Professor Lockdown Predicts ‘5,000 Omicron Deaths a Day’ Unless We Lockdown
Gloomy modelling by Neil Ferguson has forecast up to 5,000 Omicron deaths per day this winter unless restrictions are tightened within a fortnight. As usual, the fact that he’s got more or less every previous forecast wrong does not mean he won’t be taken seriously. MailOnline has more.
Neil Ferguson and his team at Imperial College London found “no evidence” the variant is less severe than Delta but estimate it is five-and-a-half times more likely to re-infect people and make vaccines significantly weaker.
Drawing on data from Omicron’s spread in the UK and South Africa, as well as lab tests on vaccine effectiveness, they concluded: “Omicron poses a major, imminent threat to public health.”
Professor Ferguson – a Government adviser whose modelling has spooked No10 into lockdowns before – said tighter curbs were needed “in a week or two” to have a significant effect on the size of the peak of the new wave.
The latest projections will raise fears that Britons could be stung by last-minute festive restrictions once again, with Boris Johnson repeatedly refusing to rule a full lockdown out if hospitalisations start to surge.
Wales has already announced the return of social distancing and closure of nightclubs from Boxing Day, while Scots are urged to limit mixing to three households and people in England are advised to “prioritise” social events.
In a best case scenario, Imperial said without further curbs there could be in the region of 3,000 daily Omicron deaths at the peak in January – significantly higher than the previous record of 1,800 during the second wave.
Professor Azra Ghani, an epidemiologist at the university and one of the researchers behind the modelling, said it was an “illustration of the need to act”.
Yesterday, Chris Whitty told MPs yesterday that he was “extremely cautious” about SAGE’s modelling of Omicron because there are still some “really critical things we don’t know” about the variant.
SAGE’s models have been criticised several times in the past for overegging the UK’s epidemic, most recently projecting 6,000 daily Delta hospital admissions in October.
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Why is that serially incompetent pathological liar continually given a platform by the media?
In fairness, here the story says (last quoted paragraph): “SAGE’s models have been criticised several times in the past for overegging the UK’s epidemic, most recently projecting 6,000 daily Delta hospital admissions in October.”
His views are reported as news because, whether we like it or not, the government still listens to him, thus his views are still important.
I thought he resigned?
He resigned from SAGE and was promptly given a place on NERVTAG which feeds into SAGE.
Those revolving doors again.
Only Gates is allowed to fire him.
Fair enough since Gates paid him $148.8 million.
His views are still only important to the MSM & government because it continues to fuel their fear narrative, otherwise, most people just now laugh at his “modelling.”
Thank you, That’s the comment I was trying to compose.
“the government still listens to him” Maybe, if you believe the government are interested in finding out the truth or are seriously still treating covid as a public health “emergency” that they can “fight”. All the evidence points in the other direction, and Ferguson is useful to the government, as they are useful to him.
In fairness, that doesn’t answer my question, whether you like it or not.
Are you aware of this legal letter to Chair of MHRA Gross Negligence?
https://t.me/s/robinmg/12890
In fairness? More in absurdity.
But at least we have confirmation that Moronic is very mild – the one use that Ferguson has – the inverse law of Imperial fiction.
Rowlocks! Because the government listens to the stream of BS from this source doesn’t mean his views are important. They are usually nonsense, have been for years, and the hoodwinker has a bunch of fools hypnotised.
His “views” are as relevant as his modelling skills; this guy, now in tandem with Whitty is the High Priest of Project Fear. This is a propaganda war against the citizens of the UK – I am not complying. It is very clear “they ” might not want the massive backlash if this Christmas is “cancelled” so put your money on no New Year. The meal mouthed comments from “sources” will be dribbled out over this weeken – cue another press briefing possibly by mid week latest – ” we are not locking down”…..liar..
When you consider that the mandatory vaxxing of all NHS front line staff has been slated …..for April 2022. How crass is that – just so they can say they have “been proactive” or some such bollox even though one scenario is that if this far more transmissable, more infectious but with significantly less symptoms ( i.e. a cold – as the SA doctors have stated already) numbers drop like a stone and hey ho, no mad panic. If this pans out, the duplicity of SAGE/Whitty/Javed & co will be very obvious – to some at least.
