Did the Conservatives lose the Chesham and Amersham By-Election Because of ‘Shy’ Sceptics?
A reader called Alex Body has shared a letter they’ve written to Thérése Coffey MP, the Secretary of State for Work and Pensions, about the role that lockdown scepticism may have played in the Conservatives’ recent by-election loss in Chesham and Amersham.
Dear Ms. Coffey,
In the wake of the Chesham and Amersham by-election I wanted to write to you to make sure you are not taking your seat for granted.
Whilst much has been reported about the impact of planning law on this particular election result, my analysis is much different.
This seat has not had a turnout of less than fifty thousand since 2005. The turnout in this election was less than forty thousand. The difference in voters between the 2021 and 2019 elections was over eleven-thousand votes. Enough to give the Conservative candidate a majority.
Please understand that there are now millions of people in the UK who are unrepresented by any major party due to the across-the-board support for draconian and hugely damaging pandemic restrictions. Whilst many traditional Conservatives will simply abstain in the next election, please bear in mind that if you continue to support these destructive measures that have brought misery, anxiety, despair and death to so many I, like many others, will actively campaign against your re-election.
The UK recently recorded the lowest age-adjusted deaths on record, and it is now obvious that the vulnerable are protected from this virus. End these restrictions now, or there is no doubt in my mind your party will suffer a crushing defeat at the next election, where millions of your traditional voters will stay at home.
You may be aware of the concept of a ‘Shy Tory Voter’. Please be prepared for the ‘Shy Lockdown Sceptic’. There are millions of us, and we feel it is impossible to support a party that disregards the autonomy and liberty of its citizens.
You still have time to change tack, and I implore you to do so.
With very best wishes,
Alex Brody
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Don’t like the last line
and the letter should have started ‘Dear Cunt’
‘Dear’ seems a bit polite – could do with editing out that word
in fact if you start off with the word ‘Cunt’, the rest of the letter seems superfluous. you’ve got your message over – why waffle?
The ‘Dear’ is included for comedic effect
[round of applause for the whole double act]
Are you two touring any time soon? We are long overdue a replacement for the Two Ronnies.
A letter like this may not be read by the MP but it will be read by somebody in the office. Putting what you really feel in the letter simply ensures that nobody takes it seriously. Well done to the writer – on to Batley & Spen on July 1st. Labour forecast to lose..
It was an amusing, humourous exchange, not a letter-draughting tutorial….. (I agree about the letter writer, btw.)
Hear hear only just read this and it cheered me up no end in fact “the other half” wondered why I was laughing so much! Thanks guys.
This website keeps me sane! Checking it out a few times a day I am relieved to know there are “others” like me out there. I’ve counted 4 in my village of 2000 people, that includes myself and the Mrs! I’m banking on the silent sceptics waking up!
Me to Mart. I feel I’m living through a zombie movie.
You don’t do irony then?
3rd wave
Only one revision necessary – the missed cancers have yet to be fully seen; they weren’t part of the April 2020 mortality.
I thought the government reckoned 16k from missed cancer? don’t know when that was but stuck in my head
Yes – but the mortality will be later than the missed diagnosis.
i dont know where it came from but in having a quick google I think 16k is going to be on the lowside and spread for years.
Care home scandal + avoided A & E
Not just that – a lot of the mortality spike was accumulated ‘dry tinder’ waiting for a respiratory disease spark.
We should avoid overstatement – the prior low mortality was always going to end in a mortality spike at some point.
And then there’s the cancers to come as the mRNA vaccine’s vaccine spike proteins find the ovaries and the bone marrow to be its favourite targets. A somewhat longer term disaster now seems to be in the making and all the vaccinated can do is hope and pray.
She’s my MP, or, rather, the MP where I live. She likes her “Doctor” handle, which is a PhD. Apart from being somewhat “built big”, she is well known here for liking her intakes (another Suffolk chap said to me after attending a catered event “she do hog into it”) . She has a line in being both rude and unhelpful to many of her constituents.
In 2010, parachuted in,she won the seat previously held by “I’ll make Green Money while in office” apostate Gummer. The other candidate, Daisy Cooper, now LibDem MP for St. Albans, put up a creditable show, and much as I dislike that party, I’d rather have a Cooper than a Coffey.
“she do hog into it”
lol – made my day.
