What Second Wave? Total Deaths in UK and Sweden Now Average for 2021
New figures from the ONS released yesterday show that deaths in England and Wales are running 7.3% below the five-year average for the week ending April 30th. This is the eighth consecutive week that registered deaths have been below the five-year average.
While the UK’s winter epidemic has been over for some months now, Sweden, like much of the continent, has seen a spring wave.
ICUs have been busier in spring than they were in winter.
Maybe that’s because Sweden has been so slow in getting its vaccine programme rolled out.
Except, something doesn’t fit here. There was no corresponding surge in Covid deaths, which have been flat since March.
And overall deaths in the country have been running well below average for 11 weeks, since the beginning of February.
This suggests Sweden’s “spring wave” was largely a casedemic, with any real Covid killing those who were already approaching the end of their life.
In fact, deaths in 2021 in the no-lockdown country are now running overall about average for the year, and if the current trend continues 2021 could end up being a low mortality year.
The same is true of the U.K.. Despite a January Covid surge with considerable excess mortality that led the Government to be ultra-cautious about lifting restrictions, the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries mortality monitor says the UK’s cumulative standardised mortality rate (taking into account the size and age of the population) is running only 1.6% ahead of the five year average. This suggests many of the extra winter deaths were just deaths that were due to happen this year brought forward a few months.
Now who was it who said there wasn’t going to be a second wave, only the seasonal ripple of an endemic virus?
To join in with the discussion please make a donation to The Daily Sceptic.
Profanity and abuse will be removed and may lead to a permanent ban.
NOT A WAVE!!! A cesspit of crap PCR test results!
Yes, a lot of vulnerable people finished off by the “vaccines” weren’t there?
Just look at the huge jump in reported deaths (in England and Wales) – 3 weeks after the first full week of “vaccination”(18 December).
That was my first thought.
Yes – it slaps you in the face.
Just as worryingly, and I reference UK Column (10th May, and possibly today’s upcoming broadcast) is the reported rise in ambulance queues outside of hospitals. It is at least possible, or even likely, that this could be in part due to the number of vaxx ADRs being reported (or should that be under-reported?).
The current government MHRA figures are difficult to interpret at source, but the UKC’s new resource makes it possible to view and most importantly interrogate the MHRA Yellow Card figures (remembering that due to under reporting these are likely to show only 10% or less of actual ADRs being experienced in the UK by the government’s own admission).
https://yellowcard.ukcolumn.org/yellow-card-reports
Oh but look now
THE VACCINE HAS ABOLISHED DEATH!
that must be it
Similar to June last year when the ONS were reporting fewer deaths than the 5 year average, first in London but soon spreading to the rest of the country.
Significantly not reported in the MSM who preferred to divert our attention with Cummingsgate and even Madie McCann.
Oh dear. William – stop confusing ‘cases’ with real meaningful data.
It really does fog any argument.
And that short term average really is a bummer as a baseline, given what we know. It minimises the unremarkable.
“This suggests Sweden’s “spring wave” was largely a casedemic, with any real Covid killing those who were already approaching the end of their life.”
From the article it doesn’t seem to do that.
I noted that during the winter and Spring we didn’t seem to have the usual ‘norovirus’ issues but suddenly the symptoms of coronavirus included vomiting and diarrhoea.
They are playing us like fiddles, it’s time the strings were snapped.
The list just kept growing…. you name it, it was another symptom. What an amazing virus, to manifest itself in such a variety of ways! And of course vomiting and diarrhoea are symptoms! How could you possibly doubt it? It will have been proven by those amazingly accurate PCR tests
I think Will is correct that the second winter peak in Sweden could have been a scandemic. There was no increase of excess mortality and ongoing mass testing in the increased hysteria in Sweden since November last year (when hysteria finally affected Sweden with increased NPI measures without any effects). But were there not many severe cases in ICU C-19 in Sweden during the second winter peak? Yes, but where they actual C-19 cases? Difficult question .PCR test in Sweden should now be coupled with symptoms in order to be indicative of C-19 infection. But what happens if the current bunch of patients in ICU in Sweden have PCR test positive and symptoms but caused by another respiratory virus,as PCR reflects something 3 months earlier? There could be a massive amount of people infected over the winter carrying fragments of virus several months and now having another virus infection falsely attributed to C-19.It would be interesting to know the Ct values of all hospitalized patients, in fact, why are these data not available? There could be a lot of European countries with a second peak in the winter seasonal wave which also did not have excess mortality where this could… Read more »
On the same theme: https://drmalcolmkendrick.org/2021/03/20/covid19-hidden-figures-and-ooda/
Stop using the word “wave” in this context would be a start
I can confirm exactly the same situation in France. A lot of noise about high numbers of ‘cases’, hospitalisations, ICU numbers etc etc. Graphs and numbers reported to Worldometer etc that appear to show a continuing threat all through the winter and spring.
Yet a quick glance at all couse deaths 2021 shows the numbers each month and cumulative exactly the same as 2019. Even to monthly and seasonal variations.
Its nbeen a casedemic in France since the start of 2021. Many tests in the 20-40 year group to keep numbers up I presume.