Latest UKHSA Data Show Cases Down by a Third
Britain’s daily Covid cases plunged by a third over the weekend as testing dropped to the lowest level in a year in the first official figures since England ditched its free swabbing regime. MailOnline has more.
U.K. Health Security Agency (UKHSA) statistics show another 143,382 positive Covid tests were logged on Saturday, Sunday and Monday, compared to the 215,001 recorded over the same three-day spell last week.
Meanwhile, Covid deaths today fell by 3% week-on-week, while daily hospital admissions increased by 4%. Both measures tend to lag two to three weeks behind the trend in cases.
Today’s drop in daily confirmed cases coincides with plummeting testing rates, sparked by No.10’s decision to axe free tests forever.
The Government’s daily case numbers are solely based on people swabbing themselves and registering the results with the system. Separate Covid-tracking estimates, which show infections have hit pandemic highs and are yet to slow down, are based on tens of thousands of random tests.
Downing Street today insisted the universal free testing programme will not be coming back in England, claiming the £2 billion-a-month lateral flow spending was “simply unsustainable”. Only health and care workers, the elderly and the vulnerable are still eligible for free swabs.
Scotland will end its offer next month while Wales is to stop handing out the swabs this summer.
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And just like that; scamdemic ends. We have been saying stop testing for 2 years now.
Problem: Testing of healthy people hasn’t really stopped. It’s still done by ONS to create these COVID prevalence estimates which are essentially a product of two random numbers[*].
[*] Obtained by testing a random sample of the population in order to calculate a positive test frequency (number between 0 and 1) and then multiplying this frequency with an educated guess at the number of people living in England.
It’s called sampling theory and probability, each of which are branches of mathematics.
If you look into maths, you can find out what a random number is.
It’s probaby best if you stop throwing terms around you clearly don’t understand yourself.
Sampling means taking repeated digital measurements of an analogue signal with a certain frequency. Provided the sampling frequency is high enough (=> Nyquist theorem), theses point-in-time measurements can then later be used to reconstruct the original signal. The every-day application of that would be digitally recording of music for later playback.
There’s no analogue signal involved here and the ONS method has not more in common with sampling than with sawing off trees,
Probability is the expected relative frequency of a certain outcome of a random selection experiments, eg, throwing a dice, given enough tries: When one keeps throwing a dice, the relative frequency of each number showing up will converge towards 1/6.
The frequency of positive test results in a random subset of the population is not a probability because Sars-Cov2 is not randomly distributed among the population. Considering that it’s an infective pathogen, that’s a ludicrous assumption, actually.
But keep posing harder. You might perhaps fool someone.
🙂 🙂
Beautifully done.
Are you just trying to show how super gud you are at sums?
What’s your theory why anyone would be interested in impressing random, typically foul-mouthed internet pseudonymusses?
My theory is No one would ever want to do that.
I rather liked the post, since it reminded me how much I’ve forgotten on the subject.
Better not mention ‘sawing off trees” – it’ll upset her.
In short ..” fake PCR driven .fake cases”
I bet that ‘educated guess’ errs on the side of lower numbers than are likely.
Is that how flat earth people think?
Since you’re projecting your own assumptions, why don’t you just leap straight to the answer that you’ve already decided and tell us what it is?
But, aren’t flat-earthers more level-headed? Stands to reason.
So, so true. Such a simple way to end it all.
Well the injections aren’t finishing anytime soon. My neighbour has arranged to go for his 4th jab and been told that in another 6 weeks he will have to back for his 5th, as they are giving half doses. Insanity, we are now covertly beginning 5th round. This will never stop. Pfizer must have best salesmen ever, or at least they are selling it with the colllusion of the governments.
What nefarious activities are about to take the place of pointless testing?
Modelled (made up) and extrapolated prevalence. Easy, we’re probably now going to have months of [insert random integer] milion people with covid headlines. The show MUST go on after all.
Most are now “safely” vaxxed and so the government’s heavy lifting has been done. The blue touch paper has been lit and it’s now time to sit back and watch the show.
I suspect it will be quite a show.