That’s argumentum ad ouroboros, chap.
This is the problem with many people. Considering that because he advises the government, his views are still important. He is only one of many bribed, financially involved in vaxes and tests, incompetents. He may well be a Professor, but it in no way suggests he knows anything about that which he offers his alleged expert advice. The evidence of his inaccuracies are there for all to see.
Failure to amend his methodologies – after arriving at the same vastly inflated and never experienced in reality – shows he is not a scientist but a charlatan peddling tripe.
Simples, he’s a ‘Gates Mate’ bought and paid for, like most of the MSM
…
Nail 🔨 head.
The man who told everyone to Stay At Home.
Yet the fraud made a comeback. They almost invariably make a bloody comeback, don’t they?
It seems Elvis unwittingly set a precedent. It’s just a pity Ferguson doesn’t have the shades, flared trews and spangled jacket to really pull it off with panache.
I didn’t know the lady was called Panache.
Shes got one & He is one !!…
Haha! However, it is strange that protesters don’t want to go round to Ferguson’s house to have a good old moan at him. It’s back to the old placard waving in Parliament Square and coffee and cake in John Lewis before catching the train home.
Can’t believe some people are still sending e-mails to their MPs. Isn’t there a saying about repeating the same thing over and over and again and expecting to get different results is madness?
Why don’t you pop round, Emerald?
Why? Because Ferguson and Imperial College are the well paid messenger boys of Gates and Co (290 million dollars at the last count). Thats why he is listened to. By using the facade of academic rigour, Ferguson and Imperial College convert the globalists demands into psuedo-scientific documents that can be deployed by policymakers to convince the public that what they are doing is legitimate.
Yes, agree. Have seen this myself, knowing people who work for universities travelling round the world on all-expenses-paid jollies under the umbrella of ‘work’.
Exactly, more to the point who is this imbicile employable?
Because the MSM know that bad news sells and that government advertising money is keeping them afloat.
Because he’s chief press officer Wormtongue for the Gates-Fauci joint aim to force unlicensed pharmaceutical products on every living being.
He needs to cut down on the super skunk
He needs to cut out the THC and stick to the CBD.
Or he just needs shooting.
The latter, anyone?
Annie, get your gun!
‘Moderate, get rid of this for me.’
‘Okay, Annie. Job done.’
‘Fancy a drink?’
‘Yeah.’
Nice dialogue, hey Annie? Almost had a Pulp Fiction feel to it.
If Ferguson was a bookies we’d all be millionaires.
He’d have no punters. They’d all be barred from placing bets because they keep taking him to the cleaners.
Please see my post above/below.
Isn’t this just admitting the vaccines don’t work? Lockdowns to make sure the super shots work?
The “vaccines” will be working just fine at 5000 deaths a day.
I have to confess I chuckled at that, before quickly reprimanding myself for chuckling at mass murder.
Same here TBP! 🙂
Mass suicide?
Mass suicide, more like.
Kool-aid, anyone?
Vaccines were always supposed to enable the gatekeepers of Corona to continue with their pointless nonsense without that causing loads of COVID deaths.
“Neil Ferguson and his team at Imperial College London found “no evidence” the variant is less severe than Delta”.
Did they not ask South Africa who have already confirmed it has mild symptoms.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turning_a_blind_eye
Nope, no evidence here
Strange that. They would plug a new born for the chance of a case but readily available “evidence.?”
Ooh, no thanks.
Fuckers.
well I think he is right not to believe that the fully vaxpassed-up nightclubbing old and vulnerable peeps are protected by their boosters. Or does he think the jabbed may succumb to viruses now their natural immunity has been switched off by the gene therapy
now that i’ve sorted a ski trip in Europe in the only place that doesn’t require vaccination for my pureblood gang something is bound to come along and fcuk it up
These 5,000 deaths a day – are these people in favour of lockdowns? If they are then I’m not bothered if they die. If they aren’t then at least we agree we are against lockdowns.
Might I suggest that incompetent chancers like Ferguson need to understand that stuff has consequences.
He has been asked in the past about the consequences of Lockdowns, on the economy, kid’s education, mental health etc etc. His response has always been along the lines ‘Well, that’s not my problem’.
