Covid Cases Have Fallen Every Day For a Week
Covid cases across the U.K. have fallen for the seventh day in a row, reaching 23,511 on Tuesday. This is the lowest number recorded in a single day in the whole of July. MailOnline has the story.
The Department of Health recorded another 23,511 infections across the U.K. over the past 24 hours, down by half on last Tuesday. This marks the biggest week-on-week fall in cases since they started coming down last week.
There were 131 Covid deaths, which was up by more than a third in seven days and the highest number since mid-March when the second wave was dying down.
Boris Johnson desperately tried to dampen rampant optimism about falling Covid cases today, saying people must not jump to “premature conclusions” and the Government will be “very cautious”.
But his comments came just hours after ‘Professor Lockdown’ Neil Ferguson hinted the U.K. could be looking back at the pandemic in just two months time.
Professor Ferguson suggested the current dip was down to the end of the Euros football tournament and warmer weather allowing people to spend more time outdoors.
He added there would be “uncertainty” into the Autumn, but stressed that the calculations had “fundamentally” shifted because of the vaccines. …
Experts have suggested that high numbers of young people catching the disease during the Euros could have helped to squash the latest peak, as they now have some immunity and otherwise may not have been vaccinated.
Worth reading in full.
Stop Press: SAGE panjandrums have been trotting out excuses for why they got this so wrong. According to MailOnline, the top contenders are:
- The vaccine roll-out
- School holidays
- The end of the Euros
- Warmer weather
- The ‘pingdemic’
But, surely, all of these things were completely foreseeable? Why, then, were they not included in the models? And given that the scientific ‘experts’ left all these things out, why should we trust SAGE’s modelling again?
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Yes but deaths have risen if you believe their made up numbers.
Deaths from or with? The same old story. Given that a lot of people ‘catch’ Covid AFTER entering hospital for some other reason one can presume their immune system could well be compromised.
Instead of ‘deaths with Covid’ maybe we should started counting ‘deaths without Ivermectin’!
Actually they haven’t risen. The number reported has risen but that doesn’t tell us much about actual daily deaths, July 19th looks to be the peak date with 76 deaths but that could change as more data comes in.
Yes, the death figures have been the biggest lies of all the lies.
There is a marked difference between deaths within 28 days of a positive, and the much fewer deaths with Covid on the death certificate.
Ah. So is this deliberate lying then, like the concurrent lack of reporting of deaths (by age etc.) within 28 days of a “vaccination?
(N.B. a friend told me today of someone in their 60’s, previously healthy, who died shortly after taking one of these “vaccines”. I wonder how much of an underestimate the 1,500 figure is…).
Considering Scottish deaths within 28 day of vaccination are around 5000 I assume a massive underrestimate. Would be interesting to hear from doctors who have been told not to report post-vaccine deaths and injuries.
Are overall deaths still below average?
Remember the ONS glossary re certificate entries: “Coronavirus (COVID-19) deaths are those deaths registered in England and Wales in the stated week where COVID-19 was mentioned on the death certificate. A doctor can certify the involvement of COVID-19 based on symptoms and clinical findings – a positive test result is not required. Definitions of COVID-19 for deaths in Scotland and Northern Ireland are similar to England and Wales.”.
Thus 28 days has nothing to do with it.
So catching the disease squashes the sombrero? Is that why the pandemic preparedness guidelines never suggested lockdowns, masks, and mass test and trace, but a light touch and largely voluntary policy like that in place in England, but then abandoned by the government in mid-March 2020 (as
persisted with in Sweden)?
Deaths apparently up, but that looks to be because the figures for the weekend are low. This is quite usual, I assume it is a data processing thing.
BUT: although the drop in cases is small, it is *still* less than each of the prior seven days, which is more unusual. So looks to me to be heading well down.
Oh, and Ferguson
Translation: I am not going to admit that my modelling is s***e, but I am definitely not going to make another prediction ……
Coming from him, does that mean we can expect a lot of deaths in 2 months?
For the past few days, the Government’s Covid site has blamed late publication of the figures on “problems with the Deaths Figures for England”. It seems likely this is associated with today’s apparent surge in reports of Deaths.
I noticed the figures for Saturday were late on Worldometer.
Annd today’s number still represents a levelling off in percentage terms.
> calculations had “fundamentally” shifted because of the vaccines.
Fergusson is a modeler of bullshit.
Prime Minister Pusillanimous, Professor Pantsdown and the rest of the Pack. A full house of everything disagreeable beginning with “p”.
A Pack of Pricks….
Pompous, patronising, posturing, pretentious, pontifical, pig-headed pseuds.
Piss-poor, pandering, pustulent, perfidious, prevaricating, pernicious pack of pestiferous poltroons. . .
(always avoid alliteration!)
Did the government erroneously believe their own propaganda? It seems they really did think there would be a spike that could be magnified by the ongoing data fraud. It’ll be interesting to see how they try to slither out of this. Perhaps they’ll hurry through booster jabs to try and create another hospitalisation spike.
Of course they didn’t believe it. But I think there’s no doubt ”boosters” will give them the spike they need for the next wave – of propaganda, that is.
Oh yeah, forgot propogandist – quite an important one. . .
Propagandist, dammit.
This graph showing decline. Zoe showing increases. Someone didn’t get the memo!
Since ZOE relies on self-diagnoisis in many cases, and is very likely to be biased to older age groups I tend to disrecard it now, especially since recent positives have been predominantly teens and twenties.
Call me old fashioned. Are these ‘infections’ or just positive tests?
They are just positive tests, nothing more. Calling them infections or cases just plays to the media narrative, which is deliberate.
this is an extremely worrying prediction from the man who’s predictions are always completely wrong…
Neil Ferguson hinted the U.K. could be looking back at the pandemic in just two months time.