Indeed. Tricky thing is climate change, you never know where it will strike next.
Indeed. That’s why I’m fully up to date on all my boosters. Because it’s safe an effective and I want to save the NHS. Freedom is slavery.
Think how bad you’d be if you didn’t have all 12 of your boosters?
If anybody survives 12 boosters that will be a miracle for the scientists to investigate. And Billy will call for an investigation because the implications are that something went wrong back at t’brewery.
Eager scientists are already explaining that heart problems are caused by “Covid”.
Those who didn’t “test positive” and were “vaccinated” will have their heart difficulties attributed to “Covid” they actually had, but didn’t know it. False negatives, you see – or not enough testing.
Then they will “mandate”, “for the Common Good” and to ‘keep people safe’ a ‘new’ Gates/WHO sponsored “one I made earlier” mRNA ” Supervaccine” to tackle the ‘heart problems’ they claim are caused by their New Deadly Covid Strain’ ( in fact by the ongoing effects of the first vaccine and the endless boosters) .
The next mass injection wave and the grateful forelock touching compliance of the mindless sheep are surely guaranteed?
Bloody hell, David – it’s morning here and I’m enjoying my first pot of tea. Don’t ruin it!
Two billion pounds per month – created and spent, to line a few pockets and manipulate millions.
Perhaps somebody might like to contemplate what such money might have achieved, if it had been directed to improving public well-being?
Who, close to Johnson, is at all interested in that?
Maybe some of the below-stairs domestic staff who stand carefully to one side with their eyes downcast when our Premiere or her husband breeze past.
For a start, making sure that the EU’s war in the Donbass didn’t escalate, and that even if it did, we would be well prepared for any fallout. What do we pay our taxes for if not to be kept safe and warm?
They’re probably going to resume relying on Pantsdown’s apocalyptic modelling.
The number of tests conducted in the last 7 days is in the range of what used to be common at the beginning of March and roughly matches the situation end of February/ beginning of March last year, before the testing driven bullshit pandemic went into production mode.
Must be time for the new variant soon ?
There’s a new Omicron sub-sub-variant referred to as hybrid BA.1/ BA.2, claimed to be much more infectious than anything hitherto known to man etc, etc.
Someone should say “shutup fool” to SAGE, it’s all a load of Baracus.
Unless that man’s a lab technician in Wuhan, that is.
They are now resorting to Omicron XE variant. Sounds scary doesn’t it? Personally I’m waiting for the Omicron GTi Sport variant.
I’m waiting for Omicron vs Alien: Director’s Cut
You are behind the times. I’m waiting for the Disney Omicron reboot. This time with better representation of transgender kids.
And all the guns replaced with temperature sensors.
With “go faster” stripes, I hope?
Sorry Hypatia – our minds thought alike. Should have scrolled down … you won!
Shouldn’t we be hoping for the Omicron Hybrid now that EV’s are all the rage?
Hope it comes with racing stripes!
I thought the XE variant would only infect people with genital-dysmorphia?
Fire up the Omniquattro.
Xtra Effective?
Absolutely, the bottom of the Greek alphabet contains a winner, in my opinion: “Omega”.
Surely this “pandemic” has been begging for the Omega variant? Sounds like a Michael Crichton novel.
https://notrickszone.com/2022/04/03/berlin-physician-estimates-cases-of-severe-side-effects-at-3-projected-one-million-affected-in-germany/
“Achgut.com comments that “we are dealing here with a completely new vaccination technology” and: “We do not yet know what the new mRNA vaccines will do to our immune system.””
A week or so ago Karl Denninger said that he expected a minimum of one in thirty people to have serious side effects.
Carry on giving the boosters and they can f up everyone’s immune system
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5eJ5TIT6zvk
“Latest Pfizer VAX DATA DUMP Shows Natural Immunity WORKS. ADE, Fertility Unknown”
I would like to hear from an unbiased doctor treating patients in hospitals whether COVID can still be distinguished by clinical diagnosis from other respiratory and pulmonary diseases.
In other words, can they identify it to a high degree of certainty without a test or not.
