UKHSA Report Confirms Omicron Causes 62% Fewer Hospitalisations Than Delta
Analysis of data from England by the UKHSA released today confirms that the Omicron variant is causing less severe illness than Delta. The new Technical Briefing, number 33, finds that risk of emergency admission to hospital with Omicron compared to Delta was reduced by 62%, confirming earlier results from South Africa, Denmark, Edinburgh and Imperial.
Read the BBC story here.
The briefing also shows that the Omicron household secondary attack rate (the proportion of household contacts an infected person infects) has dropped to 13.1%, meaning nearly 87% of people who live with a person infected with Omicron do not go on to test positive. This compares to a current household secondary attack rate for Delta of 10.1%, so almost the same, differing by only 3%. Note that the direct secondary attack rate for Alpha this time last year was 15.6%, so the claim that Omicron is spreading much faster than previous variants – is much more transmissible – is not supported by this data.
Stop Press: Michael Simmons, a data journalist at the Spectator, has summarised the most recent data about Omicron, nearly all of which makes the case for another lockdown less persuasive.
To join in with the discussion please make a donation to The Daily Sceptic.
Profanity and abuse will be removed and may lead to a permanent ban.
Also – remember that the hospitalization numbers are small in the first place – look again at the absolute risk.
Absolute versus Relative Risk Revisited
Norman Fenton
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kRLWXnBoXZI
Anything from UKSA is not worth the paper it’s written on
All the so called data is accumulated via junk in junk out modelling, supposed ‘cases’ that may or may not be medical cases, alleged ‘infections’ in people that may or may not be infectious and its all driven by testing systems that are clouded in secrecy using computer generated assays that locate non specific RNA strands common to many strands of viruses.
Well I found this gem at the bottom of comments so I think it was missed but it’s as devastating to Branch Covidians as the above article.
Judgment day: Sweden vindicated – Swiss Policy Research
The household infection rate is far too low to be compatible with a disease with the (supposed) infectiousness of covid in general, let alone the super-infectious (or something) Omicron variant. It is possible that covid spreads via superspreaders rather than a measles-like direct spread from all those that are infected. The superspreaders concept was often spoke about in the early days of covid, but things have gone silent since summer 2021. Yet the concept is sound. If covid is spread by superspreaders then simply considering household infection rates (etc) wouldn’t tell you much. The slight increase in household infection rate might reflect there being more superspreaders, but alternatively each superspreader might infect more people or remain infectious for longer — these possibilities would also result in much larger numbers of people being infected. I’d note that there is also the interaction with superspreaders and vaccination — given the consistently high case figures over the last 6 months has it been that vaccination increased the likelihood of an individual becoming a superspreader? There is scientific theory to support this hypothesis and it wouldn’t be visible in overall statistics (ie, a majority remaining protected from covid would dominate the overall vaccine effectiveness… Read more »
The consistently high level of COVID bullshit statistics has consistently been driven by increasing the amount of tests done in the UK to ever more absurd amounts. Since 2020/01/07, every person living in England has statistically been tested about 6.5 times (more than 364 million tests). And more than a fifth of these more than 364 million tests have been done since 1st of October 2021. And that’s the end of the story.
No more COVID bullshit, of no variety. Ferguson can go home. And take Vanden Bossche and all the other apocalyptic cranks with them. As of yesterday, the amount of so-called cases per person in hospital has reached 128 (rounded), even surpassing the first peak of the bullshit epidemic before the school summer holidays and it’s still rising fastly.
https://www.leicestermercury.co.uk/news/leicester-news/total-covid-cases-leicestershire-top-6400124
“A total of 11 people were admitted to Leicester hospitals with Covid-19 in the last 24 hours.
Of the total 103 Covid-19 patients in hospital, 11 are on ventilation beds.”
Same level of journalistic carnage as my fellow Mirror Group News ‘Local Live Online’.
Leicester sub headline reads ” blah blah can will overwhelm the NHS . .”
So which is it, can or will?
Throughout all of this comedy of unfunny errors, hospitals where always supposed to be overwhelmed next month (usually in three weeks). That part of the story hasn’t changed since March 2020.
Agreed, “in three weeks” was always a common theme, starting with Flattening The Curve (or was that a trial run at a mere two weeks?) by which time the next scary story would arrive to distract us.
As an out and about ‘key worker’ I was in and out of the main hospital during lockdown proper (to use their otherwise rare toilets) and until March this year.
Never once was it anywhere near overwhelmed both by observation and staff testimonials.
Since March I have been in and out as a patient (currently in for Xmas), not once has there been any sign of ‘overwhelmed’.
Staff are working normal hours and there seems to be no more attempts to empty out the wards than is usual for Christmas and Easter.
Later in the article the attached purports to be a proper sentence (in full).
Junior journoes clearly been instructed to make the stats seem as scary as possible even if meaningle.
Local BBC news interviewing last minute Chrimbo shoppers only found those who were “a bit scared and not going to hospitality venues out of fear of bringing Covid to Xmas lunch” rather than celebrating Not Cancelled Christmas.