Or, in other words ‘I don’t give a shit.’.
Well i think it’s time he had some skin in the game.
I suggest this sensible approach might be put to him along the lines:- “Now then Ferg. Your X-box says 5,000 a day, which you now share with us all. OK, now we want a prediction which you are quite confident will be within plus or minus 5%. But there will be serious consequences if you are mistaken. Give us your reconsidered number. This time:- Cock on the block!”
If the figures below are true, then it’s evidence if further evidence was needed that the vaccines are useless’
Source UK Column News – 17th December 2021
but luckily they pass the main test – they are still highly profitable
I don’t know why that graphic has been cropped but can’t edit the one above.
They are not useless! – they’re being used to make Pfizer a hell of a lot of money.
The lies are becoming more breathtaking. It’s Downfall stuff.
looks like its started to level off
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases?areaType=overview%26areaName=United%20Kingdom#card-cases_by_date_reported
Yeah right. The thing causing headaches and sniffles in SA is going to be 4 times worse than anything we’ve ever seen here now we have all had it and are also vaccinated.
I used to take science seriously.
This guy is no scientist. He’s a failed theoretical physicist turned shoddy amateur programmer making a living out of the gullible foolishness of the people who employ him.
I read somewhere disreputable, maybe Breitbart or gab, that his modelling programme came on a programme disc free with Practical Computing or some such publication, back in the 80s. Highly unlikely but it made me laugh.
Isn’t it the same modelling program he used for the foot and mouth problem a few years ago that saw many thousands of healthy cattle put down and burnt in pits?
Pantsdown has nothing to do with science.
Get rid of that tw@t asap!
I wasn’t witnessing a somewhat boozy office party in Texas yesterday evening because – exactly as Ferguson predicted – Texas became an almost completely depopulated open air mortuary after pointlessly messing with other people’s lifes in the name of the mighty god Sars-CoV2 was abolished there.
It’s time Johnson gets kicked out of Downing St with a blanket so that he can have some fresh air to protect him from Omicron over the Christmas period regardless if he’s going to listen to this reverse-Cassandra always prediciting doom which never happens. That this serial forecasting failure is still allowed to molest people based on a title is enough for that.
I suggested tomorrow’s protesters should go round to Ferguson’s house instead of just shouting “Freedom!” in Parliament Square. But I was told that Neil is just an innocent shill for ‘Big Pharma’ and should be left to carry on with whatever it is he does.
Given his track record nobody should take any notice of what he has to say.
Exactly.
Everyone can make occasional professional mistakes.
But when someone repeats the same mistakes again and again, week after week, month after month, year after year, and even decade after decade, you have to ask;
Why the fuck does anyone listen to this cunt?
…
😂
Based on best rated DM readers comments so far, he’s getting a right kicking. Some of the comments are choice!
BoJo ‘… and sadly we are seeing the hospitals filling up with Omnicron’.
What are the facts Kay?
https://twitter.com/i/status/1471844144242954248
10 in hospital – none on ventilators and 1 death
The health ministers level of total incompetence there is a sight to behold
The SA Dr who identified Omicron was interviewed on GB News last night. She said that she had yet to see a case severe enough to warrant hospitalisation, to the point where the mild nature of the symptoms she was seeing couldn’t even enable her to identify the parameters which WOULD require hospitalisation. She made the EXCELLENT point that if you fearmonger, the way HMG is doing, scaring people about the numbers of deaths and hospitalisations Omicron might yield then you are PRIMING people to BE hospitalised. Apologies for the emphasis but I think it is required. In essence she was calling out the UK’s approach as govt sponsored mass hysteria. It is classic mind – body medicine. Former premier league footballer, Matt Le Tissier, who was also interviewed and spoke brilliantly, especially about the collapsing athletes, made a similar point, along the lines of the massive fear people have been living under for almost 2 years now is guaranteed to erode the strength of their immune systems as stress and anxiety does; therefore the last thing HMG should be doing is ramping up the fear and anxiety Very hard now to continue to swallow the line that this is… Read more »
Given that Moronic seems more infectious, it’s likely that the numbers of people in hospital and dying for any other reason will test positive, which will be a gift that keeps on giving for the satanists.