And also if the treatment varied in any way from other respiratory diseases.
If not, then I think the next stage of the great wind down should be to stop referring to COVID altogether and just refer to it as a cold, pneumonia, whatever it is.
Please.
Infections in the UK?
“More than 60 cases of salmonella have been linked to Kinder Surprise eggs.
The products affected are the 20g eggs or the three-pack of eggs, all with a best-before date between July 11 2022 and October 7 2022.”
“Symptoms of salmonella include diarrhoea, stomach cramps, nausea, vomiting and fever.”
https://metro.co.uk/2022/04/04/around-40-children-under-five-suffer-salmonella-poisoning-from-kinder-eggs-16402575/
You wouldn’t expect that from a kinder egg but that’s the surprise I guess . They sound like covid symptoms🤔
“Covid infects Kinder.”
That’s a great headline for the MSM.
Have the eggs had the vaccine?
Doesn’t everything?
I thought they were most of the new symptoms of covid, or am I stating the obvious of what you were alluding to?
This “cases” analysis is, has been, and always will be meaningless. All it tells you is how many people perform the stupid test AND report the result. There are so many problems with using this data for anything. I don’t have all the right statistics vocabulary, but I do have common sense.
Luckily the ONS knows something about statistics.
The prevalence survey has been the ONLY reliable source of information on the status of the pandemic. If you look at the prevalence reported most recently, you will find it is very high.
There is a very big bet being placed on increasingly mild variants. That bet is a risk, since mutation is a random process, modulated only by the transmissibility of the resulting mutations. If it jumps in the wrong direction, then there is big trouble.
There is a very big bet being placed on increasingly mild variants. That bet is a risk, since mutation is a random process, modulated only by the transmissibility of the resulting mutations. If it jumps in the wrong direction, then there is big trouble.
The theory behind that is that decreased virulence provides reproductional advantages and hence, variants will decreased virulence will eventually become dominant. Simpler put: When a host body dies because of a viral infection, all viruses still in it die as well.
And then, as the Swiss doctor recently pointed out, viruses aren’t really becoming less virulent, it’s the body’s immune system becoming more efficient at eliminating them.
Id be more worried about getting more boosters for the wrong antigen if I was you. I wonder if they will be using the same strategy when giving out flu vaccines this year. Example:Present flu strain h3n2. Vaccine given h1n1 with half a dozen”boosters” every couple of months🤣
The population will be getting sicker and sicker the more glup they keep pumping- who knows what the Witches’ brew “end game” will bring?
So tell us what we should do to avoid this possible grave threat
Tree may have departed for instructions.
Tree leaves?
Will tree’s controller bark out instructions?
He’s a bit of a nut…What he says isn’t rooted in reality.
One day tree will twig, but for now he saps my energy and I hope he suffers storm damage.
I like the way thy mind works …
And don’t forget your own, earlier advice AE – ignore the troll.
I’m being good, hp – so proud of myself. Just conversing with the humans.
And if it grows wheels, it’ll be a wagon.
I’m sure that what you’ve written is applauded in all the RightPlaces™, tree.
Trubble is it meenz bugger all to me.
Tree, you still haven’t explained why this “deadly pandemic” we’re all supposedly living through caused no change to life expectancy in the UK (81 years) over the last two years. I’ll wait.
Actually there was a good one recently – Sweden all cause mortality below average from January 2020 to June 2021. Still, I dare say they were worse than their neighbours (no, not those neighbours).
There’s a very big bet being placed on the short-term benefits of mRNA covid vaxes outweighing any future impairment of human immune systems.
No wonder these gambling websites are so popular.
I think I might have had covid over the last few days. It has presented as the mildest cold I have ever experienced. I had a sporadic tickle in my throat and was slightly more fatigued than usual. Although it might not have been covid and might have been the after effects of smoking a couple of fags on a night out and sleeping in a (literally) freezing cold bedroom.
Utterly meaningless.
But then again so were the last two years or so.
Apart from the fact that TRPTB accumulated record wealth in so short a period and took us one step further to their goal of Total Control via digital ID enabled by deliberate fear porn – with a compulsory jab as the only way to salvation for the sheep.
