Excess Non-Covid Deaths Top 12,500 in 14 Weeks As Oxford Professor Joins Call for Government to Investigate Alarming Trend
There have been 12,517 excess non-Covid deaths registered in England and Wales in the 14 weeks since April 23rd, according to the latest official data from the Office for National Statistics, released on Tuesday.
In the week ending July 29th, the most recent week for which data are available, 11,013 deaths were registered in England and Wales, which is 1,678 (18%) above the five-year average for the week. Of these, 810 mentioned COVID-19 on the death certificate as a contributory cause and 531 mentioned COVID-19 as underlying cause, leaving 1,147 deaths from a different underlying cause. Note that this was the week following the brief but intense heatwave (with recorded temperatures topping 40°C for the first time in some areas), so some of these will be heatwave deaths, as will many of the additional Covid deaths (being people who happened to have Covid at the time).
At the Daily Sceptic we have been following what appears to be a correlation between the spring fourth dose booster rollout among over-75s in England and a wave of now over 12,500 non-Covid excess deaths that are currently unexplained (see chart below).
If all of these deaths were a result of the spring boosters (of which 4,201,990 have been delivered up to July 29th) it would be a rate of one every 336 doses. That figure is likely an upper bound, as not all the additional deaths may be due to the boosters (some may be due to the pressures on hospitals and emergency services, for example). We saw last week that these U.K. data are broadly in line with data from the Netherlands analysed by vaccine scientist Dr. Theo Schetters.
Deaths by date of occurrence spiked even further in the week ending July 22nd, which is likely to be connected with the heatwave of July 18-19th. One oddity is that the spike began in the previous week, before the heatwave occurred, the reason for which is not immediately obvious. More generally, excess non-Covid deaths have remained at a high level as the spring vaccination campaign has wound down, meaning the close correlation has not continued. This may be an indication of ongoing vaccine injury, perhaps in conjunction with lasting effects from previous Covid infection, or of the operation of another cause which has not yet been identified.
As noted in previous weeks, the cause of the deaths appears to be largely related to diseases of the heart and blood vessels. Cancer deaths are, perhaps surprisingly given the withdrawal of healthcare access during the pandemic, broadly at normal levels, suggesting there is something other than lack of access to healthcare going on. The continued high level of excess deaths is unexpected as, following the 144,000 excess deaths of the last two and a half years, we would have anticipated a period of lower than average deaths. Oddly, the Government has shown no interest in investigating this. When Esther McVey MP, Chair of the Pandemic Response and Recovery All-Party Parliamentary Group (APPG), submitted a written question asking the Cabinet Office what steps it was taking “to investigate the higher than expected rate of deaths of 12.2% above the five-year average”, it simply referred the matter to the U.K. Statistics Authority, which merely said it will continue to publish the relevant statistics.
Oxford Professor of Evidence-Based Medicine Dr. Carl Heneghan and his colleague Dr. Tom Jefferson have now joined the call for the Government to investigate these thousands of unexplained excess deaths, noting “we are not aware that the causes for the variations identified have been investigated, nor that there is a recognised threshold to trigger such an investigation”.
“This suggests a lack of interest,” they add, “and begs the question of why such data are collected in the first place. Nevertheless, the signals in the data suggest something is not quite right.”
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Apologies for reposting what I put under today’s news item but I think it is relevant here
I’ve been keeping track of registered deaths per million of population at mid-year in England and Wales for many months now. My chart ties in with the Carl Heneghan chart in the link above. Here it is. You can see cumulative deaths (per million) heading up also. Will be interesting to see where this ends up at the end of the year.
Total deaths as shown in the previous chart tend to effectively represent deaths in the oldest age groupsIf you look at all cause registered deaths in England and Wales in the age band 45-64 (adjusted for mid-year population over time in this age group) you also see deaths running at a high level currently at least relative to most recent years. So this isn’t just an oldest age phenomenon
And if we look at all cause deaths by date of occurrence in England and Wales (not adjusted for population size in this case) we see how deaths have been around 10% above the 2015-2019 average for some time now.