What pandemic?
Mr Johnson said: “I’ve noticed, obviously, that we are six days in to some better figures. But it is very, very important that we don’t allow ourselves to run away with premature conclusions about this.
is this the same fella who once said: The doubters, the doomsters, the gloomsters, they are going to get it wrong again.
>we don’t allow ourselves to run away with premature conclusions about this.
Take as gospel predictions from the worlds worst modeller with mathematically impossible results consistently wrongly predicting catastrophe.
Brain transplant.
That’s making the rather large assumption he had one in the first instance.
The very same. He never properly recovered from the virus did he
What a patronising, self-serving oik. The words ”I’m all right, Jack” were written with people like him in mind.
But, surely, all of these things were completely foreseeable?
Yes, next they’ll be saying that they were taken by surprise that Christmas is in December.
Well, be fair, it wasn’t last year!
Cases, deaths with/of, all nonsense
How is all-cause mortality doing right now? IIRC since the possibly vaccine-induced death spike in Jan/Feb, mortality is lower than ever.
But, surely, all of these things were completely foreseeable? Why, then, were they not included in the models?
A very good question, that should be put to them in public, by a responsible and independent broadcaster. So likely won’t get asked.
“responsible and independent broadcaster” – where?
GB News is steadily improving
Oh oh. The numbers are going down in spite of millions being still unvaccinated. Quick, emergency, get Gove out there to bully the unvaxed into getting jabbed before they discover it’s all BS!!
Some of them already know it.
For this most Fergusson of models Surely they should take account of the fact that the star sign is now Leo (I had to look)?
After all SAGE models are mostly Taurus shit use for predictions..
“Why should we trust SAGE’s modelling again?” Never trusted SAGE in the first place. As soon as the name Fergusson hit the headlines many of us knew this was going to be another Fergie Fuck up as before always out by a factor of at least 10.
He’s probably busy trying to suppress the MHRA Adverse Reactions data.
SAGE – now there’s a misnomer if ever I saw one.
So…..
Caused infections all these countries to plateau or plummet at the same time…
Cyprus, UK, Malta, Portugal, Netherlands, Denmark, Spain, Belgium…
“Step 4 of the opening up”.
When’s the next step then, or is this as good as it gets under these crooks?
Well, the speed of the fall is striking, particularly when Zoe’s numbers of daily infections based on symptom reporting is still stable. I wonder if some of this is the media blitz on the pingdemic in the last two weeks causing a mass refusal to report mild cases, let alone to have a test, due to the impact this could have on the immediate circle of friends and family through the pinging from the discredited NHS test and trace app. The deletion of the app on so many phones will also be a contributor.
Agree. People are deleting the app and not rushing for tests. Do we know the total number of daily tests and are they falling? Purely anecdotal but a young couple who’ve just arrived in my Airbnb said they’d deleted and won’t get tested so as to protect their social lives and holiday! It’s starting to dawn on (some) people that you can avoid the whole sh*t show if you don’t get traced or tested.
Der!
Total no. of tests conducted in England down around 30% since 15th July
Simples, isn’t it? It’s called lying.
Now there are headlines of “could be behind us by October”. Sounds familiar, doesn’t it? Remember “normalish by Christmas” and “significant normality by Easter”? Perhaps the kids might get their trick or treat this year, instead of being kept at home while their parents are glued to the
box of brainwashingTV, waiting for Saint Boris to appear on 31st October, after three hours of “next slide please” improvising.These models are a classic example of Garbage In – Garbage out.
Every time they’ve been catastrophically wrong.
School Holidays began on 15th July in many places.
This immediately removed a few million from the supply of LFT results by students and staff no longer at school. (We can assume they’re not testing themselves at home!!).
A week after the sharp drop in testing we see “cases” are falling at the quickest rate all year.
Nothing to see here…please move on.
They’re not ”cases” though, are they?
The DT said today that the 131 deaths are “deaths from all causes”
Even using the highly dubious allocation cause of death. Yes, the numbers are huge aren’t they?
The Times today131, 14 yesterday, 73 on Friday. God that is terrifying! so many out of a population of circa 60million.
Does DT explain its term “deaths from all causes”?
Anyone got the numbers of people in the UK struck by lightning, and or drowned in floods due to the recent storms?
Nope. They were included in the death by COVID count is my guess…
BLOODY liars the lot of them.
Why is this idiot Ferguson still allowed to claptrap? Decades of modelling show that this man has got it so disastrously wrong!
The so called experts sage should all be sacked for what they’ve done to Britain. The mistake is not just group think it is that they rely too much on mathematical models than science. If they’d simply thought about Farrs Law which explains brilliantly how pandemics behave they would not look like the fools they are.
The Test is an utter fraud, therefore any model, any debate, any measures taken involving ‘cases’ from the tests, any snake oil poison jab effectiveness, is pointless until you can prove the thing actually exists in the first place!!
Squirming like worms on a hook, the whole lot of them. Finally conclusive proof that lockdowns and all the rest of the non-pharmaceutical interventions don’t work. Heads must roll.
I read ‘people not getting tested before their holidays because they don’t want to get a positive test’ is a new reason……
The Mail article is fair. it is worth noting that in India there was a sharp turnaround too, coinciding with hot, dry weather.
It could be that the wave is simply running out of steam as most people have some immunity.
Scottish cases declined a couple of weeks earlier, coinciding with the earlier start to Scottish school holidays, and Scotland’s earlier exit from the Euros, adding some weight to those theories.
Dubious asymptomatic lateral flow school recorded cases are muddled with genuine symptomatic cases and the dashboard doesn’t make it possible to see the difference. However, the decline is too great to be accounted for by school cases alone.