I saw her in the supermarket once, with her mother (or other elderly relative)
“Make sure everything you buy is low calorie and low fat!”
I thought, that’s working for you is it? She’s supposed to have a scientific background but presumably no observational skills
“it is now obvious that the vulnerable are protected from this virus”
A bit of an idiot to believe that – with the ‘now’ qualification, as if it was ever a major danger – but what do you expect from a ‘shy Tory’? Bercow might be wrong about current Labour under Starmer – but he got the Tory weasels and Johnson bang to rights.
Let’s face it, the MPs in both main parties (as well, of course, as the tiddlers) are nearly all skunks – with Bercow being one of the biggest. Voters, on the other hand, include some very reasonable, sane people who support both main parties. Your contempt for Tory voters says far more about you than about them.
Euwwww! How precious!
My comment was about ‘shy’ Tories – empty vessels prepared to support the lying narcissist Johnson, but without the conviction to admit it.
Sorry if you’re one of them – but that’s your problem. Not mine.
I drew my opposite line as Big Hair Starmer became the likely leader of the Labour Party. I didn’t go ‘shy’ and continue to support the insupportable.
‘Shy’ Tories deserve nothing but contempt – and yes, my attitude does say more about me. Thanks for the compliment!
Who gives a fuck what Bercunt says or thinks he sums up parliament as a whole perfectly a scumbag with his hand in the till
… but way ahead of most Tory politicians in stating the truth about Mr Toad. What does that say about them?
What makes you think there will be a next General Election?
My thoughts exactly.
Because even you supposed sceptics trooped our in May for the sham elections believing you were doing your bit for democracy. You keep ticking the box they will keep lending you the pencil.
Let me guess – if the zero covid nutter Corbyn had been elected at the last GE, they wouldn’t be “sham elections”…
A curteous and coherent letter. I do hope many more such letters are sent to Conservative MPs.
Why just Conservative MPs? The other cheek of the arse that is ConLab have backed every spiteful authoritarian action of the incumbent arseholes. There is nobody on the ballot paper that supports our cause so the best we can do is to abstain and leave the election to the mask loving zombies.
It’s depressing that people still the problems this country is facing as being in the control of the two political parties. All of the parties support the lockdowns and are gung-ho for the gene therapy vaccines, despite all the evidence.
When are people going to get it into their heads that our national politicians are middle managers? They are not allowed to solve your problems and you are not able to threaten them with a loss of political power if they refuse to do your bidding. They don’t work for you.
“When are people going to get it into their heads that our national politicians are middle managers?”
When someone gives some proof to support this highly conjectural hypothesis. It actually hardly matters whether it has some truth anyway, since we will never get any chance to test it by voting for a genuine people’s party.
Oh dear. More confused thinking . A ‘people’s party’ is what you’ve got – playing to the worst aspects of mass psychology – like all populist movements.
Why else all the silly buggers wearing masks and sticking arms out for jabs?
“A ‘people’s party’ is what you’ve got – playing to the worst aspects of mass psychology – like all populist movements.”
Popular opinion created by direct mass manipulation is not populism.
America’s Forgotten Populist History w/ Thomas Frank
Contrary to what leftist ideologues blinded by their own dogmas, hatreds and self interest believe, there are popular opinions that are not created by cynical forces, and those are what form genuine populism – generally a force for good – or at any rate for balance – in opposition to elite misrule.
Absolutely- stopped voting when they stabbed Mrs T in the back as it seemed obvious that the powers that be would always control what actually happens regardless of what ‘we’ vote for.
I’ve just been having a set-to with the PA of Liam Fox on email. I wrote to Dr Fox following his comments that vaccine refusers shouldn’t be allowed to hold the country to ransom. I explained our position and our desire to wait for human trials to be over before we made any decision. (Having listened to Dr Robert Malone’s interview yesterday-he being the inventor of the MRNA method of vaccination delivery-hell may freeze over first) I was told that Dr Fox had been misquoted and was sent a link to his article in MoS. I agreed with most of his sentiments in the article BUT his PA did tell me that he thinks everyone should be vaccinated and expressed her opinion that it is our duty to get vaccinated to protect everyone else. When I suggested that she was coming across as patronising and pointed out a few facts about the vaccines, she came back with “I AM NOT BEING PATRONISING, I just think that we owe it to others not to harm them” I then told her that by using her capitals lock, she was also coming across as rude! Unbelievable that a PA to a Conservative MP… Read more »
How does a “vaccine” protect everyone else?
