NHS Waiting List Could Hit 14 Million in England by Next Autumn, According to IFS Report

A new report by the Institute of Fiscal Studies (IFS) says that the NHS waiting list in England could reach 14 million by next autumn and could then continue to increase “as the number joining the waiting list exceeds the number being treated”. And this, according to the author of the report, is just the beginning: “Much longer waiting lists [could] be with us for years to come.” Sky News has the story.

Currently, the number of people waiting to start routine hospital treatment is at a record high – 5.3 million, according to latest figures.

But the IFS has warned in its new report that there is a massive backlog of people still to come forward for treatment, largely caused by Covid [what about lockdown?].

Health Secretary Sajid Javid said the number of people on waiting lists could rise to 13 million in the coming months, but the IFS projects that the total could eventually surpass the Health Secretary’s figure.

“In our first scenario, 80% of the approximately seven million ‘missing’ patients return over the next year, the NHS operates at 90% of its 2019 capacity this year and next, and then at 100% capacity from 2023 onwards,” it says.

“Under this scenario, waiting lists would soar to 14 million by the autumn of 2022 and then continue to climb, as the number joining the waiting list exceeds the number being treated.”

The IFS said while it is unlikely all patients will return due to the fact some will have died and others might have had private treatment, most will probably require treatment at some point soon, especially as virus cases decrease and “people are more willing to seek health care”.

Max Warner, the author of the analysis, said: “There is a real risk that if the NHS cannot find effective ways to boost its capacity – a challenge at the best of times, let alone after a major pandemic – then much longer waiting lists will be with us for years to come.”

Worth reading in full.

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NeilofWatford
4 years ago

STAY HOME!
PROTECT THE NHS!
DIE QUIETLY!

tom171uk
4 years ago
Reply to  NeilofWatford

Exactly! The government actually doesn’t give a shit about our health just so long as we are sacrificed to the Great God NHS.

RickH
4 years ago
Reply to  tom171uk

You mistake the motivation. It’s political misdirection to guard the backs of those who have screwed over the NHS – the political class. Sharks in nanny uniform.

Gregoryno6
4 years ago
Reply to  NeilofWatford

How do you die quietly while you’re clapping for NHS?
Asking for a friend.

Bella Donna
4 years ago
Reply to  NeilofWatford

Sorry Ive more or less repeated your comment!

KidFury
KidFury
4 years ago

Just 18 months to ruin the NHS!

TheyLiveAndWeLockdown
4 years ago
Reply to  KidFury

You imply it WASN’T a disaster before lockdown insanity took hold?

RickH
4 years ago

The disaster is politically created – Blair to Johnson. All looking for pickings.

TheyLiveAndWeLockdown
4 years ago
Reply to  RickH

bevan started the health disaster.

grob1234
grob1234
4 years ago

This is 100% on the government.

Their moronic policies regarding COVID have seen to this.

They need to be booted out of office, sadly we have no opposition.

helenf
4 years ago
Reply to  grob1234

Hang on a minute… destroy the NHS so healthcare can be privatised, and ramp up the drive to reduce the population – I’d say that would be seen as a resounding success as far as the government are concerned!

JayBee
4 years ago

Well, money is not the main problem or solution here.
No other country turned the health system into Covid only for almost a year, totally ignoring the most obvious and inevitable consequences and tradeoffs which that decision would result in later.
But those who still/always think so regardless should contemplate what could have been achieved if all the money spent on totally useless tests and t&t would have been spent there instead.

Occams Pangolin Pie
4 years ago
Reply to  JayBee

Where to spaff the ‘funny money’? Surveillance tech is of course the answer.

Emigrating? Belarus looking like an open prison in comparison to UK’s (et al.) Serco Panopticon.

Our fading hopes seems to lie with the robust citizens of France. Who’d have thought?

TheyLiveAndWeLockdown
4 years ago
Reply to  JayBee

COVID is the 26th! most dangerous thing, we ignored 25 more dangerous things causing 99.2% of deaths because ministers and their advising civil servants (and this is the best case interpretation) can’t do enough basic maths to realise the models are crap.

stewart
4 years ago

Setting the table for winter lockdown.

