Only 1.6% of Schoolchildren Forced to Self-Isolate For 10 Days Went on to Develop Covid

A new study by a team of researchers at Oxford has found that of the one million schoolchildren sent home and forced to self-isolate for 10 days every week last term, 98.4% did not go on to develop Covid. The Telegraph has more.

Forcing hundreds of thousands of schoolchildren to self-isolate because a classmate had Covid was unnecessary as daily testing would have been as effective, an official study suggests.

The results of the study, by the University of Oxford, emerged on the last day of term for most schools, when more than one million pupils are off because of the virus and after months of disruption to education. …

The team behind the study said the results also offered reassurance for policymakers trying to end the pingdemic because they showed that the virus could be controlled in a less “destructive” way.

It came as the latest figures revealed that up to one million people a week are being asked to isolate in England and Wales, with record numbers being pinged by the NHS app.

The Oxford study found that 98.4 per cent of children who were sent home for 10 days never went on to develop Covid – a result set to anger parents and pupils forced to stay at home needlessly.

Worth reading in full.

For those that can’t get past the Telegraph‘s paywall, BBC News also has the story.

This study complements numerous other studies – such as this one in Sweden – showing that very, very few people are infected with COVID-19 in schools, whether children or staff, and that school closures were completely unnecessary. Bizarrely, the BBC quotes the lead author of the Oxford study describing his findings as “good news” since it means sending a million schoolchildren home every week just in case they have Covid can now be replaced by daily testing, with only those who test positive being sent home. But, of course, it isn’t “news” since we’ve know how pointless the quarantining of healthy schoolchildren is for at least a year. And I suspect parents of school-age children (like me) won’t regard this news as “good”, so much as confirmation of their worst fears, namely, that their children’s sacrifice over the past 16 months has been for nought.

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Richy_m_99
4 years ago

Hardly surprising when a lot of the kids to tested positive probably didn’t have it either. The just dipped the swaps in cola or some other substance.

Jon Garvey
4 years ago
Reply to  Richy_m_99

My 14 year old granddaughter doubts very much that any kids would want to fake a postive test: they’ve had too much solitary confinement for one lifetime already.

Norman
4 years ago

Talking to a youngster (unmasked, both of us) at the checkout in LIDL today and she tells me that loads of her friends have gone down with Covid, but didn’t think it was a problem to any of them except for the bore of self-isolation.

RickH
4 years ago
Reply to  Norman

gone down with Covid”

Err … another elision of the term ‘Covid’ with a ping or a cold?

RickH
4 years ago

It’s getting irritatingly boring for sceptics to be proved consistently right, but for nothing to change.

milesahead
milesahead
4 years ago

1.6%! That many?

Rogerborg
4 years ago
Reply to  milesahead

That many then claimed to have a positive test.

robnicholson
robnicholson
4 years ago
Reply to  Rogerborg

Triggered by orange juice 🙂

J Cook
4 years ago
Reply to  milesahead

And anyhow – those would all likely be false positives, as 1.6% sounds like a fairly low false positive rate for mass testing of healthy people

SweetBabyCheeses
4 years ago

Why does the alternative to quarantine of healthy children have to be daily testing of children instead?! Same with the poor people returning from holiday. We need to end this relentless testing of symptomless people.

Testing should be saved ONLY for people who are admitted to hospital with respiratory illness when a differential diagnosis is necessary in order for Doctors to best decide on a course of treatment.

realarthurdent
4 years ago

Exactly this.
Testing for COVID is at best unpleasant and painful and at worst, harmful – we do not know the long-term effects of repeated daily swabbing in the nasal cavity or tonsils.

Children are not at risk of death from COVID and play a very minor role in spreading it. We should not be testing asymptomatic children. Or indeed, asymptomatic adults.

SweetBabyCheeses
4 years ago
Reply to  realarthurdent

I don’t even see the point in testing everyone with symptoms though? Whether it’s covid or flu or RSV or a cold makes zero difference? If we feel like crap then we already stay away from others, especially the vulnerable.

I don’t object to testing those hospitalised WITH symptoms – provided they’re also testing for flu etc and interpreting the ct counts to get an idea of viral loads etc and tailoring a treatment program that doesn’t just involve prayer and ventilators 😂😂😂 as if.