Ignore the last 2 weeks on that chart (the final blip up and blip down) as that represents poor ONS estimates of deaths that have occurred but not been reported. That has been a feature we’ve seen for many weeks now and it should correct itself in future weeks when most occurred deaths have by then been reported and so the estimation element becomes relatively trivial
And if we look at all cause deaths by date of occurrence in England and Wales (not adjusted for population size in this case) we see how deaths have been around 10% above the 2015-2019 average for some time now.
Ignore the last 2 weeks on that chart (the final blip up and blip down) as that represents poor ONS estimates of deaths that have occurred but not been reported. That has been a feature we’ve seen for many weeks now and it should correct itself in future weeks when most occurred deaths have by then been reported and so the estimation element becomes relatively trivial
Many thanks for this addition info.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-62483323 about a person who now has metastasised stage 4 breast cancer, given 2 years to live, thanks to delays in treatment.
I know there are people who want to make out that the vaccine is the one and only cause of excess deaths, but just the general lack of care for two years by our absent healthcare system, the undiagnosed and the untreated may be responsible for a good percentage. Its a shambles and no-one wants to get a grip on it…
And still a high level of deaths in the age 15-19 age group in England and Wales as you can see from this chart of all cause deaths by registration date (not adjusted for population in age group)
Deaths in the 15-19 age group started increasing after the experimental vaccination program began in 2021 (the purple line pulling above the green line)
And in 2022 deaths have been yet higher (light blue line running above the purple line)
Yet in the 5-9 age group (where experimental vaccination levels are very low) all cause deaths in England and Wales are running at around the 2015-2019 average.
A telling point.
From a charitable point of view, they are most likely distracted from the issue by the selection of a new leader. Perhaps they just don’t know, or don’t want to, if the outcome of an effective analysis demonstrates that they are, in effect, guilty of causing much of the problem.
They do know, they do not want to know. Scum.
Do you know what, I’m not even sure they do know.
So many of them are thick as shit, in a gullible, self-intersted, lack of nous way.
PS EDIT: Sorry – just seen your thick as pig muck discussion below.
In essence, I believe that many of them don’t have the nous or independence of mind to question what is going on. Much easier just to defer to ‘The Science’. For me that lack of nous equates to thick.
I agree with the lack of independence of mind, that is fairly obvious, probably in most Western legislatures. However, not good enough. No one forces them to become MPs, they get paid exceedingly well for the piss-poor job they do, they have assistants, etc. Enough mention has been made of excess deaths for months now for them to say it needs to be investigated.
We are talking about the greatest upheaval to society and the greatest assault on civil liberties since WWII, which is still ongoing to some extent and which they are even talking of repeating. That alone warrants these duffers pulling their finger out and starting to do some useful work instead of wittering on about the weather and people’s right to self-identify as a moron and be praised for it.
The talk of excess deaths and lockdown failure has been going on for months, just because it continually gets dismissed as conspiracy theory does not mean they get to abdicate responsibility. If nothing else, they should look into it and come up with a good explanation for why no further investigation is required.
All fair comments, and well put.
We need a better standard of MP.
Ever known a politician or medical professional to freely admit “oh gosh, we effectively made millions of people do something that most may not have wanted to, and now it looks like we made a catastrophic error?”
They know. They don’t want us to.