The latest development is UKHSA attempting to class hospital admission as anybody testing positive within 28 days before admission.
You’ve lost me there.
At some point in the not so distant future the goal posts will have moved so much that they will have disappeared over the horizon.
Given that Moronic seems more infectious
The currently most fawned over Sars-CoV2 iteration is always the most transmissible virus mankind has ever encountered until it becomes known that it isn’t.
This is a bit like TV washing powder commercials I remember from being a child: The new Persil (brandname) is always the best ever and outclasses anything which came before it. But something which can be improved infinitely cannot have been that great to begin. Hence, the practical conclusion from this cascade of most transmissible evers can only be: Sars-CoV2 isn’t really very good at human <-> human transmission. Available data seems to back that.
It just means that SARS-CoV-2 is sticking to the evolutionary script.
Most pathogens evolve towards greater transmissability and lower pathogenicity as really the only way to improve transmission of their genes. Look at herpes simplex type 1. An infection can last the entirety of their hosts life and the majority of people are asymptomatic. There’s probably viruses circulating in the human population that we have no idea even exist because they are so benign we don’t know they’re there. Maybe ‘rona will go the same way. Seems to be.
I didn’t write about properties of anything natural, just about the propaganda attached to it. And there, the current variant is always massively more transmissible (slight hyperbole) than anything else known to man.
Problem with this: If something can be massively increased with each iteration, it must originally have been quite small and hence, a massive increase, say, by 200%, will result in something that’s still quite small.
It follows that a sequence of such message is inherently self-contradicting: The Delta variant was already supposed to be the most aggressively transmitting virus known so far, basically capable of infecting people who passingly glance at other infected people. The same story is now being recycled for Omicron to ‘prove’ that it’s worse. Hence, it can’t already have been true for Delta. As they were lying to us about Delta, they’re probably still lying to as and it isn’t true for Omicron, either.
Where did Delta+ disappear to?
Does Omicron self identify as DeltaQIA+? 🤔
What happened to Epsilon etc. The ones between Delta and Omicron? OR were the W.H.O. already aware of the anagram of omicron before they named it thus and are taking us / central government all for the fools we appear to be.
Probably?
No doubt when they roll out the next scariant of concern, it’s sure to be about 307% worse than omicron…but 617% better than the following scariant patiently biding its time to be in the spotlight.
It wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest if we all still had the Spanish Flu antibodies from the last worldwide pandemic in 1918.
The game changer might be a variant from a location with a high % “Vaxxed” which Omicron appears not to be; if a UK leaky variant develops that might be a lot more scarier?
Yes but there is a world of difference – in terms of the truth about how dangerous Moronic is – between people with co-morbid condits in hospital who pick it up when in hospital where it will likely circulate, and the impact it will have on reasonably healthy people in general circulation. HMG is trying to make the second category of people believe that Moronic will cause them a severe form of the illness which will hospitalise them. The SA dr is saying categorically that is NOT the case.
This is a really good point. If you become anxious when you’re sick, surely this could cause all kinds of additional problems like hyperventilation and raising of heart rate. It seems that a large number of Covid actual cases, have been overnight admissions. I wonder how many of these have been caused by people being moderately ill, but exacerbating their symptoms through panic and stress?
Possibly – but I think the point she was making, and also Matt Le Tissier who was interviewed later on, both by Dan Wooton, was that it is almost like a self fulfilling prophecy. Worry people enough that they will be hospitalised if they get Omicron and it will almost be enough to drive them to A+E and demand to be admitted.
This “emergency” has been specifically designed to erode the nation’s health.
It has never been about a virus.
Stay home – save the NHS.
Aren’t they the ones who are supposed to save us?
Keeeyrect! If it was about public health they would have been treating people with HCQ or ivermectin protocols, pushing vitamin D and issuing tests for that. Other treatment protocols have shown some success, but all have been completely ignored or smeared and banned.
What kind of Chief Medical Officer never even mentions vitamin D?
Personally, I’d call it mass murder.
One alleged death ‘with’ Moronic.
One death?:where? and from what? We should be told.
5,000 deaths a day eh?
Tell you what, I’ll take 4 weeks lockdown through January…..