May they all rot in Hell forever.
So the NHS has updated it’s full list of Covid symptoms – 12 of them!!
And browsing through, I always have at least 3 of them, if not more.
Presumably, our knighted royal ministers would recommend I lock myself up into a windowless room with a mask and a vaccine-jab machine for the rest of my days …. Well, as long as I have Netflix.
One of the symptoms is being unable to think for yourself.
Given the neurological side effects of the injections, that seems quite likely!
“Cases”, “Covid deaths”, “hospitalisations”
Rubbish data based on dodgy tests and ill defined criteria
Of course, if you used well-defined criteria, then your scamdemic would be so much harder to push.
It’s like the grand old Duke of York song. (Apologies for mentioning that name).
“When he was up he was up/When he was down he was down/ When he was only half way up/ He was neither up nor down”
I’m still waiting for the “he had 10,000 men” scandal.
“Infections”?
Why is this article from the DM worth reading in full? These graphs show nothing but lines of fiction and fantasy…..faulty worthless tests and UKHSA ….the two go together.
Nothing in the “Daily Mail” is worth reading in full.
That’s rather an unfair comment. The headline can usually be dismissed, but it’s one of the few rags that does seem to make an effort to publish the latest Ministry of Coofs output in full.
We’re not supposed to draw our own conclusions from that, and what we’re told to think is often at odds with the data presented.
But it’s still better than most other meedja sources which tend to only publish the results that support their chosen narrative.
Not even the headlines.
I skim the stories for 30 seconds and skip to the comments.
Regarding comments, a year+ ago, clicking “Best rated” would get you a load of tripe from bed wetting, lockdown bleating, zero risk zealots. Now, it’s the other way around.
And, of course, Daily Mail readers aren’t …. well … the sharpest tools in the shed, the comments can be pure comedy.
Oh DM best rated comments. I hardly ever read them. Better than the Graun or BBC though I imagine.
I tend to go the Graun comments when I need cheering up.
It’s like satire, but of the unconscious variety.
If only they could give us proper data, that would be enough
”Downing Street today insisted the universal free testing programme will not be coming back in England, claiming the £2 billion-a-month lateral flow spending was “simply unsustainable”. “
As opposed, to for example, shutting down the entire nation for months on end while paying people to sit at home and do nothing, or shutting down the entire NHS for a couple of years, while still taxing people to pay for the health service they need but can’t access, or shutting down fossil fuel extraction from plentiful reserves and handing control of our energy supplies to foreign governments, that simply unsustainable?
Ken Bates couldn’t have made a worse job of it…
Sigh.
They’re not ”cases”, are they, Mr Y? They’re just the result of obsessive testing. Perhaps now that the dimwitted have to purchase kits from their own pocket, they won’t be so keen to show how ”virtuous” they are.
I wonder if true Branch Covidians will still continue report positive results based on nothing more than their faith that they must be sick, and clinging to life only because of their three, four or five doses of miracle medicine.
No doubt they will. A friend of ours, having been poorly with the BigC, believes he (sick for only three days) fared better than his wife (sick for five days) because he is quadruple jabbed and she only had three. Should I tell him that I had a sniffle for two days (unjabbed) – though I only presume it was the BigC because whoever bothered ‘testing’ for a common cold?
1/3rd? We know more people than ever with covid right now, family friends, neighbours! It has not gone down in numbers what a load of rubbish. Nearly everyone we know with covid triple jabbed except the kiddies. So when three jabs don’t work why on earth are all these idiots, I mean people going for a fourth jab? The only people not taking covid vaccines are highly educated or a part of the vaxx cabal. We know so many people injured by these vaccines it is almost unbelievable. A fib, heart attack, strokes, cancers, blood clots, sciatica, eye blindness, sepsis, severe lung infection, vertigo, unsteadiness, severe back pain, to name a few of the many adverse events.
the vaccines are driving the virus to mutate. If the day comes when the virus mutates into something much more virulent, perhaps people will finally wake up. Unfortunately it will be too late.