Oh, I don’t think it suggests a lack of interest so much as wilful blindness. Whatever our politicians or public health authorities are, completely thick as pig muck they are not. They know something is not right, and it is getting not righter by the day. This continued denial and hoping that it will all just go away will come and bite them on the backside in the end. It is getting too big to hide and those who refuse to take the bull by the horn and address the issue will shoulder the blame more than those who show a little backbone. The Dutch temporary corona act got thrown in the rubbish bin by the upper chamber of parliament, thank goodness. Unfortunately, the health mininister wants to have all the same unconstitutional, human rights abusing measures enshrined in a permanent statute. This has met with a lot of resistance, in part based on the fact that no evidence has been presented that the measures actually worked in the first place. Which has got liberty lovers sleuthing even further. And indeed, with 2021 clocking up 2000 MORE deaths than 2020 (which includes an increase of excess deaths in the 0-65… Read more »
It will all somehow be blamed on SARS-CoV-2 and the nasty Tories not locking down hard enough, quickly enough, long enough.
It’s bit of a catch-22, if someone in the MSM could be bothered to point this out.
Either the excess deaths are due to undiagnosed covid – which seems to prove that the vaxx does naff all (aside from the well-noted and undeniable AEs). I don’t believe this, but it is a nonsensical claim that gets made from time to time – if I were still in school I would definitely be stating on numerous occasions that the corona had eaten my homework and would undoubtedly get away with it.
Or the excess deaths are due to delayed/missed diagnoses/treatments – which means that the lockdowns caused more lives than they saved.
No matter how it gets dressed up, none of the measures did anything (well, anything worthy – the lockdowns are directly responsible for a surge in mental health problems, social problems, the destruction of businesses, the crucifying of the economy and a worsening of health care due to the waiting lists that have been built up to achieve exactly nothing).
They might have done something financially, a cynic might say, if it resulted in reduced state pension payments into the future, along with some inheritance tax on the estates of the dead. Depends a bit on what was on their wills, I suppose. Ask the chancellor.
I guess many people are now monitoring these weekly deaths. I compare with 2010-2019 – years prior to the ‘pandemic’, factoring figures to 2019 population levels.
Overall, I find that this week’s deaths are 20.5% above average and 15.2% above maximum. For the last 3 weeks, it has averaged 17.7% above average and 13.0% above maximum.
For this particular week of the year, 1) 2020 was 2.3% less than 2019, 2) 2021 was 12.9% more than 2020, 3) 2022 is 9.3% more than 2021. The ‘pandemic’, if ever there was one, finished in June 2020. Each consecutive year, the deaths have increased.
How about a comparison with age groups? I compare 20-65 with 65+, essentially working age to pensionable age. I find that the excess deaths, as a percentage, are 2.4x in the older group. Those that cost the state are dying at a far greater excess rate than those who pay in to the state. Hmm.
Another check that I have done is on the age group 1-20. Fortunately, I don’t see much of a trend here (see https://t.me/mikes_stuff/527). The USA is way ahead of us in child deaths.
Reminded me of an old script for the Yes, Minister comedy, in which the Permanent Sec advised Hacker that smoking is good for us, as it reduces pension payments, reduces the number of elderly NHS patients, and brings in cash via excise duty as well!
From about 38 minutes in on this Mark Steyn show of 9/8 may be interesting: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CVZZqhdio3M re excess deaths.
Precisely.
Covid has already killed a lot of dry timber over the last 2.5 years so one would now expect “negative” excess deaths due to the demise of the susceptible.
So, the excess death figures are a magnitude worse than the reported 12,500.
People are dying earlier.
I have no clue as to why this could be. Lol.
But don’t launch any sort of inquiry – because the very fact that if this were done it may put people off the jab.
Do the politicians really know? I guess they only get fed the information the minions want them to see. The point being we are looking for vaxx injury and going to sites like the DS to find out this type of information. Most people, almost all don’t have a clue and have no interest looking for it. Reinfection is becoming normalised and people speak about it as a throw away comment they are not linking their illness to the jabs. It’s only going to start to change when to many people have lost someone or realise their injury is related and this is not happening in such large numbers that the government and the complicit MSM can’t brush it under the carpet. Don’t hold your breath folks, I don’t think we’re going to have a dam buster moment. Unless the Autumn roll out causes carnage.
