?

Hugh
Hugh
3 years ago

“The Biden administration claims to be doing all it can to increase oil and natural gas production but it’s not. It has issued fewer leases for oil and gas production on federal lands than any other administration since World War II. It blocked the expansion of oil refining. It is using environmental regulations to reduce liquified natural gas production and exports. It has encouraged greater production by Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC nations, rather than in the U.S. And its representatives continue to emphasise that their goal is to end the use of fossil fuels, including the cleanest one, natural gas, thereby undermining private sector investment.”

So the Beijing Bidden regime is guilty of “misinformation” then. And by the way, isn’t that just typical of how these politicians tell the truth – “look, we’ve reduced ‘U.S.’ oil and gas use (and never mind about us encouraging Saudi Arabia to increase reduction)”? If they’re not treating people as fools, they’re certainly doing a very good impression of it.

Hugh
Hugh
3 years ago

“Lord Zac Goldsmith” (BBC).

Says it all. When are we getting Lord Toby Young then (Or Lord Mike Yeadon, or Lord Carl Heneghan or Lord Nigel Farage)?

Jonathan M
Jonathan M
3 years ago
Reply to  Hugh

Never, of course – which I take it was your point!

wokeman
wokeman
3 years ago
Reply to  Hugh

Whereas it should be lord Stewart, Lord Hugh and Lord Wokeman if we lived in a meritocracy. Sadly it’s Brownnoseocracy.

petrograde
petrograde
3 years ago

Of course it’s not based no science because if it was, the “science” would first of all have to be expressed in terms of thermodynamic properties of gases. The property to which blame is assigned by non-science clowns is EMISSIVITY which is a zero sum game at thermal equilibrium. i.e. a gas which absorbs heat faster also emits it faster. Therefore emissivity does not affect the radiative equilibrium temperature of the atmosphere. (See Kirchoff’s law of thermal radiation and Page 14 of the document linked below). Engineers understand this and one of them has gone to the effort of addressing the “science” of the greenhouse effect directly. See in particular Page 14: https://gvigurs.wordpress.com/2019/04/28/the-emperors-new-climate/ Mars = 95% Co2. Loses 100 degrees of surface temperature overnight. Earth = 4 hundredths of 1% Co2. Loses only 10-20 degrees of surface temperature overnight. Why ? Because Mars has a THIN atmosphere and Earth has a comparatively THICK atmosphere, composed of mainly nitrogen and oxygen. It’s nothing to so with Co2 emissivity and everything to with atmospheric DENSITY (Thickness). The relevant thermodynamic property to heat trapping is “specific heat capacity”. See here to compare the heat trapping properties of Co2 and Nitrogen. You may be… Read more »

Rose Madder
3 years ago

Climate change is real and we should seek to reduce carbon emissions.”

Yes, and no.

No one doubts climate change is real. See Ice Ages. But “carbon emissions”?

The decarbonisation gravy train is making a few people rich and secures tenure for a few academics, but is enormously harmful for the rest of us. And is completely unnecessary. Like Mr Lomborg, Mr Schellenberger is a great communicator but by using the phrase “carbon emissions” he concedes the argument to his opponents.

By “carbon emissions” authors mean CO2, and they should be made to say so. Because the idea that CO2 is a bad thing which is driving dangerous climate change is the heart of this – disaster, let’s be honest. The decarbonisation, anti-capitalist, redistribution game is a hydra. To kill that monster you have to stab it in the heart, then everything else falls away.

DanClarke
DanClarke
3 years ago

Climate change/massive income and profit grabbing, which is it. Until the mega rich mend their ways……..

JohnK
3 years ago

What should be explained is that “climate change” is normal, which kind of created us in the first place. However, there are evidently some things that we should invest in to cope better with weather variations. Often, what really happens is being forced into projects that react to negative events – such as the improvements between Exeter & Teignmouth on the railway AFTER the flood damage a few years ago.

There is also a degree of deliberate conflation between the concept of trying to reduce certain emissions overall, and the (more reasonable) policy of improving air quality in certain urban areas. E.g. avoiding the old “smog”, or high levels of nitrogen oxide in London and other cities.