A real vaccine allegedly protects the recipient. This PA is talking out of her arse.
She replied, “Sorry it was a slip of the finger. I am exhausted. I have been in the office since 8am this morning without a break (illegal surely?). By not taking the vaccine you could get infected more easily. You would be ill which might be fatal to you and you could pass on the virus to others, that is all”
She hasn’t read the NHS leaflet then and certainly didn’t understand the difference between relative risk reduction and absolute risk reduction when I explained it to her?
O/T we listened to Mike Graham interviewing Ann Widdecombe today. She was brilliant, talked a lot of common sense and confirmed what we have thought from the very beginning, that this is all posterior covering-well she was on the radio, she couldn’t say arse, could she?
Perhaps she meant herd immunity: something that is apparently wonderful if achieved by vaccination and utterly evil if acquired through people catching the virus and getting no symptoms. It’s a funny old world.
Ah but vaccinations protect the NHS from the horror of actually being used…get ready for all those boring arguments about protecting our third-rate (Source: WHO) but allegedly “fantastic” health service &c &c zzzz
If she thinks a 3rd parties life is worth more than her own then I suggest she find a pen, rope, tree and donor card.
They are of course entitled to their opinion (unless it’s one of those “hate” crimes, I suppose).
What they are not entitled to do is to coerce people to take an experimental gene therapy drug.
And I repeat, “record post vaccine mortality among 20-29 year olds in Israel”
“Vaccine” zealots have a duty not to harm too.
It’s those pumped full of the experimental messenger RNA concoction that are a risk to others. Secreting and breathing out dangerous spike proteins.
I thought this at the time.
The radio (Radio 4 – which I used to love, before it became a tool of propaganda) kept on talking about how the Tories had lost due to X and Y… but NEVER mentioning it may be due to people being opposed to the lockdowns.
This seemed incredible to me. Talk about the elephant in the room!
But – obviously – the BBC cannot – ever – make mention of anything that could possibly go against the lockdown narrative.
Well there’s part of the solution right here – defund the BBC.
I think our gracious host described it akin to paying hovis 160 quid a year for owning a toaster.
I think that’s right. I take my tone from DM comments. At the start of the pandemic they were overwhelmingly fearful and in favour of lockdown . It was scary.
Now, they’re vehemently sceptical. They hate the jab, passports even more so , and if anyone tries to vax their kids, there’ll be blood on the streets.
They’ll still vote for any of it that keeps immigrants out though. Except maybe the kids bit: even the most rabid gammon types can see that for the evil it is.
They pointed the right way for Brexit and they’re the majority view in this too now.
“even the most rabid gammon type”
FOAD you evil anti British POS.
“They’ll still vote for any of it that keeps immigrants out though.”
Good for them. Mass immigration harms any target country, without any need for any individual immigrant to be worse than just human. Diversity is like salt – a small amount is healthy and good for you, too much is deadly. And the only reason we have the laws and structures they used to suppress dissent on coronapanic is because of practice they had in the C20th suppressing “racism” in order to make the country safe for mass immigration.
“They pointed the right way for Brexit and they’re the majority view in this too now.”
Maybe instead of slinging the trendy “gammon” insult, you should consider the possibility that they were and are right on mass immigration too. Maybe destroying communities and cultures in order to make the world easier for big business and for radical ideologies isn’t the only possible way forward.
“Deadly” immigration is like “deadly” coronavirus, ie not much.
Actually a better comparison with lockdown – harmless for the smug virtue signallers who can afford to move out of places negatively affected and shift their kids out of the worst schools, and who aren’t much affected by jobs and state services competition.
Tell that to people unable to get housing. The housing crisis is caused by mass uncontrolled immigration. The housing crisis is killing people, and we cannot build our way out of it in this overcrowded nation of ours.
Be a sceptic, there is no housing crisis. There is tenure crisis and an affordability crisis. Until everyone mutually agrees to limit house price rises and has rent controls that won’t change, unless you back in time and vote for Jeremy Corbyn.
Corbyn is as economically backward and idiotic as you are.
Rent-controls lead to shortages as do all price controls.