……IF Ferguson resigns and we never hear from him again if he is wrong.
The ONLY way that he can be correct about this is if jab-related ADE kicks in hard.
Is this what all the fuss is about? Omicron is getting the blame for the jabs f***** everything up.
My view is exactly that – ADE is going to produce lots of cases, alot of these will be poorly with compromised immune systems.
Rinse and repeat.
Its a improvement from the 500,000 deaths he predicted this time last year, that also never happened
How else are they going to hide the ‘vaccine’ deaths?
Whether or not this fraud receives justice in this life, we’ll always have this damning meme. You can bet your last pound note that this pisses the fraud right off.
Rejoice.
Mystic meg had a better track record
And she at least shaved.
Mystic Omicron
Mystic Moronic.
He’ll get justice in this life if he ever shows up here. . .
Referring to yourself as “Omicron” is a bit batty, isn’t it Dr. Ferguson?
I guess they’ve got to account for all the ADE deaths somehow.
My immediate reaction is that if it is that transmissible, social controls aren’t worth considering because they will only delay the spread a little, perhaps buying a couple of days, and that whatever you do everyone who is susceptible will get omicron in short order anyway. If the experts say that social controls would have some value, they must show how much time would be bought, and disclose all their evidence for whatever they say, all their assumptions, and all their computations. “We believe that controls would be valuable to some extent or other”, or “There is too much uncertainty to make computations”, should lead us to reject their recommendations.
Social controls have not worked for any variant, as always predicted
I seem to recall that the government and these ‘scientists’ told us that being vaccinated was the way out of the pandemic. This was the way to the sunny uplands.
Something went wrong there then.
You’re about 136 narrative adjustments behind, Prov.
I am calling…
With no repurcussions for being wrong, why not grab headlines – if that’s what floats your boat. Personally, i couldn’t think of anything worse than looking like a fool time and time again. He clearly has a hide like a rhino.
The real question though, is why anybody still listens to him?
In my right hand, a banana. In my left, a revolver. On the table, a glass of whisky. Here’s how the game works. If you want to make a prediction, step right up. Go right ahead. Now, if it turns out you were correct, you get a banana, a nutritious delicious fruit. If you get it wrong, you take the whisky and the revolver, retire into the small room, and do the decent thing.
No one has to play. But if you do play, you only get one wrong prediction, and it’s the whisky and revolver.
So step right up Professor Ferguson, you’d like to have a go would you.
This is the fundamental problem with the modern world. Ferguson pays no cost for being wrong. The people that promote him pay no cost when he is wrong.
The cost is paid by the hotel worker who will be joining the dole queue in January.
My contempt for this liar knows no bounds.
In modern scientism led by the high priest Fauci, it doesn’t matter how much you overstate , so long as you never understate. Ferguson is just performing to the order of his masters.
i agree, the damage that this one individual has done to this country is immense. It’s a pity that one couldn’t mount a class action for damages against his employers, or could one?
You could always look into it. Let us know. Interesting how Ferguson simply gets away with it – all those suicides he’s caused, for example. Oh well, never mind, he’s someone important in Imperial College, and that’s such a long walk from Parliament Square.
Also, not to worry – Ferguson will soon die of ADE…. right?
Well, it does know bounds, because you haven’t gone round to his home to show your contempt for him.
One issue with Ferguson, no matter how catastrophically wrong his numbers where, he did forecast that suppression via lockdowns would make things worse down the road. It’s clear he was a country mile out, but he could have a get out of jail card, if it came down to it.
Personally I think Imperial should wash their hands of the guy, if they want to retain what’s left of any good reputation.
Imperial and ‘good’ reputation?
How bloody oxymoronic can you get?
Oxymoronic – word of the day, or the next variant of concern™?
My suggestion for the Ferguson fiasco is defenestration from 72nd storey of The Shard.
That wonderful scientific word again.
“Could”
On a much more cheerful note, for us the refuseniks, government figures show total numbers with NO jab.
UKHSA vax surveillance report dated 12th Dec. 2021 :-
23.5 million unvaccinated ( ie no jab).
Bit more than 5 million innit?
Lying bastards.
That’s very interesting, safety in numbers!