I agree. I suspect the most likely scenario is that the current jabs are slowly phased out, the Danes appear to have stopped jabbing anyone under 50, & are replaced by new more targeted ones, which may be more age range limited. I suspect we’ll end up with a fairly sensible regime like the flu vaccines, get one if you want if you’re over 60 or whatever…. just don’t mention the coerced roll-out, memory hole it.
Unfortunately does not look to be the case. I thought that was exactly what would happen here in NL, that is what happened when it came to jabbing children under 12 with this poison, they slowly and quietly let it go.
Initially there was talk of offering the vaxx only to those over 60, 2 weeks ago they announced they intended to stab everyone over the age of 12 and also to encourage those who had decided to try and keep their blood clot-free to get the first 3 shots. In the letter to parliament the health minister even states the vaxx doesn’t offer much to people under 60, but they should get it anyways because maybe it will temporarily help slow down the spread of infection. He even acknowledged there were AEs. So no phasing out, no memory-holing – and, while they are in a mad rush to recruit something like 12,000 jabbers, no new health care staff to ensure the hospitals don’t get overrun.
Yes – they know!
They have been informed many times over by informed constituents about all the shenanigans during this hoax.
I have informed my MP (Darren Jones, Bristol North West) on many an occasion. I just get rebutted by regurgitated state propaganda – and he is in opposition to the government!
I suspect the mindset is that they suspect that there is some harm from the jabs but because they have bought the story that it overwhelmingly prevents hospitalisation and death they will consider that sweeping this under the carpet is for the greater good. I know not everyone will accept this, somewhat charitable explanation, but it fits with Mattias Desmet’s theory of Mass Formation and note that it does not excuse them: it is their duty to do the research.
What is becoming normal is chatting about what illness you had (perhaps only C19). E.g. at a meeting I went to the other day, one of the attendees did exactly that. He was a pretty healthy, physically fit guy who probably did not have much trouble on account of it, but years ago he would not have mentioned anything at all. I didn’t get involved in a conversation about it, so don’t know if he ever had a jab or not.
The purpose of the meeting was organising a large beer festival later this year, with hundreds of punters, which we intend to do, so we’ll see how that pans out.
12,500 in 14 weeks is 37,500 “excess” deaths in one year.
Or 0.06% as a proportion of the entire. A bit more than half of 0.1%
Is this really where we want to go? Obsessing over the death rate and leaving out all sense of proportion?
If the idea is to draw attention to jab deaths, this is the wrong way to go about it.
If the idea is to call out the harms of lockdown by implying that they’ve caused these extra deaths, then we’re just copying their hysteria.
.
You make a good point
However they started it
I think it’s useful information
The harms of the vaccines and lockdown were predictable and predicted and avoidable, the harms of viruses are inevitable as it stands (though of course you could choose to avoid making new viruses and letting them leak from laboratories
Proportionality?
In the two full years 2020-2021, total deaths due to covid alone (as recorded on the death certificate) was 6,183. Compared to 37,500, people are dying at 12 times the rate of covid. Do we see 12 times the MSM and government coverage? No. We see nothing.
The publicised deaths in 2020-2021 were 156,924 (within 28 days of a positive test), 18,939 (with co-morbidities). Do we see even 0.5 times or the 4 times (respective factors) coverage? No. We see nothing at all.
Proportionality? My rear end!
I don’t think the solution is copying their hysteria.
If it’s wrong to start with, it’s wrong, full stop.
I’m not their victim, i’m better than them.
I’ll tell you something else.
If I’m completely honest, I don’t actually care about jab induced injuries and death. I don’t have a whole lot of sympathy for the jabbed.
They chose their path, they took their risks and they have to deal with the consequences. Just as those of us who chose not to be jabbed have accepted the consequences.
If the jabbed feel suckered by the government and medical establishment, then hopefully lesson learned.
And if people are dying because of delayed treatment by the NHS, I also remember distinctly the polls showing an overwhelming majority in favour of lockdowns. So again, that’s supposedly democratic path our country followed, now it’s time to pay for the consequences.