If you want a proper way to do it (as promoted by Adam Smith, David Ricardo Etc) you’d want to tax and charge for government product, i,e. title (such as land, patent and copyright etc ) and not harmful income taxes such as VAT.
Low wage immigration is obviously harmful (to average wages).
It also raises rents (and taxes to subsidise low wages via things like the NHS and landlord benefit)
The logical conclusion of allowing anyone who can swim the channel to settle here is clearly unsustainable. There’s a hell of a lot of people in Africa. We should help more, forgive debt etc, but still, as a policy “come one come all, have free trips to Anfield and mobile phones a plenty” doesn’t seem that forward thinking. Although I’m probably a ‘gammon’ so what would I know?
Here’s the thing. If you come from Africa brexit meant nothing to you. The conflation of African immigration with EU membership is as false as a PCR test. Should they be stopped in France? Absolutely. That has always been the case. If our politicians aren’t capable of doing that then change the politicians, not the game.
Escaping France to claim Asylum should invalidate any Asylum claim.
BTW Border Farce were caught assisting illegal immigration across the Channel this week.
“If our politicians aren’t capable of doing that then change the politicians, not the game.”
And that’s where leaving the oncoming European superstate came in. No point changing the politicians if they’re only regional administrators with no power over anything that matters anyway.
Brexit is not the solution to anything, it is merely the prerequisite for any solutions.
Holmes: Centre right voters failed to turn out for a centre left government.
Dr Watson: Well, stuff my old boots!
The covid incompetence, a charlatan of a health secretary, a Prime Minister voted in on an entirely false prospectus…..
This government has been rumbled. The signs were there in the local elections.
They just haven’t realised it yet.
Ivor Cummins has just put a new video out and which puts things in perspective, when it comes to the Delta (Indian) variant. Basically it’s a ‘political scariant’….
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TtOu7jx3snQ
“at the next election”
There are going to be elections in future?
Easy answer to the headline . No
Well there were two parties that sceptics could have voted for – Freedom Alliance (strongly anti-lockdown) and Reform (vaguely anti lockdown). Both got a handful of votes. Lib Dems (solidly pro lockdown) increased their vote by 7,000 despite turnout dropping by 17,000. The Labour vote collapsed – which it has been doing, for various reasons, in many places. The best you could say is that the Tory vote stayed at home in protest. Their vote was down but disproportionately more than just be reduced turnout. But I suspect a fair few Tory voters switched to Lib Dem. LDs have been gaining ground in the Home Counties e.g. St Albans. IMO a fair few metropolitan middle class liberals moving out there for better housing, who hate the Tories.
I think this is wishful thinking.
Damn, Julian. I wish you wouldn’t keep pouring cold rational water on my nice warm wishful thinking like that….
Local issues I think
The national opinion polls have the Tories well ahead, and that was borne out by the election results in May
I speak to so few people these days it is hard to tell what people are thinking. I know some Tories who dislike lockdown but still defend LD, but most people I know hate Tories, or pretend to, so I can’t judge if there has been a shift.
I live in a heavily Tory town and everyone is jabbed and following rules, it seems.
Yes, but I think that reflects the long term death-spiral of the Labour Party, rather than any real enthusiasm for the “Conservatives”. An entire political class no longer fit for purpose.
Agree it’s more about the collapse of Labour than enthusiasm for Tories
The Tories are taking advantage of it
There must have been 11 people I could have voted for and I could find not one who stood against lockdowns and wokeness.
Didnt the Lib Dems shift their lockdown policy? I thought that they did, and then none of them voted against the lockdown extension. Difficult to tell with those slimeballs what they stand for.
I thought they simply didn’t vote with the govt because it’s not a good look for them
Point to any strong anti lockdown statement from a LD MP
Agree they are slimeballs
There are no cliffhangers where every vote is critical, which is why LDs can run with the hare and hunt with the hounds. Besides, their opportunism and hypocrisy are innate.
Lim Dems have no cojones. They had the opportunity to be the party of sense over Brexit (yes I’ll debate it with anyone, but in a rational way) bottled it. They are gulls on a landfill, pecking over the scraps.
I think there were definitely local issues here. With respect any vote away from the mainstream is a protest vote, not going to deal with your pressing issues. If we want to deal with Lockdowns politically there are only two options. Convert a mainstream party or bring together all the disparate anti lockdown parties under one umbrella. Of course they have no effective policies on any other issues. This would be a one issue election.