Many years ago me and my Oppo Bernie offered our unnecessary Line Manager a Retail Cutomer Satisfaction Survey.
Top response came ‘Adequately Facilitated’ which the idiot duly presented to The Board monthly meeting.
Asked “what exactly does ‘adequately facilitated’ mean Bob?”
Bob, of course, had no clue since Bernie and I had just made it up.
I love your story about the survey – I’ve been doing my job for 35 years and every few months I have to learn a whole new set of Bullshit Bingo terms that the overpaid know-nothing consultants like to bandy about to make themselves look important – all of these terms are just alternative words for things that have always existed, like a “touchpoint” which is a meeting… Tossers.
They like borrowing terms from manufacturing industry too – a ‘workshop’ is now a vacuous bullshit session rather than a place where physical things are made or repaired. The bullshit lexicon also encompasses ‘toolkits’ and ‘nuts and bolts’.
I had a former colleague who was well into this sort of thing. His department meetings were at various times called a ‘huddle’ and an ‘FYI’.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVV4Cppktuk
Swansea Manager Russell Martin Defends The Right To Free Choice
PJW on top top top form –
I feel like we’re winning.
There is even a website of Algarve establishments (I live in Portugal) balking all measures in force – one restaurant announcing that clients who “believe this nonsense should not bother eating here”.
Paul strikes again: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yzva0Wrs8Os
Have a good evening 🙂
30k views in 30 minutes yet still most people believe the bollock.
Headed for half a million by tomorrow.
Says 42,227 here – I watched it – not bad. What amazes me is that no-one has dragged the likes of Ferguson out of Imperial College and put them into a dustbin.
There are so many people fed up with this Covid sillyness … yet … oh dear, there’s me “inciting insurrection” again and someone will be along shortly to say “You first!”
I’m not going to say “you first”, I just think it would not solve much, at least not yet. I think you need broad popular support, or a big minority right behind you and a big chunk of floaters ready to get behind the prevailing mood. I think we are close, but not there yet.
Ouch.
I’ve subbed to Paul Watson for years, while he sometimes goes off on a bit of a tangent he is pretty always spot on.
I mentioned last week that both of my taxi drivers ignored the new mask mandate and complained of being ‘fed up with it all’.
Hopefully bozo will not notice this ensuring a greater the explosion of anger.
Lots of rail staff seem to be ignoring it too, and none of them seem to be making any attempt at enforcement.
It’s not their job to enforce mask mandates so why should they?
As for them ignoring it, they will have been more exposed to Covid than most and will have noticed few of them falling by the wayside.
They certainly were trying to enforce it during the last muzzle mandate – there were some right obnoxious jobsworths among them too.
And 49K as of 15:44, zero dislikes.
Article headline “. . . new research is now emerging . . .”
Strang, I thought that was what the South Africans were telling us several weeks ago.
Is their science somehow less worthy of ours?
They needed to crank up testing before admitting that. Otherwise, their story of imminent doom would obviously fall apart. As never before seen amounts of tests (anywhere in the world) produce – ha ha ha – record amounts of positive test results, the bullshit is set to continue for some time.
Their reliance on the publics lack of relative risk awareness, about which many here are much more expert than I, has been staggering. Just as well for them that they don’t really bother teaching Stats these days, except as an exercise on wokeness.
The main article on the front page of the Times. It would not have been run even 7 days ago. Hospitalisation reduced by 70% and boosters useless after 10 weeks.
Maybe can we hope…..
The express meanwhile…
OMG talk about kissing goodbye to their readers.
How many people have been or will be hospitalised with mental illness, cancer, etc due to the instigation and handling of omni con?
No-one because the hospitals are all full of Covid patients (99.8% unvaccinated and ‘young’, of course)… still, they can always pop round to Imperial College for a nice cup of tea and some biscuits. Professor Neil Ferguson has permission to use the kettle… it’s OK – he’s qualified to do that!
It’s the young, fit and healthy filling the corridors!
There will be disappointment that they’ve not been able to fabricate anything scary. I think this will be good ammunition for those in parliament who want to stop this nonsense now.
Our healthcare system is about to experience a tsunami! Potential side effects of jabs include chronic inflammation, because the vaccine continuously stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies. Other concerns include the possible integration of plasmid DNA into the body’s host genome, resulting in mutations, problems with DNA replication, triggering of autoimmune responses, and activation of cancer-causing genes. Alternative COVID cures EXIST. Ivermectin is one of them. While Ivermectin is very effective curing COVID symptoms, it has also been shown to eliminate certain cancers. Do not get the poison jab. Get your Ivermectin today while you still can! https://ivmpharmacy.com
I don’t think they’ll listen. They’re full of their own self importance and need a regular fix of controling us.
Micheal’s article is a good one. It’s also important to point out that ANY hospitalisation within 14 days of a positive test counts as a Covid hospitalisation.
So you have a positive test 2 days ago, 12 days later you break your ankle go to hospital. Bingo, COVID admission.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1043758/20211223_OS_Daily_Omicron_Overview.pdf