If there is buyers remorse, well that’s just too bad.
Firstly, coverage does not mean hysteria. With the same amount of coverage time, many cogent and convincing arguments can be put forward to defeat the narrative.
Secondly, I do care about those who were duped. We need them on side because we all need to take down this tyranny – globally and nationally. We do that by healing divisions – not by prolonging and increasing them. That would play into the hands of the tyrants.
Sure. I’m not demonising them. In fact, i consider myself extremely tolerant of them, given how many of the jabbed have participated in the pressure against the unjabbed.
But I have no sympathy for them either.
Fair enough.
My concern though is that we start normalising this obsession with tiny deviations from average mortality rates. It encourages people to start demanding action from the state. And if there is one thing I fear, it’s action from the state.
It is not an obsession and they are not minor deviations. This week’s deaths are 20.5% above average and 15.2% above maximum. A ‘minor deviation’ would be within the minimum and maximum bounds. This is 4 times those bounds.
You’re playing with numbers in the same way that the covid pushers did particularly at the outset, presenting the information in the most dramatic way possible.
Average over what period? 5 years? 10 years? 100 years?
Does the figure take into consideration the ageing population?
Does the figure take into consideration lower mortality figures from previous periods – i.e. dry tinder?
Does the figure take into consideration population growth?
Does it take into consideration distortions in when deaths are recorded vs when they happen?
It’s 0.06% of the population over a whole year if the trend persists. When about 1% of the population dies each year anyway – and rising just because the proportion of old people is growing.
I’m just as angry as the next guy about lockdowns, jabs and all the rest of it. But I’m not about to start over-dramatising small increases in deaths just because now it might suit my purposes.
I explained here. It is a simple calculation and a simple presentation. Dry tinder is not relevant when averaged out over 10 years. (There was, however, about 29,000 dry tinder from 2019 to 2020 adding to the appearance of a ‘pandemic’).
We have, in the last week, over 20% excess deaths. I think it would be absurd to express that as a percentage of the living population (0.2%) and dismiss it.
You may be happy with the current weekly death figures and don’t find them significant. Others, including myself, are concerned and want answers.
I reiterate my points – there’s a difference between obsessing about cyclical trends and deaths that may have been caused by taxpayer funded government action, enabled by taxpayer funded government advertising.
I can only be anecdotal and I always have to remember that correlation does not equal causation.
I would be interested to see an analysis of hospital admissions by cause and whether heart related problems have jumped up massively. I say this because I have known three people recently who have been admitted for stents and bypasses very local to me.
And then I would like to posit a thought – from a non-medical background.
There is no doubt covid and the vaccines affect the heart in various ways BUT could it be the case that what is happening is that, for whatever reason and as viruses often do by finding weaknesses, that those already “at risk” but undiagnosed, are having the risk accelerated into an actual medical issue by either the vaccine or the virus
Who’s afraid of the big bad monkeypox?
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/whos-afraid-of-the-big-bad-monkeypox/
Roger Watson
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In truth, how robust are any of these statistics? Do we really know what triggers the deaths of very frail people in their 80s/90s? Covid became for a long while a useful catch all. Excess deaths are cyclical in nature. The shutdown may well have contributed to their rise but there is no way of proving it for sure, unfortunately. Not that this ever worried the Covid fetishists in the media. For much of 2020 and 2021 it was neither fashionable or politic to die from anything else.
Who exactly are the government’s health advisors? Sage disbanded, the modeller Ferguson gone….oh I forgot it is summer, britain abandons everything and goes on vacation. Unbelievable.
The Government’s plan for our future is to turn us into a Medical/Science superpower.
It’s hardly going to help that process if they admit that they effectively forced experimental jabs onto 3/4 of the population and that, in turn, has led directly to 2400 deaths, 1.5 million adverse effects and now thousands of “unexplained” excess deaths.
Move along ….. nothing to see here …… and money to be made.