I prefer building a genuinely conservative party to replace the “Conservatives” in the way the Labour Party replaced the Liberals in the early C20th.
The problem dates back to long before lockdown and the solution will not come overnight. Whatever party replaces the “Conservatives” will start out as a fringe “protest” party by definition. But once one of them gets traction, under competent leadership, it will imo spiral rapidly as the “Conservatives” deflate like the overinflated empty vessel they are.
Alternatively, the “Conservatives” will be forced to get their act together and shift back to representing actual conservatives again, under pressure from the new party.
Either works.
The LibDems were pro-lockdown but I voted for them because my sense is that they wouldn’t have been so draconian about enforcing it. The Tories have seemed to enjoy fining people and their press has enjoyed reporting on it. I sense that lockdown would have felt a bit more ‘Swedish’ under the LibDems and a bit less oppressive. Again, maybe wishful thinking based on a 1980s/1990s view of the party as being made up of students and sandal-wearing professors in the West Country…
I suspect the delay to “freedom day” might have played a part but I reckon the reasons were mostly HS2 and too much housing development.
Though I would love to believe otherwise, prosperous middle class people seem to quite like lockdown and the way the government has mis-handled this epidemic of a not particularly deadly or novel respiratory virus.
Build back poorer
G7 – Our Rulers Unleashed – Fascinating Analysis of Hypocrisy… – YouTube
Good question …
Could do with a FOI request
Do you mean like this one
https://bit.ly/3geFeLy
Nicholas Wells requested information from MHRA about ‘Exposure During Pregnancy’ which Pfizer had flagged as an issue during the Trial. The MHRA response was…er….interesting :
Wow
Duckin hell.
Er no! Its because some idiots decided to go ahead building a riddy great railway line through their precious back yards.
No-one can make the numbers work on HS2 yet it had “amazing” persistence, and those numbers, they’re bunk too.
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2021-06-sars-cov-infections-trigger-antibody-responses.html
COVID Vaccines only make antibodies to one protein, catching COVID more likely to give diverse immunity to similar viruses in future.
Corporate interests push a profitable “solution” that supposedly replaces the natural one but actually doesn’t do a fraction of the job of the original!?
Say it ain’t so…!
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2021-06-antibody-disease-covid-animal.html
They try and have it two ways here…
Bad Antibodies have no effect, but good one’s do…
Which sounds EVER so unlikely.
Alex is assuming there will be another general election. My fear is they will invoke some fake disaster, or worse construct a real one, declare a coalition government to deal with the emergency and that’s that. It would explain why there is no opposition.
What comes next doesn’t doesn’t bear thinking about.
My thoughts also.
R A and E keys wear out on MSM keyboards in 2021
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2021-06-rare-neurological-disorder-documented-covid-.html
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2021-06-rare-cases-heart-inflammation-covid-.html
Figures quoted here look like porky pies.
A ‘medical’ article that ignores entirely the Israeli experience of myocarditis – and they call themselves doctors!
Governing by opinion polls, as confirmed by DC’s WhatsApp. Funny thing is they spent billions forming the opinions in the first place, tail chasing morons.
Has anyone here seriously given thought to moving to Florida or Texas, where individual freedom is literally hardwired in statute?
I cannot go through another lockdown and the political culture is driving me insane. I don’t think I belong here in the UK anymore, no one agrees with my libertarian politics except my South Africans friends who have emigrated over here and are overwhelmingly self-sufficient, optimistic and self-starting (the result of a failed state obsessed with affirmative action and historical grievance).
There would of course be a million things to consider before such a move – kids’ schooling, making a living (both my partner and I are professionals but would probably need to re-take a bunch of exams to practice over there), the different culture, the enormous healthcare costs, the work ethic etc. etc.
Anyone done it? Considering it? Spoken to people who have?
Don’t be shy about your scepticism. Shout it from the rooftops. I email my MP regularly to tell him that his actions specifically are causing death and despair. He needs to understand the consequences of lockdowns are directly at the feet of our parliamentarians. He needs to understand that deaths by a virus are natural but deaths by lockdown are owned those who legislate for and push the lockdown policies.
What a brilliant cartoon!