Yesterday there was that news item about how lockdowns will be introduced if necessary to keep the NHS from being overwhelmed.

tom171uk
4 years ago
Reply to  stewart

It’s already overwhelmed by the weight of political bullshit.

Occams Pangolin Pie
4 years ago

Max Warner says ‘a challenge at the best of times, let alone after a major pandemic’.

Let’s join him in hoping we don’t get one of those as well.

Gregoryno6
4 years ago

The Western Australian government has just pulled $4 Billion out of its butt to spend on health.
Nothing to do with the resistance from medical staff, already under pressure, to roll up their sleeves. No. Absolutely not.
A significant number of aged care workers have said they would rather quit than get the jab. Must be a hell of a lot of discontent in the ranks if Premier Mask McClown has to wave a 4bill bribe.

stewart
4 years ago
Reply to  Gregoryno6

Major increases in healthcare don’t go to old fashioned things like doctors, nurses and hospitals.

The “smart” money goes into apps and vaccines. In other words, tech companies and pharma companies.

Hmm…

TheyLiveAndWeLockdown
4 years ago
Reply to  stewart

Well the owners of patent and copyright title behind those company stock valuations.

Gregoryno6
4 years ago

When governments say ‘Get the vaccine’ it’s really the pharmas saying ‘Listen, you worthless slobs, our stock is getting near its use-by date and it ain’t gonna inject itself.’

Smelly Melly
4 years ago

Why don’t the NHS staff make Tik Tok videos highlighting the waiting list or better still why don’t the sheeple stand on their door steps and clap like trained seals for those waiting for a procedure?

Is it me or do all those past antics now look pathetic (I got cold shouldered by neighbours for not clapping).

Amtrup
4 years ago
Reply to  Smelly Melly

They always looked/felt pathetic … and nauseating and icky/creepy and sinister.

X - In Search of Space
X - In Search of Space
4 years ago
Reply to  Smelly Melly

Never once clapped/banged pots etc. Neighbours just looked ridiculous. Wife said neighbours would think we were gits for not joining in – no problem.

It was just utterly cringeworthy.

Catee
4 years ago
Reply to  Smelly Melly

I got cold shouldered by extended family for admitting to not clapping amd yes all my extended family have had the vax, including all their children in their twenties and thirties and they all think I’m the one who needs to contact my local mental health unit. 😂😂

milesahead
milesahead
4 years ago
Reply to  Catee

It’s too late to do so, but this is the sort of person they should have researched before taking the jabs:

https://www.bitchute.com/video/JwhAiexP0cI9/

Catee
4 years ago
Reply to  milesahead

I gave them plenty of links to research, sadly they chose not to. Doesn’t help that one of my nieces is a GP who is happily stabbing anyone with needles. I only hope that all the complicit medics like her have to face some sort of accountabilty one day.

RickH
4 years ago

“… if the NHS cannot find effective ways to boost its capacity …”

Of course, the real point is not the need to ‘boost capacity’ (although that has been a long-standing issue). The current crisis is a political one caused by the further throttling of capacity by the political mismanagement related to the invention of a non-crisis.

Pavlov Bellwether
4 years ago

FIGHT. BACK. BETTER. New website – regular updates with useful information and links: https://www.LCAHub.org/

Bella Donna
4 years ago

Stay Home Keep taking the jabs and die!

DanClarke
DanClarke
4 years ago

What a conundrum, bang a pan for the World Beating NHS or bemoan the number of deaths and infections to promote the vaccine

huxleypiggles
4 years ago

And this report doesn’t even factor in the additional stresses on rNHS which will result from the many staff injured and dead after the clot shots.

huxleypiggles
4 years ago
Reply to  huxleypiggles

Furthermore, the inevitable increase in deaths which will occur from non treatment will be much welcomed by Bozo’s masters.

Depopulation agenda knitting together nicely.

Dorian_Hawkmoon
4 years ago
Reply to  huxleypiggles

“rNHS”, I see what you did there, nice one.

BJs Brain is Missing
4 years ago

Why are the bulk of the people happy for this situation to continue? Maybe this video will give you a clue (Mass Psychosis – How an Entire Population Becomes Mentally Ill)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=09maaUaRT4M

DS99
4 years ago

A must watch – brilliant and the last few minutes at the end, something to hold on to in the midst of all this.

