Indian Government Halting Vaccine Exports is the Cause of UK’s Rollout Slowdown
The approaching “significant reduction” in the UK’s supply of Covid vaccines is a result of a temporary export ban by the Indian Government, according to the Indian manufacturer of the AstraZeneca jab. The Telegraph has the story.
The United Kingdom’s vaccination efforts will be paralysed from next month because the Indian government is temporarily holding exports, according to the CEO of the Serum Institute of India (SII), Adar Poonawalla, whose company is manufacturing the AstraZeneca/Oxford University vaccine.
“It is solely dependent on India and it has nothing to do with the SII. It is to do with the Indian Government allowing more doses to the UK,” Mr Poonawalla told the Telegraph, who confirmed that five million doses of the AstraZeneca/Oxford University vaccine had already been delivered to the UK in early March.
The second batch of five million further doses that the SII has pledged to the UK will only be delivered once the company is given the green light by New Delhi, which is deliberating how to slow a concerning resurgence in new daily Covid cases, according to a source.
In addition to debating whether to implement new localised lockdowns, the Indian Government is considering whether it needs to stockpile more vaccines to expand its vaccination programme, which has so far been limited to those over the age of 60 and those over the age of 45 with comorbidities.
British MPs’ criticism of the Indian Government’s alleged use of force against peacefully protesting farmers was not behind the delay, according to a source, with exports to other countries also being held.
The SII would still commit to delivering the remaining five million doses as soon as possible, a source told the Telegraph, and this commitment would not “take months”.
“There was never a commitment to supplying doses to the UK in any stipulated time. We just said we will offer our help,” said Mr Poonawalla.
Mr Poonawalla earlier this year warned that the SII’s vaccine exports would depend on its evolving domestic commitments in India.
Some are already warning that Britain’s return to freedom could be delayed by the slowdown of the vaccine rollout, but the case against this is strong.
Worth reading in full.
Stop Press: One in five over-80s in England are likely to have had both vaccine doses as of March 14th, according to NHS figures. Some 1.6% of people aged 75 to 79 are also estimated to have had both doses, as well as 0.8% of people aged 70 to 74.

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latest PHE overall mortality
someone’s struggling at PHE with their outdated excel! ridiculous latest SD bands. and they got the date wrong on the title so I left it out
Yes – but it’s nothing to do with Excel – ancient or not, hate MS or not – it’s to do with the charting and a bollocks baseline.
I’m only joking. The above graph isn’t excel – I think they drew the SD bands with a crayon
Actually, Steve, I think the +SDs may be right – but I bet the baseline that they’re calculated from is sheer bollocks, using an anomalously short recent period of low infectivity (5 years or less).
NickR found it out. They used 5 years for 2020 and 3 years for 2021. Its complete bollox (and drawn with a crayon)
here we go – its actually in the report
”
^Baseline calculation: January to November 2020: same day in previuos 5 years +/- 1 week with a linear trend.
December 2020 to February 2021: past 3 low fluyears +/- 2 weeks, no trend. March 2021 onwards: same baseline as 2020
”
Not scientific in any way whatsoever (and badly spelt)
Also – note that an analysis of the worst scenario (14 months including both April and January peaks) still ends up with the past Year+2 months being only 8th ranking over the last quarter century in terms of mortality.
yes – when looking at data variability context is all. I can’t remember the exact stats but I tend to say to people that 2020 had the highest mortality since 2008 and every year was higher before that. I think the flu jab built up a bit of dry tinder that suffered with something genuinely new (though harmless to the non-terminally ill)
Well the Indians are certainly getting the blame. But are they the cause?
I don’t think so.
This might be the cause of the sudden slowdown.
There’s an awful lot of focus on the snake oil here – against all rational scepticism.
I agree. They really compressed 15 years of testing into 6 months with no reduction in safety? Pull the other one! Now it might be safe – but if this is our reaction to every new virus – lockdown and rush out a vaccine for mass innoculation – we will be in Children of Men territory sooner or later
Isn’t the whole thing just a scripted soap opera to distract the masses while pursuing the agenda?
I’d be surprised if they were capable of it. It seems like panic, groupthink and then arse covering to me