RickH
4 years ago
Reply to  realarthurdent

Absolutely. Asymptomatic, directionless and random testing has never been cited as a serious means of infection control.

huxleypiggles
4 years ago

Nothing to do with a virus.

Samurai Jack
Samurai Jack
4 years ago

Developed the disease covid?

I thought the LF and PCR tests (for what they are worth ) are testing for sars cov2 the virus, covid is meant to be the disease that may or may not develop?

Jolly Green Giant
Jolly Green Giant
4 years ago
Reply to  Samurai Jack

Exactly!

RickH
4 years ago
Reply to  Samurai Jack

This doesn’t get mentioned enough – the inaccurate use of ‘Covid’ to label the viral infection. It is another wilful confusion.

Samurai Jack
Samurai Jack
4 years ago
Reply to  RickH

Anyone would think they planned it that way 🤔

Rogerborg
4 years ago

“But if it saves one false positive, it’ll be worth it.”

Jolly Green Giant
Jolly Green Giant
4 years ago

And did they even “develop covid”? Or did they merely return positive test results but remained asymptomatic?

Notice how these two completely different things have been deliberately conflated by the politicians, the SAGE cabal and the MSM.

realarthurdent
4 years ago

For those that can’t get past the Telegraph‘s paywall, BBC News also has the story.”

The Telegraph paywall can be defeated by simply pressing the ESC key as the page begins to load. Or clicking on the X button in the browser address window if you are using a mobile device or tablet. It needs a bit of perseverance to get the timing right though.

Ordinarily I wouldn’t advocate cheating a business’s revenue earning model but given the Telegraph’s role over the last 18 months in spreading government propaganda and fear, uncertainty and doubt, I think they deserve to go bust.

DoctorCOxford
DoctorCOxford
4 years ago

My so endured this lunacy at the end of the school year. The whole year was a disaster but ended with the whole school shutting a week early thanks to Pingagedon. And he was never at any risk, having had Covid the year prior. This government is trying to ruin my child’s future. I will do what we need to in order to ensure he gets the best education, Boris be d@mned.

Covidiot
Covidiot
4 years ago

How about this for an optimistic, and fairly possible, scenario.

Boris’s enemies have been like a dog with a bone with covid. Most of them would like to force his resignation. There’s a great deal of bitterness out though over Brexit, the virus is looking more and more like a political football.

What happens if they win. Johnson has enough and resigns?

It’s perfectly possible that the tory members will scream blue murder (literally) for someone like a Sir Graham Brady to step up for the leadership.

There is a plausible route, I think, to this political outcome within the life of this parliament. If it does happen the narrative completely changes.

Anyway, optimistic thought of the day (I don’t have many these days!)

garry a
garry a
4 years ago

This number is lower than the ONS estimate of the prevalence of covid across England. The ONS claim 1 in 75 people are catching covid over seven days (so roughly 1 in 525 per day). This report shows a prevalence of 1.6% (1 in 62.5) over ten days for kids sent home to isolate (roughly 1 in 625 per day). So kids being sent home because someone in their bubble is infected are about 20% less likely to test positive for Covid than a random selection of the population. 

Zoomer@14
Zoomer@14
4 years ago

It’s called ‘How to Ruin a Child’s Education’ in one easy step added with a bit of mind wrecking ‘communism’.

wantok87
4 years ago

How many were seriously ill? It demonstrates yet again that children: we have done enough damage and they should not be subjected to the human experiment of vaccination.We, however as a country ,do need a permanent isolation of all members of SAGE and SPY-B, perhaps reopening the Tower of London dungeons for Neil Ferguson to protect us from his models.

TJN
TJN
4 years ago

A conclusive argument against the vaccination of children.

But the bastards are bent on doing it anyway.

And the Great British Public is too stupid, too dumb, too apathetic to question it.

Epi
Epi
4 years ago

“daily testing would have been just as effective”. Just stop the bloody testing. If a child is unwell GO HOME get better and come back to school. Everyone else can then get on with their education. Simple, it’s not bleeding rocket science.