Sandra Barwick
Sandra Barwick
4 years ago

Max graduated in economics with a first from Cambridge in 2020. This is his modelling. Modelling is very fashionable these days. But how real is it?

RW
RW
4 years ago

Appreciable irony: We cannot have anymore lockdowns because otherwise, the NHS will collapse.

That’s presumably behind Fergusion having started to suggest that this (reckless) experiment in applied nonsense should really end as it’s not without consequences, just without positive consequences.

Emerald Fox
4 years ago
Reply to  RW

Hasn’t had any ‘consequences’ for Ferguson himself. I wonder how healthy his bank account is? That would make interesting viewing.

RW
RW
4 years ago
Reply to  Emerald Fox

To be honest: If he spends the remainder of his live with being a rich nondesirable on his own, ie, stops interfering with mine, I’ll gladly let him. Profiteering is unpleasant, but it’s always going to happen.

Davke
4 years ago

For Sale: 1 National Health Care System. 69 Million careful owners. Only light use over the past 18 months.
Bids from overseas ( US ) Medical Insurers welcome.

Mission accomplished BoJo!

Dorian_Hawkmoon
4 years ago

…and has the NHS done any work on increasing capacity while spouting about predicted overwhelmingness risk? Has it feck. It has no intention whatsoever of doing so. Instead it has conducted a massive demand management excercise (well that’s putting a favourable gloss on what this murderous govt has done), pushing it all into the future as a waiting list on which many will die while continuing to maintain current service access barriers, online and phone rather than in person for example which have themselves led to many deaths. Anecdote misdiagnoses of life threatening conditions by phone abound. This is a cynical plan to reconfigure the NHS as an extension of Pharma by drug algorithm and as a PH lifestyle pressurising and enforcement arm, compelled jabs being a key step. A bleak outlook for medicine indeed. The medical profession is being dragged by small steps from its ethical codes into totalitarian medicine. The Dutch doctors in WW2 who refused the tiny first steps are heros to emulate.

Annie
4 years ago

What a relief to hear that the ones that die won’t need treatment.
Now the compliant zombies know exactly what to do. Do your bit. Protect the NHS. Die. In your muzzle, at the correct social distance. Thank you, goodbye, don’t expect to find a loved one at your bedside and be assured you won’t have a decent funeral.

NeilofWatford
4 years ago

One rule for you.
Another rule for them.
Obama’s 60th bash.

IMG_20210808_181303_896.jpg
bowlsman
bowlsman
4 years ago

All the NHS facilities are still 50% shut. Thats the problem. It won’t get any better until they open again. Also, the lists will come down when people die in numbers from not being able to get tests and treatment.
So no worries we’ll pay the price.

marebobowl
marebobowl
4 years ago

Isn’t it funny. You would have thought there would be non stop discussion of how the nhs plans on dealing with the backlog of cases. Sorry, no such thing. It is just the continual dribble about Covid, it’s experimental biologicals and how you must get one, mask wearing, quarantining and finally the threat of lockdowns this winter. Not one word addressing the fact that most people cannot even see a GP in person. What exactly is the game plan? Who knows.

tom171uk
4 years ago

All this crap was supposed to be to “save” the NHS. But we haven’t, have we? It’s wrecked. What was the bloody point of it all?

lorrinet
lorrinet
4 years ago

NHS? What NHS? Parts of this organisation still manage to work reasonably well, but the main body of it has been in its death throes for a long, long time. It’s like a giant employment agency for clerical staff (pen pushers) and several layers of management with a large number of executives (and their own staff) at the top, all creaming off vast sums originally meant for health-care. Furthermore, no organisation can work efficiently when so much of it is used and abused by people who come here from abroad to take advantage of this ‘free’ health service, while the waiting lists for those who actually pay for it grow ever longer. Is this fair? No it’s not, but when did fairness last matter when it comes to the ‘tolerant’ British? We must put up and shut up as usual. These lockdowns have ensured that millions of our people will die before the ops they were promised can happen; but we are of little concern to them, as my own recent experiences have proved, and my attempts to find a medical person with enough English to make themselves understood almost left me in tears (that’s after I was lucky enough… Read more »

chriswatch
chriswatch
4 years ago

There will be a massive public outrage if that should ever come about, which I doubt?